ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAAABACAD
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Sept. 9-14, 2023, Washington Post-Monmouth University poll of 606 potential New Hampshire Republican primary voters with an error margin of +/- 4.5 percentage points. * = <0.5%NH potential GOP voters2024 GOP vote choiceParty identificationPolitical ideologyGenderAgeCollege graduateVote in 2016 GOP primaryIncomeRegion by Trump 2016 county primary shareEvangelicalMAGA supporter
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TrumpOther candStrong RepubSoft, lean RepubIndep or DemVery conservSomewht conservModerate/ LiberalMaleFemale18-4950-6465+No degree4 yr degreeYesNo<$50K$50-100K$100K+Above averageAverage [35-36%]Below averageYesNoYesNo
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1. How closely are you following the race for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?Very closely52%62%46%58%51%44%58%52%48%53%51%39%57%59%49%56%53%51%49%49%59%51%48%58%53%52%63%43%
4
Somewhat closely34%24%44%29%35%41%27%34%39%31%38%42%33%28%35%32%32%37%39%32%31%36%36%29%32%35%24%42%
5
Not too closely10%9%8%9%9%13%10%10%9%12%7%12%6%12%11%8%11%8%11%12%7%12%9%8%12%9%9%11%
6
Not at all closely4%5%2%5%4%1%5%4%4%4%4%6%5%2%5%3%4%4%1%7%2%2%6%4%4%4%4%4%
7
No opinion/Skipped**0%0%*0%0%0%0%*0%1%0%0%*0%0%*0%0%0%0%0%1%0%**0%
8
2. How likely are you to vote in New Hampshires primary for president in January - are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?Absolutely certain to vote88%93%85%89%91%79%93%87%84%87%89%82%90%92%88%88%93%82%91%86%90%88%88%88%88%88%93%84%
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Will probably vote9%6%12%9%7%14%7%8%12%9%8%14%7%6%10%8%6%13%6%12%6%8%10%9%10%9%5%11%
10
Chances are 50-503%2%3%1%3%7%0%4%4%4%2%4%3%2%2%4%2%5%4%1%4%3%2%4%2%3%1%5%
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4. How motivated are you to vote in the Republican presidential primary:Extremely motivated63%78%51%73%62%44%71%67%49%60%67%60%65%64%63%62%64%61%56%69%66%68%63%57%61%64%77%51%
12
Very motivated23%16%30%23%22%27%20%20%31%25%21%23%25%22%24%22%24%23%24%24%20%17%24%30%26%23%17%30%
13
Somewhat motivated12%5%17%4%14%25%7%10%18%12%12%15%9%13%11%14%11%14%19%8%10%12%12%12%11%12%6%16%
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Not motivated2%1%2%0%2%5%1%2%2%3%0%2%2%1%2%2%1%2%1%0%4%3%1%2%2%2%*3%
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5a. Former president Donald Trump: Please tell me if your general impression is favorable or unfavorable, or if you don’t really have an opinion. If you have not heard of the person, just let me know.Favorable59%97%23%78%60%16%85%64%26%59%60%58%58%61%71%43%61%57%70%63%53%65%56%56%67%57%93%28%
16
Unfavorable36%1%69%17%34%80%10%30%69%36%35%33%36%36%24%52%34%38%26%30%43%32%36%39%26%38%4%65%
17
No opinion4%1%7%3%5%3%4%5%3%4%4%8%4%1%4%3%4%4%3%4%3%1%6%4%6%3%2%6%
18
No opinion/Skipped1%1%2%1%2%1%*1%2%1%1%1%2%2%1%2%1%1%0%3%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%
19
5b. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis: Please tell me if your general impression is favorable or unfavorable, or if you don’t really have an opinion. If you have not heard of the person, just let me know.Favorable47%57%36%57%50%14%64%51%25%49%44%42%44%55%51%41%55%37%48%46%48%51%46%43%58%44%62%33%
20
Unfavorable40%27%54%25%38%80%25%32%66%38%42%41%44%34%33%50%36%45%37%36%45%34%44%43%26%44%24%56%
21
No opinion11%14%9%15%10%4%10%15%6%10%12%15%8%9%14%7%8%15%13%14%6%13%8%12%12%10%12%9%
22
Not heard of***1%0%1%1%0%*1%0%*1%0%****1%0%*0%0%1%1%*0%*
23
No opinion/Skipped2%2%1%2%2%1%1%2%3%2%2%1%3%2%2%2%1%2%1%4%1%2%2%1%3%2%2%1%
24
5c. Former South Carolina governor and U.N. ambassador Nikki Haley: Please tell me if your general impression is favorable or unfavorable, or if you don’t really have an opinion. If you have not heard of the person, just let me know.Favorable56%46%65%57%57%53%50%57%62%54%58%54%52%62%52%61%61%50%49%57%57%61%53%54%55%57%47%64%
25
Unfavorable31%40%24%31%29%37%37%28%27%33%29%32%31%30%34%27%28%35%37%31%31%26%35%33%31%30%40%24%
26
No opinion8%10%6%6%10%8%8%8%8%8%8%9%10%6%9%8%7%10%7%7%8%9%6%10%5%9%9%7%
27
Not heard of2%1%3%3%3%0%3%3%1%3%2%4%3%0%3%1%3%2%6%1%1%1%4%2%5%1%*4%
28
No opinion/Skipped2%3%2%3%2%1%1%3%2%2%3%2%3%2%2%3%1%4%1%3%3%3%3%2%4%2%3%1%
29
5d. Business entrpreneur Vivek Ramaswamy: Please tell me if your general impression is favorable or unfavorable, or if you don’t really have an opinion. If you have not heard of the person, just let me know.Favorable40%53%29%45%44%16%53%42%24%40%40%43%44%32%42%37%42%37%39%38%44%38%42%40%49%37%55%27%
30
Unfavorable40%23%57%34%33%73%28%34%61%41%39%35%37%48%32%51%41%38%39%37%43%40%38%42%24%44%24%57%
31
No opinion14%18%9%13%17%7%12%20%9%12%16%13%14%15%18%8%11%18%13%17%9%16%13%13%14%14%15%12%
32
Not heard of4%4%3%6%3%2%6%2%4%5%3%6%2%3%5%3%4%4%8%4%2%4%4%4%9%3%4%3%
33
No opinion/Skipped2%2%2%2%3%1%2%2%2%2%3%2%3%1%3%2%2%3%1%3%2%3%3%1%5%2%2%1%
34
5e. South Carolina Senator Tim Scott: Please tell me if your general impression is favorable or unfavorable, or if you don’t really have an opinion. If you have not heard of the person, just let me know.Favorable47%52%43%56%50%20%58%48%35%47%48%44%46%52%47%47%53%41%41%48%49%49%47%46%63%43%52%41%
35
Unfavorable24%17%32%18%19%50%16%20%38%25%22%23%26%23%21%28%24%23%26%22%24%23%23%25%11%28%16%32%
36
No opinion22%22%20%19%23%24%18%26%20%22%21%26%19%19%23%19%17%27%23%22%23%24%20%21%15%23%25%19%
37
Not heard of5%5%5%4%6%4%6%4%5%5%6%5%7%3%6%4%4%6%7%5%3%3%7%5%8%4%4%6%
38
No opinion/Skipped2%3%1%3%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%3%2%2%2%1%3%2%3%2%1%2%3%3%2%3%1%
39
5f. Former Arkansas governor Asa Hutchinson: Please tell me if your general impression is favorable or unfavorable, or if you don’t really have an opinion. If you have not heard of the person, just let me know.Favorable11%3%20%7%10%24%8%9%18%12%11%8%13%12%7%17%12%10%7%12%11%11%11%11%7%13%5%18%
40
Unfavorable38%45%33%43%36%33%45%37%32%41%35%31%38%44%39%37%42%34%41%36%42%37%36%40%40%38%47%30%
41
No opinion31%28%32%26%35%31%26%35%30%29%33%37%29%27%30%32%29%33%24%34%30%32%31%29%28%31%29%32%
42
Not heard of18%21%14%22%17%10%20%17%17%16%20%22%17%15%22%12%16%20%27%15%15%18%18%18%22%17%18%18%
43
No opinion/Skipped2%2%2%2%2%2%1%2%3%2%2%1%3%2%2%2%1%3%1%3%2%2%3%1%3%2%2%1%
44
5g. Former New Jersey governor Chris Christie: Please tell me if your general impression is favorable or unfavorable, or if you don’t really have an opinion. If you have not heard of the person, just let me know.Favorable29%8%50%18%24%66%8%24%59%29%30%25%30%34%21%40%28%31%22%29%33%24%31%34%18%33%6%51%
45
Unfavorable60%83%40%71%64%26%82%66%31%62%58%63%59%58%69%49%63%57%66%61%59%68%61%52%68%58%84%39%
46
No opinion7%6%7%8%7%7%8%6%*7%8%11%7%5%7%8%6%9%9%6%5%6%4%12%9%7%6%8%
47
Not heard of1%1%1%0%2%0%1%2%*1%1%*1%1%1%*1%1%2%1%1%1%2%*3%*1%1%
48
No opinion/Skipped2%2%1%2%2%1%1%2%2%2%2%1%3%2%2%2%2%2%1%4%2%2%2%1%3%2%3%1%
49
5h. North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum: Please tell me if your general impression is favorable or unfavorable, or if you don’t really have an opinion. If you have not heard of the person, just let me know.Favorable23%22%25%27%23%19%29%25%16%26%21%19%23%28%22%26%26%20%23%24%21%20%26%25%28%22%23%23%
50
Unfavorable25%26%24%27%21%28%24%23%27%26%23%19%22%32%24%24%27%21%29%27%21%29%23%22%22%26%27%22%
51
No opinion30%31%31%26%33%33%26%32%35%31%30%33%32%27%28%34%28%33%22%28%39%28%33%30%23%32%30%31%
52
Not heard of19%19%17%17%20%19%18%18%19%15%23%27%20%10%23%13%16%22%25%15%17%21%14%22%22%17%17%21%
53
No opinion/Skipped3%3%3%3%3%2%3%2%3%3%3%2%4%3%3%2%2%4%1%5%2%3%4%2%6%2%3%2%
54
6. If the Republican primary for president was held today, for which one of the following candidates would you cast your vote?Donald Trump46%100%0%67%42%12%75%48%14%45%49%42%47%50%57%32%45%48%59%49%42%50%45%44%52%45%81%15%
55
Ron DeSantis7%0%14%7%8%1%7%8%4%8%5%8%7%6%6%8%8%5%7%6%8%5%10%5%8%6%5%8%
56
Nikki Haley18%0%37%10%20%31%5%15%35%17%20%14%19%20%11%29%21%15%10%18%23%17%18%19%13%19%4%31%
57
Vivek Ramaswamy8%0%16%4%12%6%5%9%8%9%7%15%8%2%8%7%6%11%6%10%8%9%8%7%11%7%6%9%
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Tim Scott3%0%6%1%*3%2%4%4%2%4%2%2%5%3%3%4%2%6%2%2%4%1%4%4%3%1%4%
59
Asa Hutchinson1%0%1%0%*3%0%0%2%1%0%*1%1%0%1%*1%1%*1%*1%1%0%1%0%1%
60
Chris Christie11%0%22%4%7%35%0%8%26%11%11%10%12%10%8%14%9%13%7%12%12%7%12%14%5%13%*21%
61
Doug Burgum2%0%3%1%2%1%*3%1%2%1%3%1%2%2%1%3%*1%1%1%*2%2%2%2%*3%
62
(VOL) Someone else*0%1%0%1%1%**1%1%0%1%0%**1%*1%0%1%*1%0%1%0%*0%1%
63
No opinion/Skipped4%0%0%5%3%7%4%4%5%4%4%4%4%4%5%4%4%4%3%2%4%6%3%4%5%4%2%6%
64
7. Are you definitely supporting [NAME IN Q6] to be the Republican Partys nominee, or would you consider supporting another candidate?Definitely supporting59%80%45%73%57%36%77%56%44%59%60%52%60%65%64%53%59%60%62%62%56%58%60%60%63%58%77%42%
65
Would consider supporting another candidate33%18%51%21%37%52%15%38%48%34%33%38%35%28%28%41%33%34%33%31%38%31%36%33%28%35%19%48%
66
No opinion/Skipped3%2%4%2%3%5%3%3%3%3%2%6%0%3%3%2%4%2%1%5%1%5%1%3%4%2%2%4%
67
No first choice4%0%0%5%3%7%4%4%5%4%4%4%4%4%5%4%4%4%3%2%4%6%3%4%5%4%2%6%
68
8. Who would be your second choice? [IF DEFINITE SUPPORTER: If [NAME IN Q6] decides to drop out of the race before the New Hampshire primary,...]Donald Trump8%0%16%6%13%1%4%13%6%10%5%10%10%5%8%8%9%7%7%11%7%11%8%5%7%8%9%7%
69
Ron DeSantis20%31%12%26%21%5%27%23%10%19%22%24%15%23%25%13%22%18%24%22%17%25%18%17%27%19%28%13%
70
Nikki Haley17%17%19%19%15%20%14%20%19%17%17%13%17%21%16%18%18%16%15%16%18%13%21%17%16%18%14%20%
71
Vivek Ramaswamy11%21%2%13%12%4%19%11%3%12%10%16%12%6%12%10%11%12%12%10%14%12%8%13%13%10%20%4%
72
Tim Scott8%10%7%9%9%1%9%7%8%7%9%6%11%7%9%7%8%8%7%10%8%7%8%8%9%7%9%6%
73
Asa Hutchinson3%0%7%1%3%10%1%3%7%2%4%3%6%1%3%4%2%5%4%3%4%2%5%3%1%4%0%7%
74
Chris Christie9%0%18%3%8%24%1%4%22%8%10%6%9%12%4%16%10%7%7%6%12%10%9%8%2%11%*17%
75
Doug Burgum3%3%3%4%2%4%4%3%3%4%2%2%4%2%3%4%4%2%6%2%2%1%3%4%2%3%2%3%
76
(VOL) No one9%11%7%8%7%15%9%9%10%9%9%9%9%9%9%9%6%12%10%11%6%8%10%9%8%9%11%8%
77
(VOL) Someone else2%1%3%*2%4%2%*3%2%2%3%*2%2%1%2%1%1%*2%2%1%2%4%1%0%3%
78
(VOL) Would not vote1%1%1%*2%1%*2%*2%1%2%*2%1%2%1%1%0%0%2%*1%2%0%2%2%1%
79
No opinion/Skipped4%4%5%6%3%3%6%2%5%4%4%3%4%6%4%4%4%5%3%6%3%2%4%7%5%4%4%4%
80
No first choice4%0%0%5%3%7%4%4%5%4%4%4%4%4%5%4%4%4%3%2%4%6%3%4%5%4%2%6%
81
9a. How would you feel if Donald Trump became the Republican nominee – enthusiastic, satisfied, dissatisfied, or upset?Enthusiastic41%80%7%60%37%10%65%45%10%37%46%38%41%43%50%29%40%42%50%42%39%44%39%40%49%39%74%11%
82
Satisfied21%18%20%18%27%9%20%24%17%25%15%24%21%18%24%16%24%17%22%23%16%23%20%18%20%21%20%20%
83
Dissatisfied14%1%26%12%15%15%8%16%18%15%13%12%16%13%13%14%13%15%13%13%15%13%15%14%18%13%4%22%
84
Upset23%*45%8%19%65%6%14%51%22%23%24%21%23%12%38%22%24%13%20%28%17%24%27%13%26%1%45%
85
No opinion/Skipped2%1%3%2%2%1%2%1%3%2%3%2%1%4%1%3%2%2%2%2%2%3%2%2%0%2%1%2%
86
9b. How would you feel if Nikki Haley became the Republican nominee – enthusiastic, satisfied, dissatisfied, or upset?Enthusiastic20%12%29%19%22%16%17%20%24%20%19%16%24%20%17%24%21%18%11%23%23%17%19%24%23%19%15%26%
87
Satisfied40%40%39%43%38%43%36%42%45%40%40%44%35%42%40%41%44%36%45%38%40%49%40%32%32%43%38%43%
88
Dissatisfied21%23%19%20%21%20%23%21%18%21%20%16%26%19%24%16%17%25%28%18%21%18%22%22%24%19%22%20%
89
Upset14%20%10%13%14%18%19%13%10%14%14%17%12%13%14%14%13%16%9%17%13%11%15%17%15%13%20%8%
90
No opinion/Skipped5%6%4%5%6%3%6%6%3%4%6%7%2%6%5%6%5%5%8%4%3%5%5%5%6%5%5%4%
91
9c. How would you feel if Ron DeSantis became the Republican nominee – enthusiastic, satisfied, dissatisfied, or upset?Enthusiastic16%17%16%19%18%5%20%19%8%18%14%16%17%16%16%16%15%17%10%20%17%14%17%17%20%15%19%14%
92
Satisfied39%49%27%50%39%12%50%43%22%39%38%40%35%41%45%29%45%31%48%39%35%49%33%33%49%36%48%29%
93
Dissatisfied25%21%30%21%24%35%17%22%37%26%23%21%27%25%23%27%22%29%31%23%23%19%26%29%17%27%18%31%
94
Upset17%10%24%8%14%44%10%12%32%14%21%18%19%14%12%24%15%19%9%16%21%13%19%19%13%18%10%24%
95
No opinion/Skipped3%3%3%2%4%4%3%4%2%3%4%4%2%4%4%3%3%4%2%3%4%4%4%2%3%3%4%2%
96
9d. How would you feel if Chris Christie became the Republican nominee – enthusiastic, satisfied, dissatisfied, or upset?Enthusiastic6%1%12%4%4%17%*5%15%7%5%8%6%5%3%10%6%7%3%7%8%5%6%9%2%8%*13%
97
Satisfied29%12%46%20%29%52%15%26%49%28%31%24%30%35%25%36%31%28%27%29%29%27%29%33%27%30%12%45%
98
Dissatisfied29%34%22%31%33%11%32%31%22%29%28%32%28%27%34%20%28%29%32%25%30%31%29%26%30%28%32%25%
99
Upset32%48%18%39%32%16%49%35%11%31%32%33%33%29%33%30%31%33%33%36%29%33%31%31%36%30%52%15%
100
No opinion/Skipped4%4%2%6%2%3%5%3%3%4%3%3%4%4%4%3%4%3%5%3%3%5%5%1%5%3%4%3%