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*** THIS PAGE IS NO LONGER UPDATING / RESULTS FROZEN AS OF OCT. 29 AT 9AM ***
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Winner on Election NightRidingElection Night DifferenceCurrent Vote MarginUncounted VotesVictory Margin required in Uncounted Votes to Flip Seat*Victory Margin in Final Count So Far*Votes Left to Count (Estimated)**
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NDPJuan de Fuca - Malahat231416813.5%-15.1%-98
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NDPSurrey City Centre9323647619.7%-30.4%6
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NDPCoquitlam-Burke Mountain25937171136.6%-15.9%5
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CONSurrey-Guildford103-2763416.4%20.4%-3
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CONKelowna Centre1483881818.2%13.4%-2
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CONCourtenay-Comox2349299523.6%14.0%-17
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Blog posts:
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http://www.chadskelton.com/2024/10/what-can-we-expect-from-final-count-of.html
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http://www.chadskelton.com/2024/10/ndp-still-on-track-to-flip-surrey.html
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http://www.chadskelton.com/2024/10/ndp-on-track-to-flip-surrey-guildford.html
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http://www.chadskelton.com/2024/10/update-in-preparation-for-this-weekends.html
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http://www.chadskelton.com/2024/10/by-numbers-what-are-chances-bcs.html
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Elections BC Results:
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https://electionsbcenr.blob.core.windows.net/electionsbcenr/Results_7097_GE-2024-10-19_Candidate.html
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Elections BC Estimated Number of Mail-In and Absentee Ballots:
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https://elections.bc.ca/docs/CEs-final-count.pdf
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Elections BC's 2024 Guide to Voting and Counting:
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https://elections.bc.ca/docs/8008790_Guide-to-Voting-and-Counting.pdf
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* Figure are shown as percentage points. For example, 54% vs 45% would be a 10 percentage point victory margin
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** Estimates are based on Election BC's published estimates of the number of uncounted votes minus votes counted in late count. This means it can be a negative number.
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