Daily Kos: Grading the Pollsters 2012
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRST
1
ContestYearDateLeaderResultsPollsterWinnerParty BiasErrorParty Error
2
NM-01201210.30.12Lujan Grisham51-36Albuquerque JournalWR3-3
3
NM-02201210.30.12Pearce56-38Albuquerque JournalWT00
4
NM-03201210.30.12Lujan53-35Albuquerque JournalWR8-8
5
NM-Pres201210.29.12Obama50-41-5Albuquerque JournalWR1-1
6
NM-Sen201210.29.12Heinrich50-42-3Albuquerque JournalWD22
7
CO-Pres201210.29.12Romney48-47American Research GroupLR6-6
8
FL-Pres201210.12.12Romney49-46American Research GroupLR4-4
9
IA-Pres201211.05.12Romney49-48American Research GroupLR7-7
10
NC-Pres201210.01.12Romney50-46-1American Research GroupWR2-2
11
NH-Gov201210.12.12Lamontagne46-40-3American Research GroupLR18-18
12
NH-Pres201211.05.12Obama49-49American Research GroupTR6-6
13
NV-Pres201210.23.12Obama49-47American Research GroupWR4-4
14
OH-Pres201210.26.12Obama49-47American Research GroupWR1-1
15
VA-Pres201210.15.12Romney48-47American Research GroupLR5-5
16
FL-Pres201211.05.12Obama49-49Angus ReidTR1-1
17
FL-Sen201211.05.12Nelson53-45Angus ReidWR5-5
18
MI-Pres201211.05.12Obama52-47Angus ReidWR4-4
19
MI-Sen201211.05.12Stabenow56-43Angus ReidWR8-8
20
OH-Pres201210.22.12Obama48-48Angus ReidWR3-3
21
OH-Sen201210.22.12Brown52-45Angus ReidWD11
22
PA-Pres201211.05.12Obama51-47Angus ReidWR1-1
23
PA-Sen201211.05.12Casey53-46Angus ReidWR2-2
24
WI-Pres201211.05.12Obama53-46Angus ReidWT00
25
WI-Sen201211.05.12Baldwin50-48Angus ReidWR3-2
26
AZ-Sen201210.23.12Carmona45-41-5Anzalone Liszt (D)LD77
27
FL-22201210.23.12Frankel47-37Anzalone Liszt (D)WT00
28
IL-08201210.19.12Duckworth54-39Anzalone Liszt (D)WD55
29
IL-13201210.23.12Gill48-39Anzalone Liszt (D)LD1010
30
IL-17201210.08.12Bustos45-44Anzalone Liszt (D)WR5-5
31
IN-Sen201210.26.12Donnelly47-40Anzalone Liszt (D)WD11
32
NC-08201210.03.12Kissell40-39Anzalone Liszt (D)LD99
33
OH-06201210.11.12Wilson49-43Anzalone Liszt (D)LD1212
34
TX-14201210.17.12Weber46-43Anzalone Liszt (D)WD55
35
FL-26201210.16.12Garcia46-35-3Benenson Strategies (D)WT00
36
GA-12201210.12.12Barrow48-45Benenson Strategies (D)WR5-5
37
HI-Sen201210.19.12Hirono56-38Benenson Strategies (D)WR8-8
38
IN-Gov201210.25.12Pence46-40-6Benenson Strategies (D)WR4-4
39
MI-01201210.03.12McDowell43-40-9Benenson Strategies (D)LD33
40
NV-03201210.09.12Heck45-40Benenson Strategies (D)WD22
41
VA-02201210.04.12Rigell49-40Benenson Strategies (D)WR1-1
42
UT-01201211.02.12Bishop72-15Dan Jones and AssociatesWR11-11
43
UT-02201211.02.12Stewart44-28Dan Jones and AssociatesWD1212
44
UT-03201211.02.12Chaffetz68-18Dan Jones and AssociatesWD44
45
UT-04201211.04.12Love48-43Dan Jones and AssociatesLR6-6
46
UT-Gov201211.02.12Herbert69-24Dan Jones and AssociatesWR5-5
47
UT-Pres201211.02.12Romney69-26Dan Jones and AssociatesWD55
48
UT-Sen201211.02.12Hatch63-26Dan Jones and AssociatesWR2-2
49
FL-22201210.17.12Frankel49-39DCCC IVR (D)WT00
50
IL-08201210.08.12Duckworth52-42DCCC IVR (D)WT00
51
IL-10201210.16.12Schneider44-43DCCC IVR (D)WR1-1
52
IL-13201210.16.12Gill43-37DCCC IVR (D)LD77
53
NE-02201210.17.12Terry48-44DCCC IVR (D)WR2-2
54
CT-05201210.25.12Esty46-42Garin-Hart-Yang (D)WD22
55
FL-18201210.01.12Murphy52-43Garin-Hart-Yang (D)WD99
56
IL-11201210.22.12Foster49-45Garin-Hart-Yang (D)WR14-14
57
MT-Sen201211.05.12Tester44-43-4Garin-Hart-Yang (D)WR2-2
58
PA-Sen201210.19.12Casey52-39Garin-Hart-Yang (D)WD44
59
VA-Pres201210.29.12Obama49-46Garin-Hart-Yang (D)WR1-1
60
VA-Sen201210.22.12Kaine48-44Garin-Hart-Yang (D)WR2-2
61
CA-09201210.15.12McNerney47-39Global Strategy Group (D)WR4-4
62
FL-10201210.23.12Webster43-41Global Strategy Group (D)WD22
63
IN-Sen201210.31.12Donnelly43-36-9Global Strategy Group (D)WD11
64
MN-08201210.09.12Nolan42-42Global Strategy Group (D)WR8-8
65
NH-01201210.22.12Shea-Porter46-43-6Global Strategy Group (D)WR1-1
66
NV-03201210.03.12Heck42-38Global Strategy Group (D)WD33
67
NY-18201210.09.12Hayworth44-42Global Strategy Group (D)LR6-6
68
NY-21201211.01.12Owens47-40Global Strategy Group (D)WD55
69
UT-04201210.15.12Matheson48-41Global Strategy Group (D)WD66
70
CO-Pres201210.15.12Obama48-46Gravis Marketing ®WR3-3
71
FL-09201210.18.12Grayson56-41Gravis Marketing ®WR11-11
72
FL-Pres201211.05.12Obama49-49Gravis Marketing ®TR1-1
73
FL-Sen201210.31.12Nelson49-46Gravis Marketing ®WR10-10
74
IA-Pres201211.02.12Obama49-45Gravis Marketing ®WR2-2
75
MI-Pres201210.11.12Obama46-44Gravis Marketing ®WR7-7
76
NC-Gov201210.09.12McCrory50-33Gravis Marketing ®WR5-5
77
NC-Pres201211.05.12Romney50-46Gravis Marketing ®WR2-2
78
NE-02201210.31.12Terry57-43Gravis Marketing ®WR12-12
79
NE-Pres201210.31.12Romney61-39Gravis Marketing ®WT00
80
NE-Sen201210.31.12Fischer56-44Gravis Marketing ®WD44
81
NH-Pres201211.02.12Obama50-49Gravis Marketing ®WR5-5
82
NV-Pres201210.26.12Obama50-49Gravis Marketing ®WR5-5
83
NV-Sen201210.05.12Heller52-36Gravis Marketing ®WR15-15
84
OH-Pres201211.05.12Obama49-48Gravis Marketing ®WR1-1
85
OH-Sen201210.29.12Brown48-47Gravis Marketing ®WR5-5
86
PA-Pres201211.05.12Obama49-46Gravis Marketing ®WR2-2
87
VA-Pres201210.29.12Obama48-48Gravis Marketing ®TR4-4
88
VA-Sen201210.29.12Allen48-46Gravis Marketing ®LR8-8
89
AZ-02201210.01.12Barber54-40Grove Insight (D)WD1313
90
CA-52201210.23.12Peters45-40Grove Insight (D)WD33
91
CO-03201210.03.12Tipton42-39-5Grove Insight (D)WD99
92
CO-Pres201210.30.12Obama48-45Grove Insight (D)WR2-2
93
FL-Pres201210.25.12Obama47-45Grove Insight (D)WD11
94
IA-Pres201211.04.12Obama47-44Grove Insight (D)WR3-3
95
MI-Pres201211.02.12Obama48-41Grove Insight (D)WR2-2
96
NC-Pres201210.26.12Obama47-44Grove Insight (D)LD55
97
NH-Pres201210.29.12Obama47-44Grove Insight (D)WR3-3
98
NV-Pres201210.30.12Obama49-43Grove Insight (D)WT00
99
NV-Sen201210.30.12Heller44-43Grove Insight (D)WT00
100
NY-19201210.09.12Gibson43-41Grove Insight (D)WD44
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Polling Data
Pollster Rankings