| A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | K | L | M | N | O | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Nth year of the pledge | Non-discounted recorded donations per pledger-year (2024-$/pledger-year) | Discount factor | Recorded donations per pledger-year (2024-$/pledger-year) | Annual discount rate | Maximum pledge-years per pledger | ||||||||||
2 | My estimates (model 1) | My estimates (model 2) | My estimates (model 3) | GWWC's estimates | My estimates (model 1) | My estimates (model 2) | My estimates (model 3) | GWWC's estimates | 3.50% | 35.1 | ||||||
3 | 1 | 6.48E+03 | 5.59E+03 | 5.91E+03 | 5.05E+03 | 100% | 6.48E+03 | 5.59E+03 | 5.91E+03 | 5.05E+03 | ||||||
4 | 2 | 6.23E+03 | 5.88E+03 | 6.01E+03 | 3.76E+03 | 96.5% | 6.01E+03 | 5.67E+03 | 5.80E+03 | 3.63E+03 | ||||||
5 | 3 | 5.98E+03 | 6.10E+03 | 6.06E+03 | 3.09E+03 | 93.1% | 5.57E+03 | 5.69E+03 | 5.64E+03 | 2.87E+03 | ||||||
6 | 4 | 5.75E+03 | 6.26E+03 | 6.06E+03 | 2.74E+03 | 89.9% | 5.17E+03 | 5.62E+03 | 5.44E+03 | 2.46E+03 | ||||||
7 | 5 | 5.53E+03 | 6.33E+03 | 6.01E+03 | 2.56E+03 | 86.7% | 4.80E+03 | 5.49E+03 | 5.21E+03 | 2.22E+03 | ||||||
8 | 6 | 5.32E+03 | 6.31E+03 | 5.91E+03 | 2.46E+03 | 83.7% | 4.45E+03 | 5.28E+03 | 4.95E+03 | 2.06E+03 | ||||||
9 | 7 | 5.11E+03 | 6.22E+03 | 5.77E+03 | 2.41E+03 | 80.8% | 4.13E+03 | 5.02E+03 | 4.66E+03 | 1.95E+03 | ||||||
10 | 8 | 4.91E+03 | 6.04E+03 | 5.58E+03 | 2.39E+03 | 77.9% | 3.83E+03 | 4.71E+03 | 4.35E+03 | 1.86E+03 | ||||||
11 | 9 | 4.72E+03 | 5.80E+03 | 5.36E+03 | 2.37E+03 | 75.2% | 3.55E+03 | 4.36E+03 | 4.03E+03 | 1.79E+03 | ||||||
12 | 10 | 4.54E+03 | 5.49E+03 | 5.10E+03 | 2.37E+03 | 72.6% | 3.29E+03 | 3.98E+03 | 3.70E+03 | 1.72E+03 | ||||||
13 | 11 | 4.36E+03 | 5.13E+03 | 4.82E+03 | 2.36E+03 | 70.0% | 3.06E+03 | 3.59E+03 | 3.37E+03 | 1.66E+03 | ||||||
14 | 12 | 4.19E+03 | 4.72E+03 | 4.51E+03 | 2.36E+03 | 67.6% | 2.83E+03 | 3.19E+03 | 3.05E+03 | 1.60E+03 | ||||||
15 | 13 | 4.03E+03 | 4.30E+03 | 4.19E+03 | 2.36E+03 | 65.2% | 2.63E+03 | 2.80E+03 | 2.73E+03 | 1.54E+03 | ||||||
16 | 14 | 3.88E+03 | 3.86E+03 | 3.87E+03 | 2.36E+03 | 62.9% | 2.44E+03 | 2.43E+03 | 2.43E+03 | 1.49E+03 | ||||||
17 | 15 | 3.73E+03 | 3.42E+03 | 3.53E+03 | 2.36E+03 | 60.7% | 2.26E+03 | 2.08E+03 | 2.15E+03 | 1.43E+03 | ||||||
18 | 16 | 3.58E+03 | 2.99E+03 | 3.20E+03 | 2.36E+03 | 58.6% | 2.10E+03 | 1.75E+03 | 1.88E+03 | 1.38E+03 | ||||||
19 | 17 | 3.44E+03 | 2.58E+03 | 2.88E+03 | 2.36E+03 | 56.6% | 1.95E+03 | 1.46E+03 | 1.63E+03 | 1.33E+03 | ||||||
20 | 18 | 3.31E+03 | 2.20E+03 | 2.57E+03 | 2.36E+03 | 54.6% | 1.81E+03 | 1.20E+03 | 1.40E+03 | 1.29E+03 | ||||||
21 | 19 | 3.18E+03 | 1.84E+03 | 2.28E+03 | 2.36E+03 | 52.7% | 1.68E+03 | 971 | 1.20E+03 | 1.24E+03 | ||||||
22 | 20 | 3.06E+03 | 1.53E+03 | 2.00E+03 | 2.36E+03 | 50.8% | 1.55E+03 | 777 | 1.01E+03 | 1.20E+03 | ||||||
23 | 21 | 2.94E+03 | 1.25E+03 | 1.74E+03 | 2.36E+03 | 49.0% | 1.44E+03 | 614 | 853 | 1.16E+03 | ||||||
24 | 22 | 2.83E+03 | 1.01E+03 | 1.50E+03 | 2.36E+03 | 47.3% | 1.34E+03 | 478 | 710 | 1.12E+03 | ||||||
25 | 23 | 2.72E+03 | 805 | 1.29E+03 | 2.36E+03 | 45.7% | 1.24E+03 | 368 | 587 | 1.08E+03 | ||||||
26 | 24 | 2.61E+03 | 633 | 1.09E+03 | 2.36E+03 | 44.1% | 1.15E+03 | 279 | 481 | 1.04E+03 | ||||||
27 | 25 | 2.51E+03 | 491 | 921 | 2.36E+03 | 42.5% | 1.07E+03 | 209 | 392 | 1.00E+03 | ||||||
28 | 26 | 2.41E+03 | 376 | 770 | 2.36E+03 | 41.0% | 990 | 154 | 316 | 968 | ||||||
29 | 27 | 2.32E+03 | 284 | 638 | 2.36E+03 | 39.6% | 918 | 113 | 253 | 935 | ||||||
30 | 28 | 2.23E+03 | 212 | 525 | 2.36E+03 | 38.2% | 852 | 81.1 | 201 | 902 | ||||||
31 | 29 | 2.14E+03 | 156 | 428 | 2.36E+03 | 36.9% | 790 | 57.6 | 158 | 870 | ||||||
32 | 30 | 2.06E+03 | 113 | 346 | 2.36E+03 | 35.6% | 733 | 40.3 | 123 | 840 | ||||||
33 | 31 | 1.98E+03 | 81.3 | 278 | 2.36E+03 | 34.3% | 680 | 27.9 | 95.4 | 810 | ||||||
34 | 32 | 1.90E+03 | 57.5 | 221 | 2.36E+03 | 33.1% | 631 | 19.1 | 73.3 | 782 | ||||||
35 | 33 | 1.83E+03 | 40.1 | 175 | 2.36E+03 | 32.0% | 585 | 12.8 | 55.9 | 755 | ||||||
36 | 34 | 1.76E+03 | 27.6 | 137 | 2.36E+03 | 30.9% | 543 | 8.53 | 42.2 | 728 | ||||||
37 | 35 | 1.69E+03 | 18.8 | 106 | 2.36E+03 | 29.8% | 503 | 5.60 | 31.6 | 703 | ||||||
38 | 36 | 1.63E+03 | 12.6 | 81.9 | 2.36E+03 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
39 | 37 | 1.56E+03 | 8.35 | 62.6 | 2.36E+03 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
40 | 38 | 1.50E+03 | 5.45 | 47.4 | 2.36E+03 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
41 | 39 | 1.44E+03 | 3.52 | 35.7 | 2.36E+03 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
42 | 40 | 1.39E+03 | 2.24 | 26.6 | 2.36E+03 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||