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1 | Metaverse Now | Metaverse2 2025 | Metaverse3: 2030 | Metaverse4: 2040 | MetaverseX: 2050 | |||||||||||||||||||||
2 | Focus | Metaverse has social and gaming traction only at this point | Metaverse-based immersive porn will emerge and lead the way for adoption. Porn accounts for over 30% of all internet traffic, and this be maintained going forward. | The Era of Metaverse Commercialization begins, as killer apps emerge for learning, work and commerce | The Era of Metaverse Socialization begins, as it exceeds $1 trillion in market size, mainstream uptake, becomes significant mode of social and political interaction | The Era of Metaverse Spiritualization begins, as the technology of it becomes woven into the fabric of life, and slowly "disappears", and humanity struggles to seek the meaning of it. Metaverse cults form and AI cult leaders emerge. | ||||||||||||||||||||
3 | Humans | Health-orientation vs "medical practice". | China's economy surpasses that of the U.S., Visual data map of human behavior. | 3D-printed organs, revolution in surgical technology, elective body-modification. | Global average temperatures have risen by 2°C, Epigenetic anti-aging gene therapy approved by FDA, Neural reprogramming enters clinical trials. | U.S. population reaches 400 million as global population plateaus. Societal transformation unpredictable: Global average temperatures have risen by 3°C, vast majority of countries achieve democracy, end of the oil age. | ||||||||||||||||||||
4 | AI | Early GPT wins; synthetic characters with scripted behaviors. | LLM AI matures; convincing characters with artificial personalities and unscripted behaviors. | AI-human integration; digital twins used for human stand-ins in myriad everyday situations. | Embedded tools, everything is "intelligent" - AI therapists trusted | First AGI candidates - first AI cult leader emerges | ||||||||||||||||||||
5 | DeFi | Liquidity bots, Bonding curves | Metaverse DeFi instruments | Compliance Bots | Human Readable Smart Contracts | QC-based dynamic stabilization of markets | ||||||||||||||||||||
6 | NFT | NFT1: inert collectibles | NFT2: Dynamic Multi-Token Objects | NFT3: AI powered Smart NFTs with hybrid sensors and "natural" UX | Quantum Computing optimized NFT baskets | Standard for value of human capital, intellectual property blockchain | ||||||||||||||||||||
7 | DAO | Rediscovering dynamics of social structures | First experiments in Ostrom based DAOs emerge | Standard for non-profit orgs, special purpose entities | Legal context for integration | CIty-statehood models | ||||||||||||||||||||
8 | Identity | Decentralized ID standards ratified by W3C. | Killer apps for Verifiable Credentials and potential killer apps for DIDs emerge. | 1 billion users/bots register DIDs, DID 2.0 standard ratified | 100 billion DIDs issued for people, bots and devices | Decentralized DIDs become dominant authentication method for the Metaverse | ||||||||||||||||||||
9 | VR/AR | Early mindset shift, but limited resolution and restricted field-of-view wearables, battery and compute limited | First commercially successful AR, ChatGPT powered bots | Usable VR headsets and initial VR contact lenses, Universal Avatars, widespread use of tactile suits and interfaces | Usable VR contact lenses, Olfactory VR, Bangkok flooded and virtual BKK released as a World Heritage experience | Digital Opium which pairs designer neuropharmaceuticals with next gen VR and implanted HCI | ||||||||||||||||||||
10 | Sensors | AI-enabled systems of chip-based sensors, camera-based motion capture | Biosensors - ex vivo, widespread use of eye-tracking for foveated rendering and user analytics | OpenBCI ratifies standard for implanted human-computer-interfaces | Neural implants approved for non-medical purposes | Neural immortality | ||||||||||||||||||||
11 | Network | WiFi6 | WiFi7, UWB gains traction | 6G wireless, Software defined networking (virtualization), Ubiquitous encryption, Ultra-Reliable Low Latency Communications (uRLLC) | Terabit Ethernet, Quantum Computing cracks RSA-2048 keys, IPv6 finally takes over | Self-organizing autonomous networking | ||||||||||||||||||||
12 | Compute | Edge/node processing, device-based speech recognition and computational imagery | NeRFs, 50TB hard drives, Decentralized ID uptake | Moore’s Law flattens, SoC emerges, 120TB hard drives, Special Purpose Quantum Computers With 1 Million Qubits Emerge | Early Stages of General Purpose Quantum Computing | General Purpose Quantum Computing begins to Mature | ||||||||||||||||||||
13 | Future: Robots | Mass-market robotic and drone technologies | Special purpose consumer automation, including useful companion robots for aging population | Brain-controlled exoskeletons and robotic assistants, including health care robots for aging population | Robots in everyday life | Autonomous vehicles trusted, Flying cars, Personal transportation | ||||||||||||||||||||
14 | Future: Cell & Gene Therapy | 6 approved products focused on cancer and rare diseases. Next Gen Sequencing costs 5K per sample | 30 approved products, Pharmacogenetics and precision medicine for 5% of the volume and 15% of the value of prescripitions written. PGx costs $500 per sample | 60 approved products. Companion diagnostics for 20% of new pharma products. Precision medicine used for over 25% of the value of prescriptions. Next Gen Sequencing $500 per sample | 100 approved products. Companion diagnostics and precision medicine for 25% of new products. Precision medicine 35% of the value of prescriptions. NexGen,/Deep/LGS sequencing less than 100$ per sample and available in 1 day | 50% of the value of prescribed pharma and 50% of the new approved drugs. PGx and Precision medicine used 70% of the time to prescribe new meds. Genetic Sequencing of 80% of the US population | ||||||||||||||||||||
15 | Future: Smart Cities | Awakening to the possibility of the metaverse as a forum to model, discuss, and decide urban issues and concerns | Smart Buildings Mesh: Wired and sensored buildings are connected to modeling tools to improve energy efficiency and transportation fluidity. AI pattern recognition capabilities are applied to identify unseen risks and new opportunities. | Smart City Mesh: Building data is aggregated to enable neighborhood, city, and regional coordination and optimization. Transportation systems get smart; water systems self-monitor; waste management provides feedback. Public health risks are identified through Integration of AI, syndromics and health care data. | The fully wired, AI-enabled, omni-connected smart city is a reality. It's a transformation as significant as the 2007 smart phone, changing behaviors, expectations, lifestyles, and governance. Athenian-style participation in smart government is fully realized on the scale of millions, causing a major shift in how decisions are made in cities. Urban commerce is also transformed. | By 2050, anything is possible. The big question by 2050 is equity in the social and economic structures of civilization: Do we have a dystopian divide between haves and have-nots, or have we reached a more equitable distribution of wealth, comfort, and possibility? | ||||||||||||||||||||
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17 | Note: From Metaverse Design Sprint from FutureLabConsulting.com | © 2023 FutureLab All Rights Reserved | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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