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$/MMBtu5%10%12.50%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%55%60%65%70%75%80%85%90%95%100%
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2$431.44$223.22$181.58$153.81$119.11$98.29$84.41$74.49$67.05$61.27$56.64$52.86$49.70$47.03$44.75$42.76$41.03$39.50$38.14$36.92$35.82
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3$438.94$230.72$189.08$161.31$126.61$105.79$91.91$81.99$74.55$68.77$64.14$60.36$57.20$54.53$52.25$50.26$48.53$47.00$45.64$44.42$43.32
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4$446.44$238.22$196.58$168.81$134.11$113.29$99.41$89.49$82.05$76.27$71.64$67.86$64.70$62.03$59.75$57.76$56.03$54.50$53.14$51.92$50.82
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5$453.94$245.72$204.08$176.31$141.61$120.79$106.91$96.99$89.55$83.77$79.14$75.36$72.20$69.53$67.25$65.26$63.53$62.00$60.64$59.42$58.32
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6$461.44$253.22$211.58$183.81$149.11$128.29$114.41$104.49$97.05$91.27$86.64$82.86$79.70$77.03$74.75$72.76$71.03$69.50$68.14$66.92$65.82
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7$468.94$260.72$219.08$191.31$156.61$135.79$121.91$111.99$104.55$98.77$94.14$90.36$87.20$84.53$82.25$80.26$78.53$77.00$75.64$74.42$73.32
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8$476.44$268.22$226.58$198.81$164.11$143.29$129.41$119.49$112.05$106.27$101.64$97.86$94.70$92.03$89.75$87.76$86.03$84.50$83.14$81.92$80.82
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9$483.94$275.72$234.08$206.31$171.61$150.79$136.91$126.99$119.55$113.77$109.14$105.36$102.20$99.53$97.25$95.26$93.53$92.00$90.64$89.42$88.32
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10$491.44$283.22$241.58$213.81$179.11$158.29$144.41$134.49$127.05$121.27$116.64$112.86$109.70$107.03$104.75$102.76$101.03$99.50$98.14$96.92$95.82
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11$498.94$290.72$249.08$221.31$186.61$165.79$151.91$141.99$134.55$128.77$124.14$120.36$117.20$114.53$112.25$110.26$108.53$107.00$105.64$104.42$103.32
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12$506.44$298.22$256.58$228.81$194.11$173.29$159.41$149.49$142.05$136.27$131.64$127.86$124.70$122.03$119.75$117.76$116.03$114.50$113.14$111.92$110.82
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13$513.94$305.72$264.08$236.31$201.61$180.79$166.91$156.99$149.55$143.77$139.14$135.36$132.20$129.53$127.25$125.26$123.53$122.00$120.64$119.42$118.32
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14$521.44$313.22$271.58$243.81$209.11$188.29$174.41$164.49$157.05$151.27$146.64$142.86$139.70$137.03$134.75$132.76$131.03$129.50$128.14$126.92$125.82
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15$528.94$320.72$279.08$251.31$216.61$195.79$181.91$171.99$164.55$158.77$154.14$150.36$147.20$144.53$142.25$140.26$138.53$137.00$135.64$134.42$133.32
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16$536.44$328.22$286.58$258.81$224.11$203.29$189.41$179.49$172.05$166.27$161.64$157.86$154.70$152.03$149.75$147.76$146.03$144.50$143.14$141.92$140.82
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17$543.94$335.72$294.08$266.31$231.61$210.79$196.91$186.99$179.55$173.77$169.14$165.36$162.20$159.53$157.25$155.26$153.53$152.00$150.64$149.42$148.32
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18$551.44$343.22$301.58$273.81$239.11$218.29$204.41$194.49$187.05$181.27$176.64$172.86$169.70$167.03$164.75$162.76$161.03$159.50$158.14$156.92$155.82
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19$558.94$350.72$309.08$281.31$246.61$225.79$211.91$201.99$194.55$188.77$184.14$180.36$177.20$174.53$172.25$170.26$168.53$167.00$165.64$164.42$163.32
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20$566.44$358.22$316.58$288.81$254.11$233.29$219.41$209.49$202.05$196.27$191.64$187.86$184.70$182.03$179.75$177.76$176.03$174.50$173.14$171.92$170.82
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21$573.94$365.72$324.08$296.31$261.61$240.79$226.91$216.99$209.55$203.77$199.14$195.36$192.20$189.53$187.25$185.26$183.53$182.00$180.64$179.42$178.32
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22$581.44$373.22$331.58$303.81$269.11$248.29$234.41$224.49$217.05$211.27$206.64$202.86$199.70$197.03$194.75$192.76$191.03$189.50$188.14$186.92$185.82
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23$588.94$380.72$339.08$311.31$276.61$255.79$241.91$231.99$224.55$218.77$214.14$210.36$207.20$204.53$202.25$200.26$198.53$197.00$195.64$194.42$193.32
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24$596.44$388.22$346.58$318.81$284.11$263.29$249.41$239.49$232.05$226.27$221.64$217.86$214.70$212.03$209.75$207.76$206.03$204.50$203.14$201.92$200.82
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25$603.94$395.72$354.08$326.31$291.61$270.79$256.91$246.99$239.55$233.77$229.14$225.36$222.20$219.53$217.25$215.26$213.53$212.00$210.64$209.42$208.32
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26$611.44$403.22$361.58$333.81$299.11$278.29$264.41$254.49$247.05$241.27$236.64$232.86$229.70$227.03$224.75$222.76$221.03$219.50$218.14$216.92$215.82
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27$618.94$410.72$369.08$341.31$306.61$285.79$271.91$261.99$254.55$248.77$244.14$240.36$237.20$234.53$232.25$230.26$228.53$227.00$225.64$224.42$223.32
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28$626.44$418.22$376.58$348.81$314.11$293.29$279.41$269.49$262.05$256.27$251.64$247.86$244.70$242.03$239.75$237.76$236.03$234.50$233.14$231.92$230.82
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29$633.94$425.72$384.08$356.31$321.61$300.79$286.91$276.99$269.55$263.77$259.14$255.36$252.20$249.53$247.25$245.26$243.53$242.00$240.64$239.42$238.32
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30$641.44$433.22$391.58$363.81$329.11$308.29$294.41$284.49$277.05$271.27$266.64$262.86$259.70$257.03$254.75$252.76$251.03$249.50$248.14$246.92$245.82
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15200$/MWmonth Net Revenue Requirement
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7.5Heat Rate (MMBtu's required for 1MW of generation)
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Approximate average price over past 10-years
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Calculated based on forecast by Clearsky Advisors and capacity figures from Ontario's LTEP
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Pembina's "Behind The Switch: Pricing Ontario Electricity Options" claimed gas share of generation would decline to 8%
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Approximate US CCGT capacity factor (was 42% in 2009, production up 29% since then)
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Ontario Power Authority cites calculations at an 87% capacity factor
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