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Data Center Assessment
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Pros Cons/RisksComments
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Tax RevenueSignificant source of revenueFinancial concentration riskWhat is your maximum tolerance for such a concentration? Would you invest idle funds at that same tolerance, or at the risk level of the technology industry?
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Reliance on single taxpayerWho is your data center developer: a primary user like Microsoft, a data center operator like QTS, or a speculator who plans to flip the building after completion?
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Reliance on single industryThe tech industry is very fast-paced and innovates relentlessly. If this one project is a large percentage of land and a large percentage of your tax revenue, you are tying the future of your town to that industry.
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Potential valuation fluctuationValuation of hyperscale data centers is very new. AI bubble raises likelihood of valuation fluctuation.
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Property tax abatementAre you planning on property tax abatement? If your primary motivation for the project is tax revenue, why are you abating it?
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Pros ConsComments
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Construction LaborJob sites likely will employ 1500 or more construction jobs for multiple years. Much of the labor will be itinerant given the specialities needed.Assessment of job growth data from TX - https://michaeljhicks.substack.com/p/data-centers-and-local-job-creation
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Construction workers will generate some indirect economic impact -- eating at restaurants, shopping at local storesPuts upward pressure on rental prices unless there is a major metro area nearby to absorb the workers.
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Pros ConsComments
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Long-Term LaborData center will employ staff once operational, some of which will be high-tech, good-paying jobsData center staffing levels are low, and very low per acre of landNorthern Virginia averages 18 employees per data center building
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Assessment of job growth data from TX - https://michaeljhicks.substack.com/p/data-centers-and-local-job-creation
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Pros ConsComments
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Economic DevelopmentExtension of public utilities -- water, sewer, electricity -- can create opportunity for other businesses to relocate to the area with the data centerThere is very little evidence that this happens.Check maps of West Des Moines IA, Prineville OR, Umatilla OR for examples of the absence of geographically nearby development over a decade past data center construction.
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Permanent jobs multiplier effectMultiplier effect only works at scale. Small numbers of new jobs can be easily absorbed by even small towns without indirect economic benefit.
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