DFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAAABACADAEAFAG
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Post TitleFinal (1000+)Final (all)Final (AF)Weighted 1000+ plus Final AllFinal (all) - Final (1000+)1000+ WeightedPrelim (1000+)Preliminary (all)Preliminary (AF users)1000+ Prelim/Final DiffAll Prelim/Final DiffAF Prelim/Final DiffFinal Votes (1000+ karma)Final Votes (All)Final Votes (AF users)Preliminary Votes (1000+ karma)Preliminary Votes (All)Preliminary Votes (AF users)
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microCOVID.org: A tool to estimate COVID risk from common activities71.8147.854.6291.476215.429704942.877.85.6[9,9,9,9,8.2,4,4,4,4,4,3.8,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.8,0,-4]
[9,9,9,9,9,9,9,9,9,9,9,8.2,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,3.8,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.8,0,-4]
[9,9,9,4,4,4,4,4,3.8,1,1,1,0.8][9,9,4,4,1,1,1][9,9,9,9,9,9,4,4,4,1,1,1,1][9,9,9,4,4,4,4,4,1,1]
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Draft report on AI timelines78.1106.181.2262.328234.329375949.169.122.2[9,9,9,9,9,9,9,4,4,4,3.2,1,1,1,0.9,0,0,-4][9,9,9,9,9,9,9,9,9,4,4,4,4,4,4,3.2,1,1,1,0.9,0,0,0,-1,-1,-4][9,9,9,9,9,9,9,9,4,4,3.2,1,1,0,0,-4][9,9,9,4,1,1,0,-4][9,9,9,9,4,1,1,0,-1,-4][9,9,9,9,9,9,4,4,1,0,0,-4]
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An overview of 11 proposals for building safe advanced AI74.9108.568.3258.333.6224.744545230.954.516.3[9,9,9,9,9,7.4,4,4,4,3.6,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,-1]
[9,9,9,9,9,9,9,9,7.4,4,4,4,4,4,3.6,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,0,0,-1,-1,-3.4]
[9,9,9,9,9,7.4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,-1]
[9,9,9,9,4,1,1,1,1,1,-1][9,9,9,9,9,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,-1][9,9,9,9,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,-1]
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When Money Is Abundant, Knowledge Is The Real Wealth71.9112.128.3255.940.2215.744582827.954.10.3[9,9,9,7.4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,3.6,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,-4]
[9,9,9,9,9,9,7.4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,3.6,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,-0.8,-1,-4]
[9,7.4,4,4,4,1,1,1,0.9,-4][9,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0][9,9,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0][9,4,4,4,4,1,1,1]
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Pain is not the unit of Effort63102.831228.839.81894569261833.85[9,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,3.8,3.2,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0,0,-1]
[9,9,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,3.8,3.2,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.8,0,0,-1,-1]
[4,4,4,4,4,3.8,3.2,1,1,1,1,1,-1][9,4,4,4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1][9,9,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1][4,4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1]
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Alignment By Default65.88349.2214.617.2197.436364829.8471.2[9,9,7.4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,3.8,3.6,1,1,1,1,1,0][9,9,9,9,7.4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,3.8,3.6,1,1,1,1,1,1,0,0,-0.8,-1][9,7.4,4,4,4,4,4,4,3.8,1,1,1,1,1][9,9,4,4,4,4,1,1,0][9,9,4,4,4,4,1,1,0][9,9,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,1,1]
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The Solomonoff Prior is Malign64.883.464.221318.6194.433335831.850.46.2[9,9,9,9,7.4,4,4,4,3.8,3.6,1,1,1,1,1,1,0,0,-4]
[9,9,9,9,9,9,7.4,4,4,4,4,4,3.8,3.6,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0,0,0,-1,-1,-3.4,-4,-4]
[9,9,9,9,7.4,4,4,4,4,3.8,1,1,1,1,1,0,-4]
[9,9,4,4,4,1,1,1][9,9,4,4,4,1,1,1][9,9,9,9,4,4,4,4,4,1,1,0]
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Seeing the Smoke63.285.220.6211.622189.632541431.231.26.6[9,9,9,4,4,4,4,4,3.8,3.6,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.8][9,9,9,9,9,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,3.8,3.6,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.8,-1,-9][9,4,3.8,1,1,1,0.8][9,4,4,4,4,4,1,1,1][9,9,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1][4,4,4,1,1]
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Simulacra Levels and their Interactions52.687.637192.835157.825393027.648.67[9,9,9,4,4,4,4,3.8,3.6,3.2,1,0,0,0,-1,-1][9,9,9,9,9,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,3.8,3.6,3.2,1,1,1,0,0,0,-1,-1,-1][9,9,9,4,3.8,3.2,0,0,0,-1][9,4,4,4,4,0][9,9,4,4,4,4,4,1,0][9,9,4,4,4,0,0]
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The ground of optimization55.773.924.7185.318.2167.15155294.718.9-4.3[9,9,9,9,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,0,-1,-9,-9]
[9,9,9,9,9,9,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,0,-0.8,-1,-4,-9,-9]
[9,9,4,4,4,4,4,4,0.9,0.8,-1,-9,-9][9,9,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,1,0][9,9,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,1,0][9,9,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,1,-9,-9]
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What Money Cannot Buy51.776.326.1179.724.6155.137452514.731.31.1[9,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,3.6,3.2,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0]
[9,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,3.6,3.2,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,-1,-3.4]
[4,4,4,4,4,3.2,1,1,0.9,0][4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1][4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1][4,4,4,4,4,4,1,0]
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Coordination as a Scarce Resource50.775.918.1177.325.2152.122221528.753.93.1[9,9,4,4,4,4,4,3.6,3.2,1,1,1,1,1,0.9][9,9,9,9,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,3.6,3.2,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,-0.8,-1][9,4,3.2,1,0.9][9,4,4,1,1,1,1,1][9,4,4,1,1,1,1,1][9,4,1,1]
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Introduction to Cartesian Frames43.981.943.9169.738131.713233630.958.97.9[9,9,8.5,7.4,4,4,1,1,0,0,0][9,9,9,9,9,8.5,7.4,4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,0,0,0][9,9,8.5,7.4,4,4,1,1,0][4,4,4,1][9,4,4,4,1,1][9,9,9,4,4,1,0]
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AGI safety from first principles: Introduction50.964.943.3166.714152.74449416.915.92.3[9,9,9,7.4,4,4,3.6,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,0,0][9,9,9,9,7.4,4,4,4,3.6,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,0,0,0,-1][9,9,9,7.4,4,1,1,1,1,0.9,0][9,9,9,9,4,1,1,1,1][9,9,9,9,4,4,1,1,1,1,1][9,9,9,9,1,1,1,1,1,0]
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The Pointers Problem: Human Values Are A Function Of Humans' Latent Variables50.861.463.816310.6152.413225037.839.413.8[9,9,9,9,4,4,3.8,1,1,1,0,0,0][9,9,9,9,9,4,4,4,3.8,1,1,1,1,0,0,0,-3.4][9,9,9,9,9,4,4,4,3.8,1,1,1,0][9,4,0][9,9,4,0][9,9,9,9,4,4,4,1,1]
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Most Prisoner's Dilemmas are Stag Hunts; Most Stag Hunts are Schelling Problems40.979.911.7161.739122.726361614.943.9-4.3[8.2,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,-1,-1,-4]
[9,9,9,8.2,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,-1,-1,-1,-4]
[4,4,4,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,-1,-4][9,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1][9,9,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1][4,4,4,1,1,1,1]
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Cortés, Pizarro, and Afonso as Precedents for Takeover45.964.537156.318.6137.722263123.938.56[9,4,4,4,4,4,3.8,3.2,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0]
[9,9,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,3.8,3.2,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,0,-1,-3.4]
[9,4,4,4,4,3.8,3.2,1,1,1,1,1][4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,0][4,4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0,-1][9,4,4,4,4,4,1,1]
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Interfaces as a Scarce Resource41.366.920.7149.525.6123.926352515.331.9-4.3[9,9,4,4,4,3.6,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8][9,9,9,9,4,4,4,4,4,3.6,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,-3.4][9,4,4,1,1,0.9,0.8][9,9,4,1,1,1,1,0][9,9,9,4,1,1,1,1,0][9,9,4,1,1,1]
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Inner Alignment: Explain like I'm 12 Edition43.160.141.1146.317129.333353410.125.17.1[9,9,4,4,4,4,3.2,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,0,-1][9,9,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,3.2,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,0,0,-1,-1][9,9,4,4,4,4,3.2,1,1,1,1,0.9,-1][9,9,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1][9,9,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1][9,9,4,4,4,1,1,1,1]
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My computational framework for the brain45.45132.8141.85.6136.227272718.4245.8[9,9,4,4,4,4,4,3.6,1,1,1,0.8,0,0][9,9,9,4,4,4,4,4,3.6,1,1,1,0.8,0,0,-3.4][9,9,4,4,4,1,1,0.8,0][9,4,4,4,4,1,1,0][9,4,4,4,4,1,1,0][9,4,4,4,4,1,1,0]
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Inaccessible information47.147.344.2141.50.2141.318183729.129.37.2[9,9,9,9,4,3.2,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,0,-1][9,9,9,9,4,3.2,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,0,-0.8,-1][9,9,9,9,4,3.2,1,1,0,-1][9,9][9,9][9,9,9,9,1,0]
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Is Success the Enemy of Freedom? (Full)37.663.616.6138.826112.821261016.637.66.6[9,4,4,4,4,3.8,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.8,0,0,-1][9,9,9,4,4,4,4,4,4,3.8,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.8,0,0,-1,-1,-1][4,4,3.8,1,1,1,1,1,0.8,0,-1][4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,0][4,4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,0][4,4,1,1,1,0,-1]
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Anti-Aging: State of the Art 41.454.411.8137.213124.21522126.432.410.8[9,9,4,4,4,4,3.6,1,1,1,1,0.8,0,-1][9,9,4,4,4,4,4,4,3.6,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.8,0,-1][9,1,1,1,0.8,0,-1][4,4,4,1,1,1][4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1][1,1,0,-1]
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Against GDP as a metric for timelines and takeoff speeds42.549.132.6134.16.6127.515162727.533.15.6[9,9,4,4,4,4,3.8,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0][9,9,9,4,4,4,4,3.8,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,-1,-3.4][9,4,4,4,4,3.8,1,1,1,0.8,0][4,4,4,1,1,1][4,4,4,1,1,1,1][9,4,4,4,4,1,1,0]
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An Orthodox Case Against Utility Functions40.247.838.3128.27.6120.618191822.228.820.3[9,9,8.5,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,-1,-4][9,9,8.5,4,4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,0,-1,-3.4,-4][9,9,8.5,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,0.8,0,-1,-4][9,4,4,1,0][9,4,4,1,1,0][9,4,4,4,1,1,0,-1,-4]
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The Road to Mazedom41.438.616.2121.4-2.8124.223241018.414.66.2[9,8.2,7.4,4,4,4,3.8,1,1,0,-1][9,8.2,7.4,4,4,4,3.8,1,1,1,1,0,0,-0.8,-1,-4][7.4,4,3.8,1,0][9,4,4,4,1,1,1,-1][9,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,-1][4,4,1,1,0]
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Introduction To The Infra-Bayesianism Sequence35.348.327.7118.913105.912122223.336.35.7[9,9,4,4,3.6,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0][9,9,9,4,4,4,3.6,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,0,0][9,9,4,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0][9,1,1,1][9,1,1,1][9,9,1,1,1,1,0]
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CFAR Participant Handbook now available to all35.940.922.7112.75107.73335232.95.9-0.3[9,9,8.2,4,4,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,-1,-1][9,9,8.2,4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,-1,-1,-1,-1,-1,-1,-1][9,9,4,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,-1,-1][9,9,9,4,1,1][9,9,9,4,4,1,1,1,-1,-1,-1][9,9,4,1,1,0,0,-1]
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Why haven't we celebrated any major achievements lately?32.545.110.6110.112.697.5591027.536.10.6[9,4,4,4,3.8,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0]
[9,4,4,4,4,4,4,3.8,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,-3.4,-4]
[4,3.8,1,1,0.8,0][4,1][4,1,1,1,1,1][4,4,1,1,0]
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Reality-Revealing and Reality-Masking Puzzles32.939.925105.7798.718212614.918.9-1[9,4,4,4,3.8,3.2,1,1,1,1,0.9,0][9,4,4,4,4,4,3.8,3.2,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,-1][4,4,4,4,3.8,3.2,1,1][4,4,4,4,1,1][4,4,4,4,4,1,1,-1][4,4,4,4,4,4,1,1]
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Search versus design30.643.629.7104.81391.817212313.622.66.7[8.5,4,4,4,4,3.2,1,1,0.9,0][9,8.5,4,4,4,4,4,3.2,1,1,0.9,0][8.5,4,4,4,4,3.2,1,1][4,4,4,4,1,0][4,4,4,4,4,1,0][9,4,4,4,1,1]
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Radical Probabilism34.335.326.7103.91102.914141820.321.38.7[9,8.5,4,4,3.6,3.2,1,1,0,0][9,8.5,4,4,3.6,3.2,1,1,1,0,0][9,8.5,4,3.2,1,1,0][4,4,4,1,1][4,4,4,1,1][9,4,4,1,0]
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To listen well, get curious28.746.316.8103.717.686.1193879.78.39.8[9,9,4,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0][9,9,9,9,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,0,-3.4,-4][9,4,1,1,1,0.8,0,0][9,4,1,1,1,1,1,1][9,9,9,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0][4,1,1,1,0,0]
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Discontinuous progress in history: an update29.643.220102.413.688.811241318.619.27[4,4,4,4,3.8,3.6,3.2,1,1,1,0][9,4,4,4,4,4,4,3.8,3.6,3.2,1,1,1,0,-3.4][4,4,4,3.8,3.2,1,0][4,4,1,1,1,0][9,4,4,4,1,1,1,0][4,4,4,1,0]
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Some AI research areas and their relevance to existential safety32.237.820102.25.696.618181614.219.84[8.2,4,4,4,4,3.8,3.2,1,1,1,0,0,0,-1,-1][8.2,4,4,4,4,4,4,3.8,3.2,1,1,1,1,0,0,0,-1,-1,-3.4][4,4,4,3.8,3.2,1,1,1,0,-1,-1][9,4,4,1,0][9,4,4,1,0][4,4,4,4,1,0,-1]
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The Felt Sense: What, Why and How28.336.513.793.18.284.9212657.310.58.7[4,4,4,4,4,3.6,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0][4,4,4,4,4,4,4,3.6,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,-0.8,-1,-1][4,4,4,0.9,0.8,0][9,4,4,1,1,1,1][9,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1][4,1]
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"Can you keep this confidential? How do you know?"29.7329.791.42.389.11313816.7191.7[4,4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0][4,4,4,4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,-7.7][4,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0][4,4,1,1,1,1,1,0][4,4,1,1,1,1,1,0][4,1,1,1,1,0]
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Why Neural Networks Generalise, and Why They Are (Kind of) Bayesian27.137.127.191.31081.315152012.122.17.1[9,4,4,4,3.2,1,1,0.9,0,0][9,9,4,4,4,3.2,1,1,1,0.9,0,0][9,4,4,4,3.2,1,1,0.9][9,4,1,1][9,4,1,1][9,4,4,1,1,1]
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The date of AI Takeover is not the day the AI takes over22.346.318.790.92466.9914913.332.39.7[4,4,4,4,3.6,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,-1,-1][9,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,3.6,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,-1,-1][4,4,4,4,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,-1][4,4,1,1,-1][4,4,4,1,1,1,-1][4,4,1,1,0,-1]
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Studies On Slack23.142.716.288.919.669.31527138.115.73.2[7.4,4,4,3.8,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,0,-1][9,7.4,4,4,4,4,4,3.8,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,0,-1,-3.4][7.4,4,3.8,1,0][4,4,4,1,1,1][4,4,4,4,4,4,1,1,1][4,4,4,1,0]
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How uniform is the neocortex?28.730.321.887.71.686.11212616.718.315.8[9,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0][9,4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,-3.4][9,4,4,1,1,1,1,0.8,0][4,4,1,1,1,1,0][4,4,1,1,1,1,0][4,1,1,0]
43
The Treacherous Path to Rationality28.829.416.8870.686.42327145.82.42.8[9,9,4,3.8,1,1,1,1,1,1,0,0,0,-1,-1,-1][9,9,4,4,3.8,1,1,1,1,1,1,0,0,0,-1,-1,-1,-3.4][9,4,3.8,1,0,0,-1][9,9,4,1,1,0,-1][9,9,4,4,1,1,0,-1][9,4,1,0]
44
Choosing the Zero Point28.129.917.286.11.884.316161312.113.94.2[9,4,4,4,4,4,3.2,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,0,-9][9,4,4,4,4,4,4,3.2,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,-1,-4,-9][4,4,4,3.2,1,1,0,0][4,4,4,1,1,1,1,0][4,4,4,1,1,1,1,0][4,4,4,1,0,0]
45
Motive Ambiguity28.627.61484.8-185.82832150.6-4.4-1[9,4,4,3.8,3.6,3.2,1,1,1,1,1,1,0,0,-1,-1,-1,-1,-1][9,4,4,4,3.8,3.6,3.2,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0,0,-1,-1,-1,-1,-1,-4,-4][4,3.8,3.2,1,1,1,0][9,4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,-1][9,4,4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,-1][4,4,4,1,1,1,0]
46
Can crimes be discussed literally?25.630.6881.8576.81422611.68.62[9,4,3.8,3.6,3.2,1,1,1,1,-1,-1][9,4,4,4,3.8,3.6,3.2,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0,0,-1,-1,-1,-1,-4][3.8,3.2,1,1,-1][4,4,4,1,1][9,4,4,4,1,1,-1][4,1,1]
47
Transportation as a Constraint22.536.76.681.714.267.5131379.523.7-0.4[4,4,4,3.8,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,-1][9,4,4,4,4,3.8,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,-0.8,-1][3.8,1,1,1,0.8,-1][4,4,1,1,1,1,1,0][4,4,1,1,1,1,1,0][4,1,1,1]
48
The First Sample Gives the Most Information27.925.51681.3-2.483.714141413.911.52[9,4,4,3.8,3.2,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,0,-1][9,4,4,3.8,3.2,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,0,-1,-3.4][4,4,3.8,3.2,1,1,0,-1][4,4,4,1,1,0][4,4,4,1,1,0][4,4,4,1,1,0]
49
Nuclear war is unlikely to cause human extinction27.322.96.177.5-4.481.911101216.312.9-5.9[8.2,4,4,4,3.2,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,-1][8.2,4,4,4,4,4,3.2,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,-1,-3.4,-9][3.2,1,1,1,0.9,-1][9,1,1][9,1,1,-1][9,1,1,1]
50
Swiss Political System: More than You ever Wanted to Know (I.)23.625.610.772.8270.899614.616.64.7[4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.9,0.8,0][4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.9,0.8,0][4,4,1,0.9,0.8,0][4,1,1,1,1,1][4,1,1,1,1,1][4,1,1,0]
51
A non-mystical explanation of "no-self" (three characteristics series)21.826.812.870.4565.41314128.812.80.8[9,4,4,4,0.8,0,0,0][9,4,4,4,4,1,1,0.8,0,0,0,-1][4,4,4,0.8,0][9,4,0][9,4,1,0][4,4,4,0]
52
Credibility of the CDC on SARS-CoV-225.41512.865.8-10.476.21921136.4-6-0.2[9,4,4,3.8,3.6,1,1,0,0,-1][9,4,4,3.8,3.6,1,1,1,1,0,0,0,-1,-3.4,-9][9,3.8,1,0,0,-1][9,4,4,1,1][9,4,4,1,1,1,1][9,4,1,0,-1]
53
Elephant seal18.727.90.865.39.256.11313115.714.9-10.2[9,9,3.8,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,0,0,-1,-1,-1,-1,-4]
[9,9,9,4,4,3.8,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,0,0,0,-0.8,-1,-1,-1,-1,-1,-4,-4,-9]
[3.8,1,1,1,1,0,0,-1,-1,-1,-4][9,4][9,4,0][9,4,1,1,1,1,0,-1,-1,-4]
54
The Alignment Problem: Machine Learning and Human Values22.718.312.863.7-4.468.133719.715.35.8[9,4,4,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,0][9,4,4,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,0,-1,-3.4][4,4,1,1,1,1,0.8,0,0][1,1,1][1,1,1][4,1,1,1,0,0]
55
The Bayesian Tyrant18.624.28.661.45.655.8101078.614.21.6[4,4,3.8,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.8,0][4,4,4,4,3.8,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.8,0,-3.4][3.8,1,1,1,1,0.8][4,4,1,1][4,4,1,1][4,1,1,1]
56
Persuasion Tools: AI takeover without AGI or agency?17.725.712.861.1853.115416.720.78.8[4,4,4,4,0.9,0.8,0,0,0][4,4,4,4,4,4,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,0,-1][4,4,4,0.8,0,0][1][4,1][4,0,0]
57
Classifying games like the Prisoner's Dilemma18.423.64.860.45.255.2141984.44.6-3.2[9,4,3.6,1,0.8,0,0,0][9,4,4,3.6,1,1,1,0.8,0,0,0,-0.8][4,0.8,0,0][9,4,1,0][9,4,4,1,1,0][4,4,0,0]
58
A tale from Communist China14.929.93.959.71544.7101624.913.91.9[4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,0,-1][4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,0,-1][1,1,1,1,0.9,0,-1][4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0,-1][4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0,-1][1,1,1,-1]
59
Possible takeaways from the coronavirus pandemic for slow AI takeoff18.719.36.156.70.656.111117.718.35.1[4,4,3.6,3.2,1,1,1,0.9][4,4,4,3.6,3.2,1,1,1,0.9,0,-3.4][3.2,1,1,0.9,0][1,0][1,0,0][1,0]
60
Wireless is a trap16.723.34.756.76.650.155411.718.30.7[4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,0][4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,0,0,0,-3.4][1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0][1,1,1,1,1,0][1,1,1,1,1,0][1,1,1,1,0]
61
Subspace optima15.724.73.856.1947.155310.719.70.8[4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,-1][4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,-1][1,1,1,1,0.8,0,-1][4,1,0][4,1,0][1,1,1,0]
62
Have epistemic conditions always been this bad?18.218.810.255.20.654.67111111.27.8-0.8[4,4,4,3.2,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0,0,0,-4][4,4,4,4,3.2,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0,0,0,-1,-3.4,-4][4,4,3.2,1,1,1,0,-4][4,1,1,1][4,4,1,1,1][4,4,1,1,1,0]
63
Coronavirus: Justified Practical Advice Thread12.729.72.855.11738.172425.75.70.8[4,4,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,-1,-1][9,4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,-1,-1,-1][1,1,1,1,0.8,0,-1,-1][4,1,1,1][9,4,4,4,1,1,1][1,1,1,0,-1]
64
Inner Alignment in Salt-Starved Rats17.719.311.854.71.653.1910108.79.31.8[4,4,4,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0][4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,-3.4][4,4,1,1,1,0.8,0][4,4,1][4,4,1,1][4,4,1,1,0]
65
"No evidence" as a Valley of Bad Rationality14.823.813.853.4944.467118.816.82.8[9,1,1,1,1,1,0.8,0,0,0][9,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.8,0,0,0,0][9,1,1,1,1,0.8,0][4,1,1,0][4,1,1,1,0][9,1,1,0]
66
Clarifying inner alignment terminology18.216.819.253.2-1.454.61719191.2-2.20.2[9,4,3.2,1,1,0,0,0,0][9,4,3.2,1,1,1,1,0,0,0,0,-3.4][9,4,3.2,1,1,1,0,0][9,4,4][9,4,4,1,1][9,4,4,1,1,0,0]
67
Covid-19: My Current Model21.87.111.850.7-14.765.457916.80.12.8[9,4,4,3.8,1,1,0,0,0,-1][9,4,4,3.8,1,1,1,1,1,0,0,0,-1,-1,-7.7,-9][4,4,3.8,1,0,0,-1][4,1][4,1,1,1][4,4,1,0]
68
Protecting Large Projects Against Mazedom13.621.811498.240.84449.617.87[4,3.8,3.6,3.2,0,-1][4,4,4,4,3.8,3.6,3.2,1,1,0,-0.8,-1,-1,-4][4,3.8,3.2,0][4][4][4,0]
69
Extrapolating GPT-N performance13.122.413.148.69.339.3141413-0.98.40.1[4,4,3.2,1,0.9,0,0,0][9,4,4,4,4,3.2,1,0.9,0,0,0,-7.7][4,4,3.2,1,0.9,0][9,4,1,0][9,4,1,0][4,4,4,1,0]
70
Five Ways To Prioritize Better13221448939141914-130[9,4,1,0,0,0,0,-1][9,4,4,4,1,1,0,0,0,0,-1][9,4,1,0,0][9,4,1,0][9,4,4,1,1,0][9,4,1,0,0]
71
Simulacra and Subjectivity17.310.95.745.5-6.451.966511.34.90.7[4,4,4,3.6,1,0.9,0.8,0,-1][4,4,4,3.6,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,-1,-3.4,-4][4,0.9,0.8,0][4,1,1][4,1,1][4,1,0]
72
My slack budget: 3 surprise problems per week1512.6042.6-2.445540108.60[9,4,1,1,0,0,0,0][9,4,1,1,1,1,0,0,0,0,0,-1,-3.4][0,0,0][4,1][4,1,-1][0,0]
73
Babble challenge: 50 ways of sending something to the moon15.611.21.742.4-4.446.818175-2.4-5.8-3.3[4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.9,0.8,0,-1,-1,-1,-4][4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.9,0.8,0,0,-1,-1,-1,-1,-3.4,-4][4,1,1,0.9,0.8,-1,-1,-4][4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,0,-1,-1][4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,0,0,-1,-1,-1][4,1,1,1,-1,-1]
74
Kelly Bet on Everything5.4316.841.825.616.26164-0.6152.8[3.6,1,1,1,1,1,0.8,0,0,0,-4][9,9,4,4,3.6,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.8,0,0,0,-1,-3.4,-4][4,1,1,0.8,0,0][4,1,1][9,4,1,1,1][4,0,0]
75
Negative Feedback and Simulacra12.8162.941.63.238.49943.87-1.1[4,4,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,-0.9,-1][4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,-0.8,-0.9,-1,-1][1,1,1,1,0.8,-0.9,-1][4,1,1,1,1,1][4,1,1,1,1,1][1,1,1,1,1,-1]
76
What happens if you drink acetone?16.77.913.741.3-8.850.11312133.7-4.10.7[9,4,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,0,-1,-1][9,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,0,0,-0.8,-1,-1,-1,-1,-9][9,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0][9,1,1,1,1,1,-1][9,1,1,1,1,1,0,-1,-1][9,1,1,1,1,0]
77
Why Artists Study Anatomy10.918.57.940.37.632.73537.913.54.9[4,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0][4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,-1,-3.4][4,1,1,1,0.9][1,1,1,0][1,1,1,1,1,0][1,1,1]
78
Create a Full Alternative Stack15.68.9840.1-6.746.855810.63.90[4,3.8,3.6,3.2,1,0][4,4,4,3.8,3.6,3.2,1,1,0,-4,-4,-7.7][3.8,3.2,1,0][4,1][4,1][4,4,0]
79
Give it a google12.913.90.939.7138.76626.97.9-1.1[9,4,1,0.9,0,0,0,0,-1,-1][9,4,1,1,0.9,0,0,0,0,-1,-1][1,0.9,0,-1][4,1,1][4,1,1][1,1,0]
80
Crisis and opportunity during coronavirus12.712.72.838.1038.14448.78.7-1.2[9,3.8,0.9,0,0,-1][9,3.8,0.9,0,0,-1][3.8,0,0,-1][4][4][4,0]
81
Why indoor lighting is hard to get right and how to fix it8.120.35.236.512.224.381550.15.30.2[3.2,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,0,-1][4,4,3.2,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,0,-0.8,-1][3.2,1,1,1,0,0,-1][4,1,1,1,1,0][4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0][4,1,1,0,0,-1]
82
How To Fermi Model11.512.72.935.71.234.5111240.50.7-1.1[4,3.6,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,0,-1][4,3.6,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0,0,-0.8,-1][1,1,1,0.9,0,-1][4,4,1,1,1][4,4,1,1,1,1][1,1,1,1,0]
83
The 300-year journey to the covid vaccine917335827493580[4,1,1,1,1,1,0,0,0,0][4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,0,0,0,0,-1][1,1,1,0,0,0][1,1,1,1][4,1,1,1,1,1][1,1,1,0,0]
84
How to teach things well62253416184852140[4,1,1,0,0,0,0][9,4,4,4,1,1,0,0,0,0,-1][4,1,0,0][4][4,4][4,1,0,0]
85
Shuttling between science and invention8.616.68.633.8825.84484.612.60.6[4,3.8,0.8,0,0,0][4,4,4,3.8,0.8,0,0,0][4,3.8,0.8,0][4][4][4,4,0]
86
Conflict vs. mistake in non-zero-sum games8.715.94.833.37.226.16742.78.90.8[4,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,0][4,4,4,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,0,-0.8][4,0.8,0,0][4,1,1,0,0][4,1,1,1,0,0][4,0,0]
87
Authorities and Amateurs10.711.30.832.70.632.192211.7-10.7-0.2[4,4,1,0.9,0.8,0,0][9,4,4,4,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,-1,-3.4,-9][0.8,0,0][4,4,1][9,4,4,4,1][1,0,0]
88
A Significant Portion of COVID-19 Transmission Is Presymptomatic12.57.110.632.1-5.437.54468.53.14.6[4,3.8,1,1,1,0.9,0.8][4,4,3.8,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,-1,-1,-3.4,-4][4,3.8,1,1,0.8][4][4][4,1,1]
89
Reveal Culture8.414.4-2.231.2625.211150-2.6-0.6-2.2[4,3.6,1,1,1,1,0.8,0,0,-4][4,4,4,3.6,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.8,0,0,0,-4,-4][1,0.8,0,0,-4][9,1,1,0][9,4,1,1,0][0,0]
90
Market-shaping approaches to accelerate COVID-19 response: a role for option-based guarantees?10.88.41.830-2.432.41119.87.40.8[9,1,0.8,0,0,0,0][9,1,1,0.8,0,0,0,0,-3.4][1,0.8,0,0][1][1][1,0,0]
91
Range and Forecasting Accuracy9.99.9-129.7029.710110-0.1-1.1-1[9,1,0.9,0,0,0,-1][9,1,1,0.9,0,0,0,-1,-1][0,0,-1][9,1,0][9,1,1,0][0,0]
92
What counts as defection?10.78.34.829.7-2.432.13337.75.31.8[4,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,0,0][4,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,0,0,0,-3.4][1,1,1,1,0.8,0,0,0][1,1,1][1,1,1][1,1,1,0,0,0]
93
100 Tips for a Better Life3.722.38.729.718.611.1597-1.313.31.7[4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,-1,-4,-4]
[9,4,4,4,4,4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,0,-1,-1,-1,-3.4,-4,-4,-9]
[4,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0][4,1,1,1,1,1,1,-1,-4][4,4,1,1,1,1,1,1,0,-1,-4][4,1,1,1,0]
94
Rereading Atlas Shrugged9.211.22.229.6227.63416.27.21.2[4,3.2,1,1,1,0,0,0,-1][4,4,4,3.2,1,1,1,1,1,0,0,0,-1,-4,-4][3.2,0,-1][1,1,1,0,0][4,1,1,1,1,0,0,-4][1,0]
95
The Skewed and the Screwed: When Mating Meets Politics1.825.87.829.4245.4668-4.219.8-0.2[4,3.8,1,1,1,1,0,0,-1,-9][9,4,4,4,4,3.8,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0,0,-1,-9][4,3.8,1,0,-1][4,1,1,0][4,1,1,0][4,4,0]
96
Attainable Utility Preservation: Empirical Results9.89.410.829-0.429.4169.88.44.8[4,4,1,0.8,0,0,0,0][4,4,1,1,1,1,0.8,0,0,0,0,-3.4][4,4,1,1,0.8,0,0][1][4,1,1,0,0]
97
The Four Children of the Seder as the Simulacra Levels0.627.41.628.626.81.8445-3.423.4-3.4[3.8,1,0.8,0,0,0,-1,-4][9,9,4,4,4,3.8,1,1,0.8,0.8,0,0,0,-1,-1,-4,-4][3.8,1,0.8,0,-4][4][4][4,1,0]
98
Seemingly Popular Covid-19 Model is Obvious Nonsense9.76.30.825.7-3.429.16623.70.3-1.2[4,4,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,-1,-1][4,4,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,0,-1,-1,-1,-3.4][1,0.8,0,0,-1][4,1,1][4,1,1][1,1,0,0]
99
Mazes Sequence Roundup: Final Thoughts and Paths Forward9.17.12.225.3-227.354-14.13.13.2[4,3.2,1,1,0.9,0,0,-1][4,3.2,1,1,1,0.9,0,0,-1,-1,-1,-1][3.2,0,0,-1][4,1][4,1,-1][0,0,-1]
100
Exercises in Comprehensive Information Gathering7.78.72.724.1123.12225.76.70.7[4,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0][4,1,1,1,1,0.9,0.8,0,0,-1][1,0.9,0.8,0][1,1][1,1][1,1,0]