Estimates_from_Observations

	A	B	C	D	E	F	G	H	I	J	K	L
1	Date	Estimated Error	Downtown Obverved Current Hospitalizations	Estimated Current Hospitalizations	Assumed Market Share	Estimated % Hospitalizations	Assumed % of symptomatic Hospitalizations	Assumed % of infected that is symptomatic	Assumed % of infected that is asymptomatic	Estimated Total Regional Infections	Assumed Rate of Detection	Regional Known Infections
2	3/6/20	0	0	0	15%	2.5%	5%	50%	50%	20	10%	2
3	3/7/20	0	0	0	15%	2.5%	5%	50%	50%	30	10%	3
4	3/8/20	0	0	0	15%	2.5%	5%	50%	50%	50	10%	5
5	3/9/20	0	0	0	15%	2.5%	5%	50%	50%	80	10%	8
6	3/10/20	0	0	0	15%	2.5%	5%	50%	50%	90	10%	9
7	3/11/20	0	0	0	15%	2.5%	5%	50%	50%	130	10%	13
8	3/12/20	1	0	1	15%	2.5%	5%	50%	50%	170	10%	17
9	3/13/20	1	0	1	15%	2.5%	5%	50%	50%	300	10%	30
10	3/14/20	-1	2	1	15%	2.5%	5%	50%	50%	330	10%	33
11	3/15/20	-1	2	1	15%	2.5%	5%	50%	50%	390	10%	39
12	3/16/20	0	2	2	15%	2.5%	5%	50%	50%	500	10%	50
13	3/17/20	-2	4	2	15%	2.5%	5%	50%	50%	590	10%	59
14	3/18/20	1	2	3	15%	2.5%	5%	50%	50%	820	10%	82
15	3/19/20	1	3	4	15%	2.5%	5%	50%	50%	1060	10%	106
16	3/20/20	1	4	5	15%	2.5%	5%	50%	50%	1400	10%	140
17	3/21/20	1	6	7	15%	2.5%	5%	50%	50%	1970	10%	197
18	3/22/20	1	8	9	15%	2.5%	5%	50%	50%	2530	10%	253
19	3/23/20	0	13	13	15%	2.5%	5%	50%	50%	3540	10%	354
20
21	Doubling Time 6
22	Day	Forecast Hospitilizations	Observation Hospitilizations	Error
23	3/14/20	0	0	0
24	3/15/20	1	0	1
25	3/16/20	1	0	1
26	3/17/20	2	2	0
27	3/18/20	2	0	2
28	3/19/20	3	1	2
29	3/20/20	4	2	2
30	3/21/20	4	4	0
31	3/22/20	5	6	-1
32	3/23/20	6	11	-5
33			SUMSQ	40
34	Doubling Time 4
35	Day	Forecast Hospitilizations	Observation Hospitilizations	Error
36	3/14/20	0	0	0
37	3/15/20	1	0	1
38	3/16/20	2	0	2
39	3/17/20	2	2	0
40	3/18/20	3	0	3
41	3/19/20	4	1	3
42	3/20/20	6	2	4
43	3/21/20	7	4	3
44	3/22/20	9	6	3
45	3/23/20	10	11	-1
46			SUMSQ	58
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100