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Maine General Election Poll
N=1,008 Telephone (Landline and Cell) and Online
10-13 February 2020
+/- 3.21% at the 95% Credibility Interval
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AgeGenderPartyDemocratic Primary EligibleCollege/Non-collegeCommunity typeCongressional DistrictYork and Cumberland vs the rest of the stateGender by ageGender by community type
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All18 to 3435 to 4950 to 64Over 65MaleFemaleDemocraticRepublicanIndependentDemocratic Primary Eligible VotersNon Four-Year College GradFour Year College GradCityRural areaSomewhere in between a city and rural areaCD1CD2All OthersYork/CumberlandMale and 49 and underMale and 50 and overFemale and 49 and underFemale and 50 and overMale and CityMale and Rural areaMale and Somewhere in between a city and rural areaFemale and CityFemale and Rural areaFemale and Somewhere in between a city and rural area
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q1: We understand that plenty of people are not registered to vote, but we are wondering if you are registered to vote?
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Yes100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
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No0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
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Unweighted N10081362583113035055033003493333836023521595253195154936523552092961853189823916561286154
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12
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Party
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Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a Democrat, Republican, independent or something else?
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PartyAll18 to 3435 to 4950 to 64Over 65MaleFemaleDemocraticRepublicanIndependentDemocratic Primary Eligible VotersNon Four-Year College GradFour Year College GradCityRural areaSomewhere in between a city and rural areaCD1CD2All OthersYork/CumberlandMale and 49 and underMale and 50 and overFemale and 49 and underFemale and 50 and overMale and CityMale and Rural areaMale and Somewhere in between a city and rural areaFemale and CityFemale and Rural areaFemale and Somewhere in between a city and rural area
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Net: Democrat30%32%35%30%28%25%36%100%0%0%76%27%36%41%26%30%32%28%30%31%27%24%41%34%39%16%25%43%33%36%
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Net: Republican28%13%25%32%30%34%22%0%100%0%0%33%21%19%32%28%25%32%30%26%25%38%19%24%19%42%35%18%25%20%
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Net: Independent41%55%41%38%43%41%42%0%0%100%24%40%43%40%42%42%43%40%40%43%49%38%41%42%41%41%40%38%42%44%
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Strong Democrat19%15%23%17%22%19%20%64%0%0%49%16%26%30%15%20%23%15%18%21%19%19%22%19%30%12%20%30%17%19%
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Not Very Strong Democrat11%17%12%13%6%6%16%36%0%0%28%11%10%12%11%10%9%13%12%10%8%5%19%15%10%4%5%14%17%16%
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Lean Democrat15%28%13%14%16%14%16%0%0%40%19%15%17%18%14%16%16%15%15%16%23%11%11%19%21%9%16%16%17%16%
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Independent/Other14%16%19%11%16%14%15%0%0%30%4%16%11%10%16%14%17%12%11%19%19%12%18%14%7%19%11%13%14%18%
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Lean Republican12%11%9%14%11%13%10%0%0%30%1%9%16%12%11%12%10%14%14%8%7%16%12%10%14%13%13%10%10%11%
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Not Very Strong Republican14%6%10%19%13%17%12%0%51%0%0%17%11%11%16%14%14%14%14%15%10%19%9%14%9%21%17%14%13%10%
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Strong Republican14%7%14%13%17%18%10%0%49%0%0%16%10%8%16%14%11%17%16%11%14%19%10%10%11%21%18%4%12%10%
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Unweighted N10081362583113035055033003493333836023521595253195154936523552092961853189823916561286154
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28
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Independents: Primary re-registration
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q6: Primaries in Maine are closed, meaning that in order to participate, you have to be a registered member of a party. Do you plan to register as a member of a party in order to participate in this year’s primaries?
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Independents: Primary re-registrationAll18 to 3435 to 4950 to 64Over 65MaleFemaleDemocraticRepublicanIndependentDemocratic Primary Eligible VotersNon Four-Year College GradFour Year College GradCityRural areaSomewhere in between a city and rural areaCD1CD2All OthersYork/CumberlandMale and 49 and underMale and 50 and overFemale and 49 and underFemale and 50 and overMale and CityMale and Rural areaMale and Somewhere in between a city and rural areaFemale and CityFemale and Rural areaFemale and Somewhere in between a city and rural area
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Yes, I plan to re-register as a member of the Democratic party27%56%24%18%28%26%28%--27%100%25%30%39%23%25%29%24%28%26%46%14%23%30%44%16%25%32%27%26%
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Yes, I plan to re-register as a member of the Republican party12%15%12%12%12%16%9%--12%0%11%13%19%12%9%9%16%17%5%12%18%14%6%25%16%10%10%8%8%
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No, I do not plan to re-register61%30%64%70%60%58%64%--61%0%64%57%42%66%66%62%60%56%69%42%68%64%64%30%68%65%57%64%66%
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Unweighted N333448898103152181003338919412744190971761572111226191711102381462110951
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37
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General election: Likely to vote
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q7: We know that people are very busy and voting can take some time. Thinking ahead to this November, how likely are you to vote in the 2020 general election for president?
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General election: Likely to voteAll18 to 3435 to 4950 to 64Over 65MaleFemaleDemocraticRepublicanIndependentDemocratic Primary Eligible VotersNon Four-Year College GradFour Year College GradCityRural areaSomewhere in between a city and rural areaCD1CD2All OthersYork/CumberlandMale and 49 and underMale and 50 and overFemale and 49 and underFemale and 50 and overMale and CityMale and Rural areaMale and Somewhere in between a city and rural areaFemale and CityFemale and Rural areaFemale and Somewhere in between a city and rural area
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Definitely will vote91%84%86%93%94%91%91%93%90%90%94%90%94%87%92%92%90%92%92%90%86%93%85%94%89%92%92%85%93%91%
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Probably will vote9%16%14%7%6%9%9%7%10%10%6%10%6%13%8%8%10%8%8%10%14%7%15%6%11%8%8%15%7%9%
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Probably will not vote0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
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Definitely will not vote0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
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Unsure about voting0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
46
Unweighted N10081362583113035055033003493333836023521595253195154936523552092961853189823916561286154
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48
49
Democratic primary: Likely to vote
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q8: How likely are you to vote in the upcoming Democratic primary in Maine on March 3rd?
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Democratic primary: Likely to voteAll18 to 3435 to 4950 to 64Over 65MaleFemaleDemocraticRepublicanIndependentDemocratic Primary Eligible VotersNon Four-Year College GradFour Year College GradCityRural areaSomewhere in between a city and rural areaCD1CD2All OthersYork/CumberlandMale and 49 and underMale and 50 and overFemale and 49 and underFemale and 50 and overMale and CityMale and Rural areaMale and Somewhere in between a city and rural areaFemale and CityFemale and Rural areaFemale and Somewhere in between a city and rural area
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Definitely will vote66%40%79%65%67%67%65%70%-52%69%61%74%65%69%61%73%56%62%72%64%69%67%64%60%72%71%73%68%53%
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Probably will vote23%53%15%20%22%26%21%19%-36%24%28%16%27%18%27%18%31%25%21%33%22%24%20%39%18%19%12%19%34%
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Probably will not vote4%5%4%4%3%3%5%5%-2%4%4%3%0%5%6%2%6%4%3%0%4%8%3%0%4%5%1%5%7%
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Definitely will not vote2%0%1%4%2%1%3%3%-0%1%3%2%0%2%4%3%1%2%3%0%2%1%4%0%2%1%0%2%6%
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Unsure about voting5%1%1%7%7%3%6%3%-11%2%4%6%7%5%2%3%7%7%1%3%3%0%9%1%3%4%15%6%0%
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Unweighted N39469108103114164230300094383191167851811262241702571378183961344858583712368
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59
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Right direction: Maine
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q9: In general, would you say that Maine is headed in the right direction or is Maine off on the wrong track?
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Right direction: MaineAll18 to 3435 to 4950 to 64Over 65MaleFemaleDemocraticRepublicanIndependentDemocratic Primary Eligible VotersNon Four-Year College GradFour Year College GradCityRural areaSomewhere in between a city and rural areaCD1CD2All OthersYork/CumberlandMale and 49 and underMale and 50 and overFemale and 49 and underFemale and 50 and overMale and CityMale and Rural areaMale and Somewhere in between a city and rural areaFemale and CityFemale and Rural areaFemale and Somewhere in between a city and rural area
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Right direction51%55%49%46%56%48%53%69%33%49%71%48%55%61%48%48%52%49%49%53%54%46%48%55%57%44%48%67%52%47%
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Wrong track36%34%31%44%30%40%33%19%54%36%19%37%35%27%39%37%33%40%39%32%35%42%28%35%32%45%40%20%35%35%
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Not sure13%11%20%9%14%12%14%11%13%15%11%14%10%12%12%15%15%11%12%15%11%12%24%10%11%11%12%13%13%18%
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Unweighted N10081362583113035055033003493333836023521595253195154936523552092961853189823916561286154
67
68
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Federal government: Pleased vs angry
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q10: Some people say they are pleased with government, while others say they are they are angry. Using a scale where 0 means “very angry” and 10 means “very pleased,” how would you rate your view of the federal government in Washington?
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Federal government: Pleased vs angryAll18 to 3435 to 4950 to 64Over 65MaleFemaleDemocraticRepublicanIndependentDemocratic Primary Eligible VotersNon Four-Year College GradFour Year College GradCityRural areaSomewhere in between a city and rural areaCD1CD2All OthersYork/CumberlandMale and 49 and underMale and 50 and overFemale and 49 and underFemale and 50 and overMale and CityMale and Rural areaMale and Somewhere in between a city and rural areaFemale and CityFemale and Rural areaFemale and Somewhere in between a city and rural area
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Net: Pleased13%20%10%13%15%13%13%10%22%10%8%14%12%11%15%12%9%18%16%9%9%15%16%12%14%15%10%8%14%14%
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Net: Neutral50%60%56%47%46%49%51%39%58%52%42%51%47%59%49%45%48%51%51%48%58%45%56%48%56%47%44%62%50%45%
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Net: Angry36%20%34%41%37%38%35%51%19%36%49%34%40%28%36%43%41%31%33%42%33%40%27%38%30%38%45%25%35%41%
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0 - Very Angry16%14%12%16%21%15%17%27%5%15%24%15%18%12%17%18%19%14%16%16%12%17%13%19%15%15%17%8%19%19%
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18%2%12%9%5%10%6%9%4%10%10%6%12%6%6%11%9%7%6%10%11%9%8%5%8%9%12%4%5%10%
77
212%3%10%16%11%13%12%14%10%11%15%14%9%10%12%14%14%11%10%16%10%14%7%14%7%14%16%13%11%12%
78
314%31%12%12%14%13%15%12%11%17%15%14%14%18%12%14%13%15%15%13%18%11%17%14%26%6%12%10%16%16%
79
48%5%9%8%7%9%7%7%9%8%6%8%8%5%9%8%8%7%8%7%9%8%6%7%5%10%10%4%8%6%
80
516%20%23%14%14%14%18%14%17%18%16%16%17%23%17%11%17%16%16%17%17%13%27%15%17%16%9%30%18%13%
81
67%2%5%8%8%8%7%5%12%5%4%8%5%11%5%7%6%9%8%6%4%9%5%8%6%7%10%18%4%4%
82
75%2%7%4%4%5%4%1%9%4%2%5%3%1%6%5%5%4%4%5%10%3%1%5%2%8%5%1%4%5%
83
88%14%6%9%8%7%9%6%12%8%5%10%6%5%9%9%5%12%10%6%4%9%12%8%7%6%8%3%11%10%
84
92%3%1%2%3%3%2%2%4%1%2%1%4%2%3%1%2%2%2%2%2%3%1%2%2%5%1%2%1%1%
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10 - Very Pleased3%3%3%2%4%4%2%2%6%2%2%3%3%4%3%2%3%3%4%1%3%4%2%3%4%5%2%3%2%2%
86
Not Sure (Vol)1%0%1%0%2%0%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%0%1%1%0%1%1%0%0%1%1%0%0%1%4%1%0%
87
Unweighted N10081362583113035055033003493333836023521595253195154936523552092961853189823916561286154
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89
90
Maine government: Pleased vs angry
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q11: Using the same scale where 0 means “very angry” and 10 means “very pleased,” how would you rate your view of the Maine state government?
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Maine government: Pleased vs angryAll18 to 3435 to 4950 to 64Over 65MaleFemaleDemocraticRepublicanIndependentDemocratic Primary Eligible VotersNon Four-Year College GradFour Year College GradCityRural areaSomewhere in between a city and rural areaCD1CD2All OthersYork/CumberlandMale and 49 and underMale and 50 and overFemale and 49 and underFemale and 50 and overMale and CityMale and Rural areaMale and Somewhere in between a city and rural areaFemale and CityFemale and Rural areaFemale and Somewhere in between a city and rural area
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Net: Pleased18%7%14%15%28%16%20%28%12%15%27%18%18%19%19%16%18%18%19%17%16%16%8%25%13%21%14%27%18%19%
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Net: Neutral66%83%67%64%62%64%67%66%65%66%66%65%67%72%62%67%68%64%65%68%70%62%73%65%74%57%66%70%66%68%
95
Net: Angry15%10%19%19%10%19%12%6%22%18%6%16%15%8%18%17%14%17%16%15%14%22%19%9%12%22%20%3%14%13%
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0 - Very Angry6%5%9%5%4%7%4%3%7%7%3%6%5%2%6%7%5%6%6%5%10%5%5%4%3%6%10%0%6%4%
97
14%2%6%6%2%6%3%0%5%7%1%5%4%1%4%7%4%5%4%5%2%8%7%1%2%7%8%0%3%5%
98
25%3%4%8%4%6%5%3%10%4%2%5%5%5%7%3%5%6%6%5%1%8%6%4%7%9%2%3%5%4%
99
37%11%5%7%5%8%5%2%10%7%2%7%5%6%7%7%7%7%6%8%8%9%6%4%8%9%8%4%5%5%
100
49%7%5%11%9%8%9%5%16%6%5%9%8%5%10%8%9%8%9%9%7%9%4%11%7%10%6%3%10%10%