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2016, 2018 and 2020 Voter Demographics, Based on Validated Voters
Terms of Use
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Detailed tables for "Behind Biden's 2020 Victory"
Privacy policy
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Pew Research Center report released June 30, 2021
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Full Pew Research Center report: https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2021/06/30/behind-bidens-2020-victory/Green highlights indicate statistically significant change from 2016Blank cells indicate insufficient sample size for reliable estimationComposition of the Democratic and Republican electoratesComposition of all voters and nonvoters
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Group as a share of all 2020 votersGroup as a share of all 2018 votersGroup as a share of all 2016 votersLabel2020 Biden vote (official result 51%)2020 Trump (official result 47%)2020 margin (Biden - Trump)2018 Democratic House vote (official result 53%)2018 Republican House vote (official result 44%)2018 margin (Dem - Rep)2016 Clinton vote (official result 48%)2016 Trump vote (official result 46%)2016 margin (Clinton - Trump)2020 vote choice margin of error (+/- at 95% CI)2018 vote choice margin of error (+/- at 95% CI)2016 vote choice margin of error (+/- at 95% CI)Group as a share of 2020 Trump votersGroup as a share of 2020 Biden votersGroup as a share of 2018 Republican votersGroup as a share of 2018 Democratic votersGroup as a share of 2016 Trump votersGroup as a share of 2016 Clinton votersGroup as a share of all 2020 votersGroup as a share of all 2020 nonvotersGroup as a share of all 2018 votersGroup as a share of all 2018 nonvotersGroup as a share of all 2016 votersGroup as a share of all 2016 nonvoters
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Gender
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484945Men4850-2504824152-112.92.34.6514453455339484449454551
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515155Women5544115840185439152.22.14.4495547554761515551555549
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Race/Ethnicity
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727574White4355-124652-63954-151.91.83.5856188658860725575607452
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11910Black9288492686916855.85.611.421911611911149141015
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10810Hispanic5938217225476628388.15.812.481151161410208171019
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422Asian722844732647---13.29.6-261313442324
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243Other564016633330---9.48.8-223424254537
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Gender and race
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353733Men, White non-Hispanic4057-174355-123262-303.02.65.2432747294622352437263325
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373841Women, White non-Hispanic4653-7504824547-22.32.44.9423342354238373138344127
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434Men, Black non-Hispanic87127592686---10.89.5-170617453649
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666Women, Black non-Hispanic9559093588---6.66.8- 112110013696966
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545Men, Hispanic574017692742---12.78.9-4636365949510
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545Women, Hispanic613724752352---10.07.0-4625375114859
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Party
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353131Republican594-89495-91492-883.12.85.8704672643351731223124
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363535Democrat9549197295945892.82.55.4366264468362335273530
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293334Independent/Other524395540154243-13.52.85.4273030343229295833493445
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Party/lean
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484548Rep/lean Rep692-86691-85489-852.82.44.7946945944484145424841
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505351Dem/lean Dem9449095392895842.32.14.4591493695504653515155
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Party/lean and ideology
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333330Cons R/R lean297-95296-94394-913.02.85.7691711622331633183022
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141217Mod/Lib R1679-631580-65879-716.14.67.9244223313142412241719
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242327Mod/Cons D9178491784858773.43.26.7442440547242723312736
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262925Lib D/D lean9829698197942923.22.75.8149053148261829192519
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Married
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565852Married4554-94652-63955-162.02.04.1644968506343563658385236
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444248Not married6038226433315834243.22.55.0365131503657446442624864
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Gender and Marital
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283027Men, Married4454-104355-123262-303.02.95.6332438243618281630162717
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272826Women, Married4653-7504824748-12.72.76.0312531262725271928222620
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191919Men, Not married5343106136255439155.44.07.9182015211721192819281934
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242329Women, Not married6434306731366031293.73.26.4183016282036243623332930
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Age (4-way)
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15111318-295935247223495828307.55.19.51117615816152711301333
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30303030-495543125938215140113.02.75.5273226332732304030353033
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28292950-644753-6504824551-62.92.86.0312532273327282129252924
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27312765+4852-44652-64453-92.63.06.230253726322527113110279
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Age (6-way)
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96618-24---752154----7.4-6113947918618620
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65725-295939206826425926337.46.811.5573649610512713
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15141630-395741166333305237154.33.87.6131711171318152114221618
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15151440-4953467554312504374.03.97.9141515161415151915141416
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28292950-644753-6504824551-62.92.86.0312532273327282129252924
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27312765+4852-44652-64453-92.63.06.230253726322527113110279
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Age (4-way alt)
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15111318-295935247223495828307.55.19.51117615816152711301333
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22212430-445642146235275040103.53.16.4202417252125223121292427
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35373545-644851-3504824749-22.62.55.3383341343834353037313530
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27312765+4852-44652-64453-92.63.06.230253726322527113110279
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Generation
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81216Silent+4258-164257-154057-174.74.88.4107169211483124165
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364036Boomer4851-3494904650-42.42.55.3393345364035362140243627
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252624Xer51483554411494363.13.06.0262525262325252626252423
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222022Millennial5839196728395631253.73.47.0192513251526223420382243
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Generation (alt)
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001Greatest------------000011000010
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81216Silent4258-164258-163958-194.74.88.5107159201383124165
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364036Boomer4851-3494904650-42.42.55.3393345364035362140243627
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252624Xer51483554411494363.13.06.0262525262325252626252423
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302223Millennial/Gen Z5838206828405631254.33.37.0243414281627304922472345
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Size of place (self-reported)
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222322Urban6633337325487024464.23.27.1152813311232222923302227
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525350Suburban544311524574547-22.42.14.4485554515348524453435042
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262427Rural3365-323859-213459-253.53.37.1361733173519262724272730
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- - - Based on Whites only - - -
Size of place among Whites*
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161917Urban5939206434305937224.93.98.2122213271226162219241719
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535352Suburban4751-44751-43854-162.52.34.9495853545250534553435243
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312730Rural2871-433364-313062-323.53.67.8392034193623313327323037
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Religious family
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464347Protestant4059-194058-183956-172.42.44.8583557325838463943404744
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201920Catholic4950-14652-64452-84.23.77.5221922162318201719132015
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253026Unaffiliated7126457522536524413.62.96.3143515421435253630392632
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888Other6432326633336133287.75.19.161169610888789
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Religious tradition
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191820White Evangelical Protestant1584-691781-641677-613.83.87.0346336347191418152013