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This is a simplified version of the CEA to highlight key parameters. Underlying calculations are in the "CEA - Combined Protocol CMAM" tab.
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Main benefits: deaths averted compared to counterfactual of no treatment
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Best GuessLower BoundUpper Bound
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Training
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Number of caregivers trained to identify malnutrition (arbitrary)
100,000100,000100,000
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Number of children brought for treatment as a result of training
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MAM7,3523,83311,683
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Uncomplicated SAM2,2561,1073,913
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Probability of death (no treatment)
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Baseline (non-malnourished)2.0%2.0%2.0%
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MAM4.4%2.7%6.9%
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Uncomplicated SAM13.8%7.7%23.8%
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Efficacy of treatment - % of children discharged as recovered
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MAM81.5%81.5%81.5%
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Uncomplicated SAM79.4%79.4%79.4%
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Deaths averted before adjustments
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MAM12018384
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Uncomplicated SAM29065955
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Total410831,339
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Deaths averted after adjustments
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Adjusted deaths averted by CMAM treatment
25752833
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Adjustments (IV, EV, relapse)63%63%62%
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Value per death averted112112112
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Total units of value from deaths averted from CMAM
28,7895,87093,302
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Additional benefits: immediate consumption and development effects
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Total units of value from immediate consumption
1,1245422,098
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Total units of value from development effects
6,2053,2269,897
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Program costs
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Costs to train caregivers $40,022$40,022$40,022
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Non-training costs to program$834,931$443,527$1,327,597
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Total program cost$874,953$483,548$1,367,619
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Results
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Initial cost-effectiveness12.05.822.4
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Downside74%74%74%
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Inclusion/exclusion117%117%117%
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Leveraging/funging92%84%96%
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Cost-effectiveness after adjustments
9.64.218.6
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