Case of the fidgeting writer progress


1	Stage	Item Required	Cost	Reward	Attempts	Successes	Current amount	Success Chance	Cost	Action equivalents
2	Tale of Terror	1x Tale of Terror	0.5	Sense of Deja Vu	4258	3033	0	71.23%	2129	1684.275556
3	Sense of Deja Vu	1x Vision of the Surface	0.5	Glimpse of something larger	3033	2144	658	70.69%	1516.5	1232.457143
4	Glimpse of something larger	2x Correspondence Plaque	1	Deal with a Devil	1486	1074	0	72.27%	1486	1210.814815
5	Deal with a Devil	2x Brilliant Soul	1	A Room Number at the Royal Beth	1074	661	0	61.55%	1074	849.6533333
6	A Room Number at the Royal Beth	1x Identity Uncovered	2.5	The Last Hope of a Fidgeting Writer	661	355	0	53.71%	1652.5	1485.271595
7	The Last Hope of a Fidgeting Writer	1x Extraordinary Implication	2.5	A Lens of Black Glass	355	188	0	52.96%	887.5	737.6111111
8	A Lens of Black Glass	1x Mourning Candle	2.5	Coruscating Soul	188	102	102	54.26%	470	329
9					11055				9215.5	7529.083552
10
11	Total cost			9215.5
12	Total Actions			11055
13	Total Income			31875
14	Total Benefit			22659.5
15	Benefit/action			2.049706015
16	Total actions including the actions to get the materials			18584.08355
17	Benefit/action once you take into account the actions needed to get the materials:			1.715177394
18
19	Eben's numbers
20	Tale of Terror	1x Tale of Terror	0.5	Sense of Deja Vu	688	494		71.80%	344
21	Sense of Deja Vu	1x Vision of the Surface	0.5	Glimpse of something larger	494	361		73.08%	247
22	Glimpse of something larger	2x Correspondence Plaque	1	Deal with a Devil	361	251		69.53%	361
23	Deal with a Devil	2x Brilliant Soul	1	A Room Number at the Royal Beth	251	149		59.36%	251
24	A Room Number at the Royal Beth	1x Identity Uncovered	2.5	The Last Hope of a Fidgeting Writer	149	82		55.03%	372.5
25	The Last Hope of a Fidgeting Writer	1x Extraordinary Implication	2.5	A Lens of Black Glass	82	47		57.32%	205
26	A Lens of Black Glass	1x Mourning Candle	2.5	Coruscating Soul	47	26		55.32%	117.5
27
28	Esterhazy's numbers
29	Stage	Item Required	Cost	Reward	Attempts	Successes		Success Chance	Cost
30	Tale of Terror	1x Tale of Terror	0.5	Sense of Deja Vu	1234	909		73.66%	617
31	Sense of Deja Vu	1x Vision of the Surface	0.5	Glimpse of something larger	909	636		69.97%	454.5
32	Glimpse of something larger	2x Correspondence Plaque	1	Deal with a Devil	636	442		69.50%	636
33	Deal with a Devil	2x Brilliant Soul	1	A Room Number at the Royal Beth	442	274		61.99%	442
34	A Room Number at the Royal Beth	1x Identity Uncovered	2.5	The Last Hope of a Fidgeting Writer	274	146		53.28%	685
35	The Last Hope of a Fidgeting Writer	1x Extraordinary Implication	2.5	A Lens of Black Glass	146	81		55.48%	365
36	A Lens of Black Glass	1x Mourning Candle	2.5	Coruscating Soul	81	50		61.73%	202.5
37
38	Kaanyia's numbers
39	Stage	Item Required	Cost	Reward	Attempts	Successes	Success Chance	Total Cost
40	Tale of Terror	1x Tale of Terror	0.5	Sense of Déjà Vu	1172	863	73.63481229	586	586
41	Sense of Déjà Vu	1x Vision of the Surface	0.5	Glimpse of Something Larger	863	626	72.53765933	431.5	431.5
42	Glimpse of Something Larger	2x Correspondence Plaque	1	Deal with a Devil	626	450	71.88498403	626	626
43	Deal with a Devil	2x Brilliant Soul	1	A Room Number at the Royal Beth	450	281	62.44444444	450	450
44	A Room Number at the Royal Beth	1x Identity Uncovered	2.5	The Last Hope of a Fidgeting Writer	281	151	53.7366548	702.5	702.5
45	The Last Hope of a Fidgeting Writer	1x Extraordinary Implication	2.5	A Lens of Black Glass	151	84	55.62913907	377.5	377.5
46	A Lens of Black Glass	1x Mourning Candle	2.5	Coruscating Soul	84	46	54.76190476	210	210
47
48	Tale of Terror	1x Tale of Terror	0.5	Sense of Deja Vu	7352	5299		72.08%	3676	2908.124444
49	Sense of Deja Vu	1x Vision of the Surface	0.5	Glimpse of something larger	5299	3767		71.09%	2649.5	2153.244444
50	Glimpse of something larger	2x Correspondence Plaque	1	Deal with a Devil	3109	2217		71.31%	3109	2533.259259
51	Deal with a Devil	2x Brilliant Soul	1	A Room Number at the Royal Beth	2217	1365		61.57%	2217	1753.893333
52	A Room Number at the Royal Beth	1x Identity Uncovered	2.5	The Last Hope of a Fidgeting Writer	1365	734		53.77%	3412.5	3067.164488
53	The Last Hope of a Fidgeting Writer	1x Extraordinary Implication	2.5	A Lens of Black Glass	734	400		54.50%	1835	1525.088889
54	A Lens of Black Glass	1x Mourning Candle	2.5	Coruscating Soul	400	224		56.00%	1000	700
55					20476				17899	14640.77486
56	Total cost			17899
57	Total Actions			20476
58	Total Income			70000
59	Total Benefit			52101
60	Benefit/action			2.544491112
61	Total actions including the actions to get the materials			35116.77486
62	Benefit/action once you take into account the actions needed to get the materials:			1.99334934