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1
State
HRC 2016 share
Biden 2020 share
Dem Senate vote 2018
Dem Senate vote 2022
diff16-18diff20-22
2
AL35.637.132-5.1
Notes: Vote shares are the Democratic share of the two-party vote. States with strong independent Senate candidacies have been omitted, as have states with top-two election systems and states with no Senate contest in either 2018 or 2022. Data in 2022 only from states where at least 80% of the vote has been counted.
3
AR35.735.832.5-3.3
4
AZ48.150.251532.92.8
5
CO52.756.956.5-0.4
6
CT57.160.260.657.53.5-2.7
7
DE5659.661.25.2
8
FL49.448.350420.6-6.3
9
GA47.350.150.50.4
10
HI67.4657172.53.67.5
11
IA44.945.844-1.8
12
ID31.734.134-0.1
13
IL5958.757-1.7
14
IN39.941.846.939.57-2.3
15
KS38.942.538.5-4
16
KY34.336.8381.2
17
MA64.767.162.5-2.2
18
MD646768.4634.4-4
19
MI49.951.453.13.2
20
MN50.853.655.85
21
MO40.242.247.443.57.21.3
22
MS40.941.640.4-0.5
23
MT38.941.651.512.7
24
NC48.149.348-1.3
25
ND30.232.844.634.514.41.7
26
NE36.540.240.23.8
27
NH50.253.754.50.8
28
NJ57.358.155.7-1.6
29
NM54.755.563.58.9
30
NV51.351.252.650.31.3-1
31
NY61.861.76756.55.2-5.2
32
OH45.745.95346.57.30.6
33
OK30.733.1340.9
34
OR56.258.357.5-0.8
35
PA49.650.656.6526.91.4
36
RI58.360.6623.7
37
SC42.544.137-7.1
38
SD3436.628.5-8.1
39
TN36.438.244.48.1
40
TX45.347.248.53.2
41
UT37.639.333-4.6
42
VA52.855.258.25.3
43
VT65.268.3701.7
44
WA58.859.958-0.8
45
WI49.650.35549.55.4-0.8
46
WV27.830.252.124.2
47
WY24.327.530.96.6
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
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89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100