Healthcare M&A Tracker
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INPUTSPOTENTIAL RETURNSSHEET BY
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Ticker of company being boughtAETProjected Profit (PP=TO-i)$193.09Emory Redd
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Ticker of company BuyingCVSLikelihood of deal happening (LDH)75%LinkedIn
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Shares of Buyer offered0.8378Adjusted Projected Profit (APP)$144.81Twitter
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Cash offered$145.00Projected Rate of Return (PRR)148527.22%Hedgeroll
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Tender Offer ( cash+shares) (TO)$193.22
Adj. Potential Rate of Return ((APRR=APP/I)
111395.42%
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Projected Price if deal falls apart (PPDFA)$155.00Calcs based on this
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Midpoint Deal Close Date9/30/2018
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Closing Date Range (Days)30emails
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Likelihood of deal happening (LDH)75%
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AET$0.13
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CVS$57.55
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RISKRISK ADJUSTED RETURNS
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Projected Loss (PL=i-PPDFA)-$154.87Risk Adj. Potential Profit (RAPP=APP-APL)$183.53
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Likelihood of deal falling apart (LDFA=1-LDH)
25%Risk Adj. Rate of Return (RAPRR=RAPP/I)141178.11%
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Adjusted Projected Loss (APL)-$38.72
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ANNUALIZED RETURNS
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Est. Close Date
Days till close
Simple Annualized Return
Risk Adj. Ann. Return
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8/31/2018-311-100.0%-100.0%
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9/30/2018-282-100.0%-100.0%
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10/30/2018-252-100.0%-100.0%
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NOTES
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https://cvshealth.com/newsroom/press-releases/cvs-health-acquire-aetna-combination-provide-consumers-better-experience
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