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2012 IOWA SPECIAL
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ABCDEFGH
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IOWA CAUCUS SIMULATORGeneral Election Make Up: 2004: D(34), R(36), I(30)…….2008: D(34) R(33) I(33)…….2010 GOV: D(31) R(35) I(34)
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Projected 2012: D(31), R(35) I(34)
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County/County Seat/Location
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LYON/ROCK RAPIDS/NW IA2008 Huckabee2008 Romney2008 Thompson2008 McCain2008 Paul2008 Guiliani2008 Hunter
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214/42%101/20%49/10%113/22%28/5%3/1%0/0%
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Total 2004 Gen Votes: 6054
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Total 2008 Gen Votes: 61462012 Gingrich2012 Romney2012 Perry2012 Bachmann2012 Paul2012 Santorum2012 Huntsman
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1.5% Voter Increase193/32%148/24%92/15%86/14%52/9%35/6%2/0%
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Projected 2012 Votes: 6238
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GOP Needs: 4,6792008 Obama2008 Clinton2008 Edwards2008 Biden2008 Dodd2008 Gravel2008 Richardson
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Hold Obama: 1,559120/30%107/27%173/43%0/0%0/0%0/0%0/0%
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Projected 2012 Caucus Votes: 608
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2008 Caucus Turnout: 11%2004 Bush2008 KerryTrend2008 McCain2008 ObamaTrend2012
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2012 Caucus Turnout: 13%4,751/78%1,303/21%STRONG GOP4,471/72%1,675/27%STRONG GOPGOP NEEDS 75%
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SIOUX/ORANGE CITY/NW IA2008 Huckabee2008 Romney2008 Thompson2008 McCain2008 Paul2008 Guiliani2008 Hunter
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1,147/53%307/14%213/10%346/16%137/6%26/1%3/0%
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Total 2004 Gen Votes: 16,488
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Total 2008 Gen Votes: 16,5202012 Gingrich2012 Romney2012 Perry2012 Bachmann2012 Paul2012 Santorum2012 Huntsman
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0.2% Voter Increase1,024/41%502/20%395/16%250/10%173/7%158/6%1/0%
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Projected 2012 Votes: 16,553
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GOP Needs: 13,9052008 Obama2008 Clinton2008 Edwards2008 Biden2008 Dodd2008 Gravel2008 Richardson
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Hold Obama: 2,648261/37%224/32%187/27%0/0%0/0%0/0%19/3%
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Projected 2012 Caucus Votes: 2,503
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2008 Caucus Turnout: 16%2004 Bush2008 KerryTrend2008 McCain2008 ObamaTrend2012
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2012 Caucus Turnout: 18%14,229/86%2,259/14%STRONG GOP13,490/81%3,030/18%STRONG GOPGOP NEEDS 84%
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PLYMOUTH/LE MARS/NW IA2008 Huckabee2008 Romney2008 Thompson2008 McCain2008 Paul2008 Guiliani2008 Hunter
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304/25%415/34%171/14%201/16%101/8%30/3%3/0%
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Total 2004 Gen Votes: 12,088
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Total 2008 Gen Votes: 12,3942012 Gingrich2012 Romney2012 Perry2012 Bachmann2012 Paul2012 Santorum2012 Huntsman
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2.5% Voter Increase268/20%502/37%196/14%129/9%148/11%109/8%9/0%
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Projected 2012 Votes: 12,704
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GOP Needs: 8,0042008 Obama2008 Clinton2008 Edwards2008 Biden2008 Dodd2008 Gravel2008 Richardson
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Hold Obama: 4,700520/40%440/34%320/25%20/1%0/0%0/0%0/0%
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Projected 2012 Caucus Votes: 1,361
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2008 Caucus Turnout: 15%2004 Bush2008 KerryTrend2008 McCain2008 ObamaTrend2012
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2012 Caucus Turnout: 17%7,810/64%4,278/35%LIKELY GOP7,765/62%4,629/37%LIKELY GOPGOP NEEDS 63%
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WOODBURY/SIOUX CITY/NW IA2008 Huckabee2008 Romney2008 Thompson2008 McCain2008 Paul2008 Guiliani2008 Hunter
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780/23%1,309/38%567/16%422/12%275/8%103/3%5/0%
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Total 2004 Gen Votes: 43,906
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Total 2008 Gen Votes: 44,2022012 Gingrich2012 Romney2012 Perry2012 Bachmann2012 Paul2012 Santorum2012 Huntsman
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0.7% Voter Increase685/19%1,533/42%492/14%307/8%410/11%186/6%19/0%
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Projected 2012 Votes: 44,511
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GOP Needs: 22,7012008 Obama2008 Clinton2008 Edwards2008 Biden2008 Dodd2008 Gravel2008 Richardson
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Hold Obama: 21,8102,420/36%2,480/36%1,880/28%20/0%0/0%0/0%0/0%
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Projected 2012 Caucus Votes: 3,632
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2008 Caucus Turnout: 15%2004 Bush2008 KerryTrend2008 McCain2008 ObamaTrend2012
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2012 Caucus Turnout: 16%22,451/51%21,455/49%LEAN GOP22,219/50%21,983/49%LEAN GOPGOP NEEDS 51%
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MONONA/ONAWA/WEST IA2008 Huckabee2008 Romney2008 Thompson2008 McCain2008 Paul2008 Guiliani2008 Hunter
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95/29%117/36%50/15%38/12%20/6%8/2%0/0%
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Total 2004 Gen Votes: 4,972
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Total 2008 Gen Votes: 4,7062012 Gingrich2012 Romney2012 Perry2012 Bachmann2012 Paul2012 Santorum2012 Huntsman
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5.5% Voter DECREASE74/25%103/35%47/16%25/9%26/9%15/5%4/1%
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Projected 2012 Votes: 4,447
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GOP Needs: 2,2682008 Obama2008 Clinton2008 Edwards2008 Biden2008 Dodd2008 Gravel2008 Richardson
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Hold Obama: 2,179250/31%300/38%210/26%20/3%0/0%0/0%20/2%
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Projected 2012 Caucus Votes: 294
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2008 Caucus Turnout: 14%2004 Bush2008 KerryTrend2008 McCain2008 ObamaTrend2012
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2012 Caucus Turnout: 13%2,575/51%2,397/48%LEAN GOP2,411/51%2,295/48%LEAN GOPGOP NEEDS 51%
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HARRISON/LOGAN/SW IA2008 Huckabee2008 Romney2008 Thompson2008 McCain2008 Paul2008 Guiliani2008 Hunter
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167/31%183/35%56/11%44/8%65/12%14/3%1/0%
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Total 2004 Gen Votes: 7,586
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Total 2008 Gen Votes: 7,4642012 Gingrich2012 Romney2012 Perry2012 Bachmann2012 Paul2012 Santorum2012 Huntsman
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1.5% Voter DECREASE103/20%151/29%95/18%60/11%84/16%31/6%1/0%
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Projected 2012 Votes: 7,352
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GOP Needs: 4,0442008 Obama2008 Clinton2008 Edwards2008 Biden2008 Dodd2008 Gravel2008 Richardson
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Hold Obama: 3,308267/27%400/30%333/33%0/0%0/0%0/0%0/0%
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Projected 2012 Caucus Votes: 525
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2008 Caucus Turnout: 14%2004 Bush2008 KerryTrend2008 McCain2008 ObamaTrend2012
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2012 Caucus Turnout: 13%4,680/61%2,906/38%LIKELY GOP3,909/52%3,555/47%LEAN GOPGOP NEEDS 55%
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POTTAWATTAMIE/COUNCIL BLUFFS/SW IA2008 Huckabee2008 Romney2008 Thompson2008 McCain2008 Paul2008 Guiliani2008 Hunter
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571/22%854/33%355/14%352/13%300/11%154/6%18/1%
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Total 2004 Gen Votes: 41,464
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Total 2008 Gen Votes: 41,6732012 Gingrich2012 Romney2012 Perry2012 Bachmann2012 Paul2012 Santorum2012 Huntsman
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0.5% Voter Increase542/19%965/33%433/15%296/10%378/13%240/8%31/1%
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Projected 2012 Votes: 41,881
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GOP Needs: 22,1972008 Obama2008 Clinton2008 Edwards2008 Biden2008 Dodd2008 Gravel2008 Richardson
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Hold Obama: 19,6841,452/26%2,321/42%1,694/31%92/1%11/0%0/0%0/0%
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Projected 2012 Caucus Votes: 2,885
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2008 Caucus Turnout: 12%2004 Bush2008 KerryTrend2008 McCain2008 ObamaTrend2012
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2012 Caucus Turnout: 13%24,558/59%16,906/41%LIKELY GOP21,237/50%20,436/49%LEAN GOPGOP NEEDS 53%
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MILLS/GLENWOOD/SW IA2008 Huckabee2008 Romney2008 Thompson2008 McCain2008 Paul2008 Guiliani2008 Hunter
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155/26%126/24%98/18%76/14%52/10%25/5%0/0%
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Total 2004 Gen Votes: 6,864
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Total 2008 Gen Votes: 7,1592012 Gingrich2012 Romney2012 Perry2012 Bachmann2012 Paul2012 Santorum2012 Huntsman
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4% Voter Increase173/26%150/22%136/20%61/9%95/14%43/6%12/2%
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Projected 2012 Votes: 7,445
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GOP Needs: 4,4672008 Obama2008 Clinton2008 Edwards2008 Biden2008 Dodd2008 Gravel2008 Richardson
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Hold Obama: 2,978187/27%296/42%202/29%0/0%0/0%0/0%16/2%
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Projected 2012 Caucus Votes: 670
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2008 Caucus Turnout: 13%2004 Bush2008 KerryTrend2008 McCain2008 ObamaTrend2012
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2012 Caucus Turnout: 15%4,556/66%2,308/33%LIKELY GOP4,183/58%2,976/41%LIKELY GOPGOP NEEDS 60%
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