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Metaverse NowMetaverse2
2025
Metaverse3:
2030
Metaverse4:
2040
MetaverseX:
2050
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FocusMetaverse has social and gaming traction only at this pointMetaverse-based immersive porn will emerge and lead the way for adoption. Porn accounts for over 30% of all internet traffic, and this be maintained going forward.The Era of Metaverse Commercialization begins, as killer apps emerge for learning, work and commerceThe Era of Metaverse Socialization begins, as it exceeds $1 trillion in market size, mainstream uptake, becomes significant mode of social and political interactionThe Era of Metaverse Spiritualization begins, as the technology of it becomes woven into the fabric of life, and slowly "disappears", and humanity struggles to seek the meaning of it. Metaverse cults form and AI cult leaders emerge.
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HumansHealth-orientation vs "medical practice".China's economy surpasses that of the U.S., Visual data map of human behavior.3D-printed organs, revolution in surgical technology, elective body-modification.Global average temperatures have risen by 2°C, Epigenetic anti-aging gene therapy approved by FDA, Neural reprogramming enters clinical trials.U.S. population reaches 400 million as global population plateaus. Societal transformation unpredictable:
Global average temperatures have risen by 3°C, vast majority of countries achieve democracy, end of the oil age.
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AIEarly GPT wins; synthetic characters with scripted behaviors.LLM AI matures; convincing characters with artificial personalities and unscripted behaviors.AI-human integration; digital twins used for human stand-ins in myriad everyday situations.Embedded tools, everything is "intelligent" - AI therapists trustedFirst AGI candidates - first AI cult leader emerges
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DeFiLiquidity bots,
Bonding curves
Metaverse DeFi instrumentsCompliance BotsHuman Readable Smart ContractsQC-based dynamic stabilization of markets
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NFTNFT1: inert collectibles NFT2: Dynamic Multi-Token ObjectsNFT3: AI powered Smart NFTs with hybrid sensors and "natural" UX Quantum Computing optimized NFT basketsStandard for value of human capital, intellectual property blockchain
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DAORediscovering dynamics of social structuresFirst experiments in Ostrom based DAOs emergeStandard for non-profit orgs, special purpose entitiesLegal context for integrationCIty-statehood models
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IdentityDecentralized ID standards ratified by W3C.Killer apps for Verifiable Credentials and potential killer apps for DIDs emerge.1 billion users/bots register DIDs, DID 2.0 standard ratified100 billion DIDs issued for people, bots and devicesDecentralized DIDs become dominant authentication method for the Metaverse
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VR/AREarly mindset shift, but limited resolution and restricted field-of-view wearables, battery and compute limitedFirst commercially successful AR, ChatGPT powered botsUsable VR headsets and initial VR contact lenses, Universal Avatars, widespread use of tactile suits and interfacesUsable VR contact lenses, Olfactory VR, Bangkok flooded and virtual BKK released as a World Heritage experienceDigital Opium which pairs designer neuropharmaceuticals with next gen VR and implanted HCI
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SensorsAI-enabled systems of chip-based sensors, camera-based motion captureBiosensors - ex vivo, widespread use of eye-tracking for foveated rendering and user analyticsOpenBCI ratifies standard for implanted human-computer-interfacesNeural implants approved for non-medical purposesNeural immortality
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NetworkWiFi6WiFi7, UWB gains traction6G wireless, Software defined networking (virtualization), Ubiquitous encryption, Ultra-Reliable Low Latency Communications (uRLLC)Terabit Ethernet, Quantum Computing cracks RSA-2048 keys, IPv6 finally takes overSelf-organizing autonomous networking
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ComputeEdge/node processing, device-based speech recognition and computational imageryNeRFs, 50TB hard drives, Decentralized ID uptakeMoore’s Law flattens, SoC emerges, 120TB hard drives, Special Purpose Quantum Computers With 1 Million Qubits EmergeEarly Stages of General Purpose Quantum ComputingGeneral Purpose Quantum Computing begins to Mature
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Future: RobotsMass-market robotic and drone technologiesSpecial purpose consumer automation, including useful companion robots for aging populationBrain-controlled exoskeletons and robotic assistants, including health care robots for aging populationRobots in everyday lifeAutonomous vehicles trusted, Flying cars, Personal transportation
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Future: Cell & Gene Therapy6 approved products focused on cancer and rare diseases. Next Gen Sequencing costs 5K per sample30 approved products, Pharmacogenetics and precision medicine for 5% of the volume and 15% of the value of prescripitions written. PGx costs $500 per sample60 approved products. Companion diagnostics for 20% of new pharma products. Precision medicine used for over 25% of the value of prescriptions. Next Gen Sequencing $500 per sample100 approved products. Companion diagnostics and precision medicine for 25% of new products. Precision medicine 35% of the value of prescriptions. NexGen,/Deep/LGS sequencing less than 100$ per sample and available in 1 day50% of the value of prescribed pharma and 50% of the new approved drugs. PGx and Precision medicine used 70% of the time to prescribe new meds. Genetic Sequencing of 80% of the US population
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Future: Smart CitiesAwakening to the possibility of the metaverse as a forum to model, discuss, and decide urban issues and concernsSmart Buildings Mesh: Wired and sensored buildings are connected to modeling tools to improve energy efficiency and transportation fluidity. AI pattern recognition capabilities are applied to identify unseen risks and new opportunities.Smart City Mesh: Building data is aggregated to enable neighborhood, city, and regional coordination and optimization. Transportation systems get smart; water systems self-monitor; waste management provides feedback. Public health risks are identified through Integration of AI, syndromics and health care data. The fully wired, AI-enabled, omni-connected smart city is a reality. It's a transformation as significant as the 2007 smart phone, changing behaviors, expectations, lifestyles, and governance. Athenian-style participation in smart government is fully realized on the scale of millions, causing a major shift in how decisions are made in cities. Urban commerce is also transformed.By 2050, anything is possible. The big question by 2050 is equity in the social and economic structures of civilization: Do we have a dystopian divide between haves and have-nots, or have we reached a more equitable distribution of wealth, comfort, and possibility?
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Note: From Metaverse Design Sprint from FutureLabConsulting.com | © 2023 FutureLab All Rights Reserved
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