Exxon Mobil (XOM)-NAV-Conservative
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NAV Analysis - Exxon Mobil Corporation
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($ in Millions Except Per Share, Acreage, Production Unit, and Other Per-Unit Data)
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Exxon Mobil Corporation - Net Asset Value (NAV) Model
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Company Name:
Exxon Mobil Corporation
Discount Rate:
10.0%
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Mcf to Bbl Conversion Factor:
0.1666666667
Effective Cash Tax Rate:
45.0%
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Units:1,000
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Proved Reserves by Type:
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Oil (MMBbls):
24,900
Production Costs:
$40,628
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Natural Gas Liquids (MMBbls):
11,673
Production per BOE:
$12.35
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Natural Gas (Bcf):
68,007
Development Costs:
$20,000
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Barrels of Oil Equivalents (MMBOE):
47,908
Development Years:
5
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Oil Production:
NGL Production:
Natural Gas Production:
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$ per Bbl:$90.65$ per Bbl:$51.00
$ per Mcf:
$3.14
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Previous Year:
0.4%
Previous Year:
8.1%
Previous Year:
28.1%
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Current Year:
0.6%
Current Year:
20.8%
Current Year:
6.7%
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Current Year Volume:
163
Current Year Volume:
5
Current Year Volume:
492
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Year 1 Growth Rate:
2.0%
Year 1 Growth Rate:
8.0%
Year 1 Growth Rate:
10.0%
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Yearly Growth Rates:
Yearly Growth Rates:
Yearly Growth Rates:
25
Years 2 - 5:
3.5%
Years 2 - 5:
6.0%
Years 2 - 5:
6.0%
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Years 6 - 9:
0.5%
Years 6 - 9:
(0.5%)
Years 6 - 9:
(0.5%)
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Year 10 and Beyond:
(2.0%)
Year 10 and Beyond:
(0.5%)
Year 10 and Beyond:
(0.3%)
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Oil
Natural Gas Liquids
Natural Gas
Revenue ($ in Millions)
Production & Development Expenses:
Cash Flows ($ in Millions)
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Beginning
AnnualAvg.
Beginning
AnnualAvg.
Beginning
AnnualAvg.TotalTotal
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Reserves
Production
Price
Reserves
Production
Price
Reserves
Production
PriceNaturalTotalAnnual
Production
Production
Development
Pre-TaxCash
After-Tax
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(MMBbls)
(MMBbls)
$ / Bbl
(MMBbls)
(MMBbls)
$ / Bbl(Bcf)(Bcf)$ / Mcf
Oil & NGL
GasRevenueMMBOEPer BOE
Expenses
Expenses
Cash Flows
Tax Rate
Cash Flows
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Year 124,900166$90.6511,6735$51.0068,007541$3.14$15,347$1,699$17,046262$12.35$3,234$4,000$9,81245.0%$5,397
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Year 224,73417290.6511,668651.0067,4665743.1415,8911,80117,69227312.353,3774,00010,31645.0%5,674
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Year 324,56217890.6511,662651.0066,8926083.1416,4541,90918,36428612.353,5264,00010,83845.0%5,961
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Year 424,38418490.6511,656651.0066,2846453.1417,0382,02419,06229812.353,6834,00011,37945.0%6,259
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Year 524,19919190.6511,649751.0065,6396833.1417,6432,14519,78831112.353,8474,00011,94145.0%6,568
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Year 624,00819290.6511,643751.0064,9566803.1417,7272,13519,86231212.353,851016,01145.0%8,806
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Year 723,81719390.6511,636751.0064,2766763.1417,8122,12419,93631212.353,856016,08145.0%8,845
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Year 823,62419490.6511,629751.0063,6006733.1417,8982,11320,01131312.353,860016,15145.0%8,883
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Year 923,43019590.6511,622751.0062,9276703.1417,9842,10320,08731312.353,865016,22245.0%8,922
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Year 1023,23619190.6511,616751.0062,2576683.1417,6302,09819,72730912.353,813015,91445.0%8,753
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Year 1123,04518790.6511,609751.0061,5896663.1417,2822,09219,37430512.353,762015,61345.0%8,587
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Year 1222,85818390.6511,602751.0060,9236653.1416,9412,08719,02930112.353,712015,31745.0%8,424
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Year 1322,67518090.6511,596751.0060,2586633.1416,6082,08218,69029712.353,663015,02745.0%8,265
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Year 1422,49517690.6511,589751.0059,5956613.1416,2812,07718,35729312.353,615014,74345.0%8,108
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Year 1522,31917290.6511,583651.0058,9346603.1415,9602,07118,03128912.353,567014,46445.0%7,955
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Year 1622,14716990.6511,576651.0058,2746583.1415,6462,06617,71228512.353,521014,19145.0%7,805
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Year 1721,97816690.6511,570651.0057,6166563.1415,3382,06117,39928112.353,475013,92345.0%7,658
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Year 1821,81216290.6511,563651.0056,9606553.1415,0362,05617,09227812.353,431013,66145.0%7,514
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Year 1921,65015990.6511,557651.0056,3056533.1414,7402,05116,79127412.353,387013,40445.0%7,372
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Year 2021,49115690.6511,551651.0055,6526523.1414,4502,04616,49627112.353,344013,15245.0%7,234
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Present Value of Cash Flows from Proved Reserves:
$62,211.39
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Undeveloped Land and Other Business Segments:
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Undeveloped Acres (Thousands):
107,071
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Average $ Per Single Acre:
$620
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Value of Undeveloped Land:
$66,384
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Chemicals:
63
Prior Year EBITDA:
9,509
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Assumed EV / EBITDA Multiple:
6.7 x
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Estimated Enterprise Value:
$63,710
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Midstream:
68
Prior Year EBITDA:
9,673
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Assumed EV / EBITDA Multiple:
7.4 x
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Estimated Enterprise Value:
$71,870
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Enterprise Value for Entire Company:
$264,176
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Plus: Cash & Cash-Equivalents:
13,060
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Plus: Equity Investments:
16,968
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Less: Debt:
(9,081)
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Less: Asset Retirement Obligation:
(6,049)
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Implied Equity Value:
$279,074
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Diluted Shares Outstanding:
4,500.0
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Implied Share Price:
$62.02
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XOM-NAV