ECP_Swing_States_10.10.24.xlsx

	A	B	C	D	F	G	H	I	K	L	M	N	P	Q	R	S	U	V	W	X	Z	AA	AB	AC	AE	AF	AG	AH
1	ARIZONA				GEORGIA				MICHIGAN				NEVADA				NORTH CAROLINA				PENNSYLVANIA				WISCONSIN

2	Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?				Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?				Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?				Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?				Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?				Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?				Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?
3			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%
4		Approve	361	36.1		Approve	397	39.7		Approve	387	40.8		Approve	346	38.4		Approve	395	39.5		Approve	396	39.6		Approve	390	39.0
5		Disapprove	559	55.9		Disapprove	539	53.9		Disapprove	506	53.3		Disapprove	486	54.0		Disapprove	531	53.1		Disapprove	534	53.4		Disapprove	533	53.3
6		Neutral or no opinion	81	8.1		Neutral or no opinion	65	6.5		Neutral or no opinion	56	5.9		Neutral or no opinion	68	7.6		Neutral or no opinion	74	7.4		Neutral or no opinion	70	7.0		Neutral or no opinion	77	7.7
7		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	950	100.0		Total	900	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0
8
9	Do you approve or disapprove of the job Katie Hobbs is doing as Governor?				Do you approve or disapprove of the job Brian Kemp is doing as Governor?				Do you approve or disapprove of the job Gretchen Whitmer is doing as Governor?				Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Lombardo is doing as Governor?				Do you approve or disapprove of the job Roy Cooper is doing as Governor?				Do you approve or disapprove of the job Josh Shapiro is doing as Governor?				Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Evers is doing as Governor?
10			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%
11		Approve	380	38.0		Approve	545	54.5		Approve	469	49.4		Approve	331	36.8		Approve	453	45.3		Approve	482	48.2		Approve	437	43.7
12		Disapprove	407	40.7		Disapprove	250	25.0		Disapprove	406	42.7		Disapprove	262	29.1		Disapprove	394	39.4		Disapprove	349	34.9		Disapprove	420	42.0
13		Neutral or no opinion	213	21.3		Neutral or no opinion	205	20.5		Neutral or no opinion	75	7.9		Neutral or no opinion	307	34.1		Neutral or no opinion	153	15.3		Neutral or no opinion	169	16.9		Neutral or no opinion	143	14.3
14		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	950	100.0		Total	900	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0
15
16	What is your party registration?				What is your party affiliation?				What is your party affiliation?				What is your party registration?				What is your party registration?				What is your party registration?				What is your party registration?
17			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%
18		Democrat	300	30.0		Democrat	338	33.8		Democrat	357	37.6		Democrat	289	32.2		Democrat	338	33.8		Democrat	403	40.3		Democrat	331	33.1
19		Republican	342	34.2		Republican	380	38.0		Republican	351	37.0		Republican	262	29.1		Republican	366	36.6		Republican	412	41.2		Republican	364	36.4
20		Independent/other	358	35.8		Independent/other	282	28.2		Independent/other	242	25.5		Independent/other	348	38.7		Independent/other	296	29.6		Independent/other	184	18.4		Independent/other	305	30.5
21		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	950	100.0		Total	900	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0
22
23	How likely are you to vote in the November, 2024 Presidential election?				How likely are you to vote in the November, 2024 Presidential election?				How likely are you to vote in the November, 2024 Presidential election?				How likely are you to vote in the November, 2024 Presidential election?				How likely are you to vote in the November, 2024 Presidential election?				How likely are you to vote in the November, 2024 Presidential election?				How likely are you to vote in the November, 2024 Presidential election?
24			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%
25		Very likely	994	99.4		Very likely	996	99.6		Very likely	940	99.0		Very likely	900	100.0		Very likely	998	99.8		Very likely	998	99.8		Very likely	998	99.8
26		I already voted	6	0.6		I already voted	4	0.4		I already voted	10	1.0						I already voted	2	0.2		I already voted	2	0.2		Already voted	2	0.2
27		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	950	100.0						Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0
28
29	If the Presidential Election were held today, would you vote for Kamala Harris or Donald Trump? - Selected Choice				If the Presidential Election were held today, would you vote for Kamala Harris or Donald Trump? - Selected Choice				If the Presidential Election were held today, would you vote for Kamala Harris or Donald Trump? - Selected Choice				If the Presidential Election were held today, would you vote for Kamala Harris or Donald Trump? - Selected Choice				If the Presidential Election were held today, would you vote for Kamala Harris or Donald Trump? - Selected Choice				If the Presidential Election were held today, would you vote for Kamala Harris or Donald Trump?				If the Presidential Election were held today, would you vote for Kamala Harris or Donald Trump?
30			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%
31		Kamala Harris	472	47.2		Kamala Harris	483	48.3		Kamala Harris	467	49.2		Kamala Harris	432	48.1		Kamala Harris	476	47.6		Kamala Harris	482	48.2		Kamala Harris	487	48.7
32		Donald Trump	494	49.4		Donald Trump	492	49.2		Donald Trump	465	49.0		Donald Trump	426	47.3		Donald Trump	493	49.3		Donald Trump	493	49.3		Donald Trump	493	49.3
33		Someone else (specify)	13	1.3		Someone else	6	0.6		Someone else	6	0.7		Someone else (please specify)	8	0.9		Someone else	10	1.0		Someone else	13	1.3		Someone else (please specify)	9	0.9
34		Undecided	21	2.1		Undecided	19	1.9		Undecided	11	1.2		None of these candidates	8	0.9		Undecided	21	2.1		Undecided	13	1.3		Undecided	11	1.1
35		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	950	100.0		Undecided	25	2.7		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0
36														Total	900	100.0
37
38	Although you are undecided, which candidate do you lean toward?				Although you are undecided, which candidate do you lean toward?				Although you are undecided, which candidate do you lean toward?				Although you are undecided, which candidate do you lean toward?				Although you are undecided, which candidate do you lean toward?				Although you are undecided, which candidate do you lean toward?				Although you are undecided, which candidate do you lean toward?
39			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%
40		Kamala Harris	10	47.8		Kamala Harris	14	77.9		Kamala Harris	5	48.2		Kamala Harris	10	41.1		Kamala Harris	14	69.3		Kamala Harris	8	63.9		Kamala Harris	5	43.9
41		Donald Trump	11	52.2		Donald Trump	4	22.1		Donald Trump	6	51.8		Donald Trump	7	29.4		Donald Trump	6	30.7		Donald Trump	5	36.1		Donald Trump	6	56.1
42		Total	21	100.0		Total	19	100.0		Total	11	100.0		None of these candidates	7	29.5		Total	21	100.0		Total	13	100.0		Total	11	100.0
43	Missing	System	979		Missing	System	981		Missing	System	939			Total	25	100.0	Missing	System	979		Missing	System	987		Missing	System	989
44	Total		1000		Total		1000		Total		950		Missing	System	875		Total		1000		Total		1000		Total		1000
45													Total		900
46
47	Combined Presidential Vote				Combined Presidential Vote				Combined Presidential Vote				Combined Presidential Vote				Combined Presidential Vote				Combined Presidential Vote				Combined Presidential Vote
48			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%
49		Kamala Harris	482	48.2		Kamala Harris	498	49.8		Kamala Harris	472	49.7		Kamala Harris	443	49.2		Kamala Harris	490	49.0		Kamala Harris	490	49.0		Kamala Harris	492	49.2
50		Donald Trump	505	50.5		Donald Trump	497	49.7		Donald Trump	471	49.6		Donald Trump	433	48.1		Donald Trump	499	49.9		Donald Trump	497	49.7		Donald Trump	499	49.9
51		Someone else (specify)	13	1.3		Someone else	6	0.6		Someone else	6	0.7		Someone else (please specify)	8	0.9		Someone else	10	1.0		Someone else	13	1.3		Someone else (please specify)	9	0.9
52		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	950	100.0		None of these candidates	16	1.8		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0
53														Total	900	100.0
54
55	Regardless of who you support for president, who do you expect to be president after the 2024 election?				Regardless of who you support for president, who do you expect to be president after the 2024 election?				Regardless of who you support for president, who do you expect to be president after the 2024 election?				Regardless of who you support for president, who do you expect to be president after the 2024 election?				Regardless of who you support for president, who do you expect to be president after the 2024 election?				Regardless of who you support for president, who do you expect to be president after the 2024 election?				Regardless of who you support for president, who do you expect to be president after the 2024 election?
56			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%
57		Kamala Harris	508	50.8		Kamala Harris	519	51.9		Kamala Harris	493	51.9		Kamala Harris	452	50.3		Kamala Harris	497	49.7		Kamala Harris	512	51.2		Kamala Harris	519	51.9
58		Donald Trump	477	47.7		Donald Trump	474	47.4		Donald Trump	447	47.0		Donald Trump	435	48.3		Donald Trump	488	48.8		Donald Trump	478	47.8		Donald Trump	473	47.3
59		Someone else	15	1.5		Someone else	8	0.8		Someone else	10	1.0		Someone else	12	1.4		Someone else	15	1.5		Someone else	10	1.0		Someone else	8	0.8
60		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	950	100.0		Total	900	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0
61
62	In the 2024 US Senate Matchup between Democrat Ruben Gallego and Republican Kari Lake, who would you vote for at this time?								In the 2024 US Senate election between Democrat Elissa Slotkin and Republican Mike Rogers, who would you vote for at this time?				In the 2024 US Senate Matchup between Democrat Jacky Rosen and Republican Sam Brown, who would you vote for at this time?				If the gubernatorial election between Democrat Josh Stein and Republican Mark K. Robinson were held today, who would you vote for at this time?				In the U.S. Senate election between Democrat Bob Casey and Republican David McCormick, who would you vote for at this time?				In the U.S. Senate election between Democrat Tammy Baldwin and Republican Eric Hovde, who would you vote for at this time?
63			#	%							#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%
64		Democrat Ruben Gallego	500	50.0						Democrat Elissa Slotkin	463	48.7		Democrat Jacky Rosen	453	50.4		Democrat Josh Stein	495	49.5		Democrat Bob Casey	477	47.7		Democrat Tammy Baldwin	498	49.8
65		Republican Kari Lake	434	43.4						Republican Mike Rogers	413	43.5		Republican Sam Brown	375	41.7		Republican Mark K. Robinson	344	34.4		Republican David McCormick	460	46.0		Republican Eric Hovde	456	45.6
66		Undecided	65	6.5						Undecided	74	7.8		None of these candidates	24	2.7		Someone else	48	4.8		Undecided	63	6.3		Undecided	46	4.6
67		Total	1000	100.0						Total	950	100.0		Undecided	48	5.3		Undecided	113	11.3		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0
68														Total	900	100.0		Total	1000	100.0
69
70	Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of the following individuals? First, Kamala Harris				Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of the following individuals? First, Kamala Harris				Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of the following individuals? First, Kamala Harris				Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of the following individuals? First, Kamala Harris				Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of the following individuals? First, Kamala Harris				Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of the following individuals? First, Kamala Harris				Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of the following individuals? First, Kamala Harris
71			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%
72		Very favorable	359	35.9		Very favorable	368	36.8		Very favorable	360	37.9		Very favorable	356	39.6		Very favorable	387	38.7		Very favorable	379	37.9		Very favorable	385	38.5
73		Somewhat favorable	124	12.4		Somewhat favorable	151	15.1		Somewhat favorable	121	12.7		Somewhat favorable	92	10.2		Somewhat favorable	111	11.1		Somewhat favorable	101	10.1		Somewhat favorable	121	12.1
74		Somewhat unfavorable	47	4.7		Somewhat unfavorable	60	6.0		Somewhat unfavorable	52	5.5		Somewhat unfavorable	57	6.4		Somewhat unfavorable	53	5.3		Somewhat unfavorable	63	6.3		Somewhat unfavorable	65	6.5
75		Very unfavorable	471	47.1		Very unfavorable	420	42.0		Very unfavorable	417	43.9		Very unfavorable	395	43.8		Very unfavorable	449	44.9		Very unfavorable	458	45.8		Very unfavorable	429	42.9
76		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	950	100.0		Total	900	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0
77
78	Donald Trump				Donald Trump				Donald Trump				Donald Trump				Donald Trump				Donald Trump				Donald Trump
79			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%
80		Very favorable	355	35.5		Very favorable	346	34.6		Very favorable	310	32.7		Very favorable	292	32.4		Very favorable	372	37.2		Very favorable	356	35.6		Very favorable	332	33.2
81		Somewhat favorable	136	13.6		Somewhat favorable	138	13.8		Somewhat favorable	147	15.5		Somewhat favorable	113	12.6		Somewhat favorable	150	15.0		Somewhat favorable	141	14.1		Somewhat favorable	155	15.5
82		Somewhat unfavorable	51	5.1		Somewhat unfavorable	81	8.1		Somewhat unfavorable	54	5.7		Somewhat unfavorable	67	7.5		Somewhat unfavorable	57	5.7		Somewhat unfavorable	52	5.2		Somewhat unfavorable	42	4.2
83		Very unfavorable	459	45.9		Very unfavorable	435	43.5		Very unfavorable	438	46.1		Very unfavorable	427	47.5		Very unfavorable	421	42.1		Very unfavorable	450	45.0		Very unfavorable	472	47.2
84		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	950	100.0		Total	900	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0
85
86	Barack Obama				Barack Obama				Barack Obama				Barack Obama				Barack Obama				Barack Obama				Barack Obama
87			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%
88		Very favorable	386	38.6		Very favorable	406	40.6		Very favorable	409	43.1		Very favorable	379	42.1		Very favorable	443	44.3		Very favorable	399	39.9		Very favorable	418	41.8
89		Somewhat favorable	153	15.3		Somewhat favorable	157	15.7		Somewhat favorable	135	14.3		Somewhat favorable	126	14.0		Somewhat favorable	112	11.2		Somewhat favorable	147	14.7		Somewhat favorable	138	13.8
90		Somewhat unfavorable	123	12.3		Somewhat unfavorable	152	15.2		Somewhat unfavorable	115	12.1		Somewhat unfavorable	139	15.4		Somewhat unfavorable	107	10.7		Somewhat unfavorable	120	12.0		Somewhat unfavorable	145	14.5
91		Very unfavorable	337	33.7		Very unfavorable	285	28.5		Very unfavorable	290	30.5		Very unfavorable	256	28.4		Very unfavorable	338	33.8		Very unfavorable	334	33.4		Very unfavorable	299	29.9
92		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	950	100.0		Total	900	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0		Total	1000	100.0
93
94	What do you think is the most important issue facing Arizona? - Selected Choice				What do you think is the most important issue facing Georgia? - Selected Choice				What do you think is the most important issue facing Michigan? - Selected Choice				What do you think is the most important issue facing Nevada? - Selected Choice				What do you think is the most important issue facing North Carolina? - Selected Choice				What do you think is the most important issue facing Pennsylvania?				What do you think is the most important issue facing Wisconsin?
95			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%			#	%
96		Healthcare	39	3.9		Healthcare	65	6.5		Healthcare	67	7.1		Healthcare	45	5.0		Healthcare	79	7.9		Healthcare	73	7.3		Healthcare	77	7.7
97		Education	53	5.3		Education	37	3.7		Education	36	3.8		Education	71	7.9		Education	88	8.8		Education	33	3.3		Education	53	5.3
98		Economy (jobs, inflation, taxes)	244	24.4		Economy (jobs, inflation, taxes)	474	47.4		Economy (jobs, inflation, taxes)	485	51.1		Economy (jobs, inflation, taxes)	328	36.4		Economy (jobs, inflation, taxes)	444	44.4		Economy (jobs, inflation, taxes)	466	46.6		Economy (jobs, inflation, taxes)	426	42.6
99		Crime	14	1.4		Crime	51	5.1		Crime	33	3.4		Crime	31	3.4		Crime	18	1.8		Crime	40	4.0		Crime	38	3.8
100		Immigration	297	29.7		Immigration	83	8.3		Immigration	59	6.2		Immigration	112	12.5		Immigration	102	10.2		Immigration	108	10.8		Immigration	88	8.8