| A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | SCF Going Calibration | https://www.going.com/guides/travel-predictions-for-2023 | ||||||||
2 | https://manifold.markets/browse?s=score&f=all&ct=ALL&topic=scotts-cheap-flights-going-2023-pre | |||||||||
3 | Question | Link | Scott | Correct? | mcw | Correct? | Manifold | Correct? | Resolved | |
4 | 1. Airfare will fall at least 5% compared to 2022. | https://manifold.markets/MattCWilson/1-airfare-will-fall-at-least-5-comp | 70 | TRUE | 75 | TRUE | 90 | TRUE | 100 | |
5 | 2. Flights to Asia will get cheaper. | https://manifold.markets/MattCWilson/2-flights-to-asia-will-get-cheaper | 90 | TRUE | 51 | TRUE | 60 | TRUE | 100 | |
6 | 3. More Mistake Fares in 2023 than 2022. | https://manifold.markets/MattCWilson/3-more-mistake-fares-in-2023-than-2 | 60 | TRUE | 51 | TRUE | 72 | TRUE | 100 | |
7 | 4. More cheap flights to Tokyo. | https://manifold.markets/MattCWilson/4-more-cheap-flights-to-tokyo | 80 | TRUE | 71 | TRUE | 84 | TRUE | 100 | |
8 | 5. Flights will be less full in 2023 than 2022. | https://manifold.markets/MattCWilson/5-flights-will-be-less-full-in-2023 | 70 | FALSE | 71 | FALSE | 22 | TRUE | 0 | |
9 | 6. Flight volume will stay below 2019 levels. | https://manifold.markets/MattCWilson/6-flight-volume-will-stay-below-201 | 80 | TRUE | 66 | TRUE | 76 | TRUE | 100 | |
10 | 7. Seat volume will exceed 2019 levels. | https://manifold.markets/MattCWilson/7-seat-volume-will-exceed-2019-leve | 60 | TRUE | 49 | FALSE | 36 | FALSE | 100 | |
11 | 8. The federal government will move to block the Spirit/JetBlue merger. | https://manifold.markets/MattCWilson/8-the-federal-government-will-move | 60 | TRUE | 29 | FALSE | 92 | TRUE | 100 | |
12 | 9. No bankruptcy among major US airlines. | https://manifold.markets/MattCWilson/9-no-bankruptcy-among-major-us-airl | 90 | TRUE | 76 | TRUE | 97 | TRUE | 100 | |
13 | 10. At least 3 more countries will announce plans to lift airport liquid restrictions. | https://manifold.markets/MattCWilson/10-at-least-3-more-countries-will-a | 70 | FALSE | 34 | TRUE | 15 | TRUE | 0 | |
14 | 11. The Department of Transportation proposes its final rule on flight refunds. | https://manifold.markets/MattCWilson/11-the-department-of-transportation | 60 | FALSE | 34 | TRUE | 8 | TRUE | 0 | |
15 | 12. One of the big 6 US airlines will buy out a smaller carrier. | https://manifold.markets/MattCWilson/12-one-of-the-big-6-us-airlines-wil | 60 | TRUE | 49 | FALSE | 92 | TRUE | 100 | |
16 | 13. There will be fewer flight cancellations than 2022. | https://manifold.markets/MattCWilson/13-there-will-be-fewer-flight-cance | 70 | TRUE | 49 | FALSE | 95 | TRUE | 100 |