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March 2020: The initation of the first lockdown in the UK
https://trusttheevidence.substack.com/
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Date Title Publication Authors/transcriptspdf available on OSF (Link)
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1 MarPHE: Real time model - initial results,GOV.UKPublic Health England
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Mechanical Ventilation for Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome during Extracorporeal Life Support. Research and Practic
AmJRespir Crit Care MedAbrams D et al.
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CMO for England announces 12 new cases of novel coronavirus: 01 March 2020GOV.UKChris Whitty
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2 MarSPI-M-O: Consensus statement on 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19)GOV.UKSPI-M-O
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Summary indicative effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions to reduce COVID-19 transmission & mortalityGOV.UKImperial College
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3 MarPrime Minister's statement on coronavirus (COVID-19)GOV.UKBoris Johnson
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SAGE 12 minutes: Coronavirus (COVID-19) response,GOV.UKSAGE
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Adoption and impact of NPIs for COVID-19,GOV.UKLSTHM
11
The effect of social distance measures on deaths and peak demand for hospital services in EnglandGOV.UKLSTHM
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Illustrative impact of behavioural and social interventions lasting several months on a reasonable worst-case epidemic
GOV.UK
Government Office for Science (GOS)
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COVID-19 compared with NSRA pandemic influenza planning assumptions (Draft)GOV.UKSAGE
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Coronavirus (COVID-19) action planGOV.UKDHSC
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4 MarSPI-B: Insights on combined behavioural and social interventions,GOV.UKSPI-B
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Optimising trigger times for social distancing measures (SDMs)GOV.UKUniversity of Edinburgh
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COVID-19 compared with NSRA pandemic influenza planning assumptions (Draft)GOV.UKSAGE
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5 MarSAGE 13 minutes: Coronavirus (COVID-19) responseGOV.UKSAGE
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Timing & local triggering of NPIs to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demands,GOV.UKImperial College
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Contacts in context: large-scale setting-specific social mixing matrices from the BBC Pandemic projectMedXrivLSTHM
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6 MarSPI-B: Publications to date by SPI-B participants and relevant polling work of possible interest to participantsGOV.UKSPI-B
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9 MarPrime Minister's statement on coronavirus (COVID-19)GOV.UKBoris Johnson
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Potential impact of behavioural and social interventions on an epidemic of COVID-19 in the UK,GOV.UKSPI-B
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SPI-B: Insights on self-isolation and household isolation, GOV.UKSPI-B
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PHE: SARS-CoV-2, SARS-CoV-1 and MERS-CoV: What do we know about children?GOV.UKPublic Health England
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Estimating infection prevalence in Wuhan City from repatriation flightsImperial - Report 7MRC GIDA Imperial College
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10 MarSAGE 14 minutes: Coronavirus (COVID-19) response, GOV.UKSAGE
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COVID-19 reasonable worst-case planning assumptionsGOV.UKSAGE Secretariat
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Key Messages and Actions for COVID-19 Prevention and Control in SchoolsWHOWHO, UNICEF
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11 MarSPI-M-O: Consensus statement on public gatheringsGOV.UKSPI-M-O
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The impact of banning sporting events and other leisure activities on the COVID-19 epidemicGOV.UKLSTHM
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Symptom progression of COVID-19Imperial - Report 8 MRC GIDA Imperial College
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WHO Director-General's opening remarks at the media briefing on COVID-19 - Pandemic declared WHO Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus
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12 MarPrime Minister's statement on coronavirus (COVID-19)GOV.UKBoris Johnson
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SPI-B: Insights on public gatheringsGOV.UKSPI-B
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NERVTAG: Distance, time, handshakesGOV.UKNERVTAG
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13 MarSAGE 15 minutes: Coronavirus (COVID-19) responseGOV.UKSAGE
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Academics: The convalescent sera option for containing COVID-19,GOV.UKAcademics on COVID-19.
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14 MarSPI-B: The role of behavioural science in the coronavirus outbreak, GOV.UKSPI-B
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16 MarMatt Hancock told the House of Commons that all unnecessary social contact should cease.
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Prime Minister's statement on coronavirus (COVID-19)GOV.UKBoris Johnson
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Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demandImperial - Report 9MRC GIDA, Imperial College
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SPI-M-O: Consensus view on behavioural and social interventionsGOV.UKSPI-M-O
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Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID19) intervention strategiesGOV.UK
Imperial College and Cambridge University
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Low critical care capacity and high severity of COVID-19 mean there is little functional difference between successful curve "flattening the curve" and ongoing containment,
GOV.UKImperial College
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The impact of aggressively managing peak incidenceGOV.UKSAGE
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Effect of compliance with whole household isolation in the COVID-19 outbreakGOV.UKSAGE
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17 MarPrime Minister's statement on coronavirus (COVID-19)GOV.UKBoris Johnson
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SPI-B: Note on school closures,GOV.UKSPI-B
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SPI-M-O: Consensus view on the impact of mass school closuresGOV.UKSPI-M-O
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The impact of adding school closure to other social distance measuresGOV.UKLSTHM
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18 MarUK government announces most schools across England will be shut down from Friday until further notice.
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44638Prime Minister's statement on coronavirus (COVID-19)GOV.UKBoris Johnson
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SAGE 17 minutes: Coronavirus (COVID-19) response,GOV.UKSAGE
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SAGE discussion on London lockdownGOV.UKSAGE
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Impact of school closures, 18 March 2020GOV.UKUniverisity of Warwick
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Timing of the introduction of school closure for COVID-19 epidemic suppressionGOV.UKMRC GIDA, Imperial College
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YouGov/CO COVID-19 Public Attitude Research, 18 March 2020GOV.UKYouGov and the Cabinet Office
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19 MarPrime Minister's statement on coronavirus (COVID-19)GOV.UKBoris Johnson
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LSHTM: Nowcasting the COVID-19 ICU demand in EnglandGOV.UKLSTHM
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Updated rapid risk assessment from ECDC on the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic: increased transmission in the EU/EEA and the UK.
Euro Surveillanceno authors listed
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20 MarThe UK government orders all pubs, restaurants, gyms and other social venues across the country to close
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Prime Minister's statement on coronavirus (COVID-19)GOV.UKBoris Johnson
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Lancaster University: UK COVID-19 LAD/Age model – situation report, GOV.UKLancaster University
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SPI-M-O: Consensus statement on 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19), GOV.UKSPI-M-O
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Public response to UK Government recommendations on COVID-19: population survey,Imperial - Report 10 MRC GIDA, Imperial College
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Covid-19: all non-urgent elective surgery is suspended for at least three months in England.BMJIacobucci, Gareth
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22 MarPrime Minister's statement on coronavirus (COVID-19): GOV.UKBoris Johnson
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Options for increasing adherence to social distancing measuresGOV.UKUnclear
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SPI-B: Current adherence to behavioural and social interventions in the UKGOV.UKSPI-B
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Home Office: Scientific advice on restricting flights from specific countriesGOV.UKHome Office
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23 MarPM announces the first UK lockdown ordering people to stay at home
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Prime Minister's statement on coronavirus (COVID-19)GOV.UKBoris Johnson
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SAGE 18 minutes: Coronavirus (COVID-19) response, GOV.UKSAGE
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University of Manchester: UK COVID-19 predictions,GOV.UKUniveristy of Manchester
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PHE: The effectiveness of interventions in ItalyGOV.UKPublic Health England
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COVID-19 Genomics UK (COG-UK) Consortium: weekly report 1,GOV.UKCOG-UK
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Coronavirus (COVID-19) Keeping away from other people: new rules to follow from 23 March 2020GOV.UKPublic Health England
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24 Mar
Evidence of initial success for China exiting COVID-19 social distancing policy after achieving containment
Imperial - Report 11 MRC GIDA, Imperial College
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25 MarCoronavirus Act 2020 receives Royal Assent
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Prime Minister's statement on coronavirus (COVID-19): GOV.UKBoris Johnson
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SPI-M-O working group on scenario planning: Consensus view on COVID-19GOV.UKSPI-M-O
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Dynamic CO-CIN report to SAGE and NERVTAG, 25 March 2020GOV.UKDynamic CO-CIN
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Planning scenarios for the next 6 months, 25 March 2020GOV.UKMRC GIDA, Imperial College.
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Planning assumptions for the UK reasonable worst case scenario (Draft)GOV.UKUnclear
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Social Contacts and Mixing Patterns Relevant to the Spread of Infectious DiseasesPLOS Medicine EU authors
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26 MarLockdown Measures legally come into force
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Chancellor's statement on coronavirus (COVID-19): GOV.UKRishi Sunak
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SAGE 19 minutes: Coronavirus (COVID-19) response,GOV.UKSAGE
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Compliance with interventions: latest dataGOV.UKOffice for National Statistics (ONS)
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Reasonable worst-case planning scenario (Draft)GOV.UKUnclear
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The global impact of COVID-19 and strategies for mitigation and suppressionImperial - Report 12 MRC GIDA, Imperial College.
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27 MarChancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster statement on coronavirus (COVID-19):GOV.UKMichael Gove
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Covid-19: UK lockdown is "crucial" to saving lives, say doctors and scientists.BMJIacobucci, Gareth
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28 MarBusiness Secretary's statement on coronavirus (COVID-19):GOV.UKAlok Sharma
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29 MarCommunities Secretary's statement on coronavirus (COVID-19):GOV.UKRobert Jenrick
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SAGE 20 minutes: Coronavirus (COVID-19) response,GOV.UKSAGE
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Reasonable worst-case planning scenarioGOV.UKUnclear
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Covid-19: What is the UK's testing strategy?BMJIacobucci, Gareth
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30 MarSlides and datasets to accompany coronavirus press conferenceGOV.UKPrime Minister's Office