A | B | C | D | E | T | U | V | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Moral weights and discount rate | Active | GiveWell 2020 | Anyone | Conventional | Notes | |||
2 | Moral weights | ||||||||
3 | |||||||||
4 | Consumption Increases | ||||||||
5 | Value assigned to doubling consumption for one person for one year | 1.0 | 1 | 0.40 | |||||
6 | |||||||||
7 | Averting deaths | ||||||||
8 | Value assigned to averting the death of an individual under 5 from malaria | 117 | 117 | 37 | Chart from Carneiro et al. 2010 showing malaria deaths by age | ||||
9 | Value assigned to averting the death of an individual 5 or older from malaria | 83 | 83 | 30 | Malaria deaths by age based on 2015 Global Burden of Disease estimates | ||||
10 | Value assigned to averting the death of a 6- to 59-month-old child (VAS) | 118 | 118 | 37 | Lopez et al. 2006 | ||||
11 | Value assigned to averting the death of an individual under 5 from vaccine-preventable diseases | 117 | 117 | 37 | Lopez et al. 2006 | ||||
12 | Value assigned to averting the death of an individual 5-14 years old from vaccine-preventable diseases | 134 | 134 | 37 | Lopez et al. 2006 | ||||
13 | Value assigned to averting the death of an individual 15-49 years old from vaccine-preventable diseases | 104 | 104 | 30 | Lopez et al. 2006 | ||||
14 | Value assigned to averting the death of an individual 50-74 years old from vaccine-preventable diseases | 42 | 42 | 12 | Lopez et al. 2006 | ||||
15 | |||||||||
16 | Active column pulls from: | ||||||||
17 | GiveWell 2020 | ||||||||
18 | |||||||||
19 | Derived value assignments | ||||||||
20 | Value assigned to increasing consumption by 10% for one person for one year | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.06 | |||||
21 | Value assigned to increasing consumption by 25% for one person for one year | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.13 | |||||
22 | Value assigned to increasing ln(consumption) by one unit for one person for one year | 1.44 | 1.44 | 0.58 | |||||
23 | |||||||||
24 | Value assigned to increasing consumption by 10% for 100 people for one year | 13.8 | 13.8 | 5.5 | |||||
25 | Value assigned to increasing consumption by 25% for 100 people for one year | 32.2 | 32.2 | 12.9 | |||||
26 | |||||||||
27 | Implications | ||||||||
28 | Value of an age 5+ life saved relative to an under-5 life saved | 71% | 71% | 81% | |||||
29 | Value of doubling consumption for one person for one year relative to saving the life of a child under-5 (AMF) | 1% | 1% | 1% | |||||
30 | |||||||||
31 | Discount rate | ||||||||
32 | Improving circumstances over time | 1.7% | 1.7% | ||||||
33 | Compounding non-monetary benefits | 0.9% | 0.9% | ||||||
34 | Temporal uncertainty | 1.4% | 1.4% | ||||||
35 | Pure time preference (donors) | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
36 | Pure time preference (program participants) | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
37 | Overall discount rate | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | |||||
38 | |||||||||
39 |