2009ProjectionsComp
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2009 Player Projections Accuracy as Measured by Correlation to Actual Results
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Correlation CoefficientPECOTACHONEZiPSCAIROMarcelFantisticsCorrelation CoefficientPECOTACHONEZiPSCAIROMarcelFantistics
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Playing TimeIP
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Entire group0.5240.5520.5370.5390.6960.763Entire group0.6910.5690.6070.5920.7050.725
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200+ PA0.5510.5640.5640.5200.5470.609All SPs0.6150.4360.4870.4920.6360.677
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400+ PA0.4990.5170.4930.4590.4060.519All RPs0.3810.1800.2780.0730.4190.402
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Age 21-25 (200 PA+)0.4150.4830.5000.3470.6130.561100 IP+0.3860.2490.3260.2270.4370.491
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26-310.5570.5840.5470.5340.5740.60823-27 (100 IP+)0.4020.2390.4560.3700.5440.504
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32+0.6090.5840.6100.5830.5690.65528-330.2480.0770.1250.1000.2690.411
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34+0.5690.5330.3860.2830.3200.615
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BA
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Entire group0.2690.3090.3030.2870.3000.195ERA
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200+ PA0.4650.5650.4980.4470.5280.331Entire group0.1170.2250.1230.2070.1100.182
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400+ PA0.4780.5750.5060.4270.5410.498All SPs0.2100.1300.2090.2360.1980.314
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Age 21-25 (200 PA+)0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000All RPs0.0430.3590.0610.2080.0230.052
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26-310.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000100 IP+0.3680.2550.3800.3000.3160.234
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32+0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.00023-27 (100 IP+)0.3090.1230.2830.1990.2940.295
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28-330.4350.3270.4620.3860.3130.247
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HR34+0.4540.5720.7230.6620.5300.622
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Entire group0.6950.6910.6980.6760.7140.771
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200+ PA0.6880.6990.7090.6820.6640.720Ks
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400+ PA0.6940.7040.7130.6710.6660.737Entire group0.7090.5880.6350.6420.6920.710
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Age 21-25 (200 PA+)0.7280.7520.7250.7280.7290.767All SPs0.6830.5250.5870.6140.6650.697
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26-310.6550.7010.6930.6990.6640.697All RPs0.4760.3760.4270.3280.4300.457
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32+0.7260.7190.7190.6610.6910.742100 IP+0.6530.4370.5500.5010.5510.667
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23-27 (100 IP+)0.6270.4020.5680.5620.5730.616
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R28-330.5920.3850.4980.4750.5440.679
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Entire group0.6590.6380.5950.6340.7090.76434+0.6150.5190.3350.3930.2080.612
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200+ PA0.6180.6430.5780.6050.5890.634
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400+ PA0.5690.6000.4640.5480.4940.566Wins
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Age 21-25 (200 PA+)0.5380.5830.5540.6140.6580.597Entire group0.6680.5770.6050.6420.6520.707
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26-310.6150.6530.5560.6090.5920.624All SPs0.6100.4810.5290.5800.5920.675
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32+0.6340.6660.6000.6610.6570.706All RPs0.2900.2470.2610.2190.3000.324
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100 IP+0.3460.2120.3120.2650.3680.431
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SB23-27 (100 IP+)0.3430.0960.2880.2400.3370.415
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Entire group0.7260.6810.6530.6860.7330.75628-330.2920.2230.2750.2200.3730.403
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200+ PA0.7930.7990.7850.7590.7780.78934+0.6020.4500.3890.4340.3370.779
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400+ PA0.8080.8290.8250.7530.7850.806
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Age 21-25 (200 PA+)0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000Saves
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26-310.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000Entire group0.734N/AN/A0.6350.6500.760
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32+0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000All SPs0.312N/AN/A0.0920.1370.310
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All RPs0.713N/AN/A0.6040.6230.747
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RBI
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Entire group0.6570.6390.6700.6350.7260.763WHIP
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200+ PA0.6390.6480.6660.6110.6390.668Entire group0.1490.2610.1830.1970.0310.251
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400+ PA0.6130.6550.6310.5810.6100.665All SPs0.2560.1950.2830.2770.0070.426
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Age 21-25 (200 PA+)0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000All RPs0.0850.3460.1280.1600.0430.123
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26-310.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000100 IP+0.4340.3460.4200.306-0.2570.242
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32+0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.00023-27 (100 IP+)0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
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28-330.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
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34+0.0000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
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Study Conducted by Greg Aldin
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Click below to download supporting documents:
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http://www.fantasyplayerprojections.com/2009TotalsP.xls
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http://www.fantasyplayerprojections.com/2009Totals.xls
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