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On Point Politics/SoCal Research 7/21 National Poll
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MarketSight® Crosstab
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Weight Variable = National Registered Voters, Confidence Level = 95%
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AgeGenderDo you generally consider yourself a:RaceEducationDoes Joe Biden dropping out of the presidential race make you more or less likely to support Donald Trump?Do you approve or disapprove of Joe Biden's decision to drop out of the presidential race?US Census Region
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Total18-2930-4445-6465+TotalfemalemaleTotalDemocratIndependentRepublicanTotalasianblackhispanicotherwhiteTotalcollegeno collegeTotalLess likelyMore likelyNo differenceTotalApproveDisapproveTotalMidwestNortheastSouthWest
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If the 2024 presidential election were held today and these were the candidates, who would you vote for?
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Sample Size80113617631217680141738480128820830480124969624561801312489801143189469801546255801192152288168
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Donald Trump, the Republican
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Count406668817280406200206406331072654061117329336406140266406161412494062681384061136714383
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Column %51%49%50%55%45%51%48%53%51%12%52%87%51%47%17%34%39%60%51%45%54%51%11%75%53%51%49%54%51%59%44%50%49%
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Kamala Harris, the Democrat
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Count3475477131853471861613472397631347874541219934716118634711839189347247100347697812278
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Column %43%40%44%42%48%43%45%42%43%83%37%10%43%34%77%57%49%35%43%52%38%43%83%21%40%43%45%39%43%36%51%42%47%
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Undecided
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Count481611101148301848162584846932648113748893148311748107247
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Column %6%12%6%3%6%6%7%5%6%5%12%3%6%19%6%10%11%5%6%3%8%6%6%5%7%6%6%7%6%5%5%8%4%
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If the 2024 presidential election were held today and these were the candidates, who would you vote for?1
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Sample Size80113617631217680141738480128820830480124969624561801312489801143189469801546255801192152288168
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Chase Oliver, the Libertarian
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Count281295328919281061328416117288202847172817122866133
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Column %4%9%5%1%2%4%2%5%4%4%3%4%4%16%1%6%5%3%4%3%4%4%3%3%4%4%3%5%4%3%4%5%2%
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Donald Trump, the Republican
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Count34851731467834817317534819862423481016279287348125223348121242123482281203481025212370
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Column %43%37%41%47%44%43%41%46%43%7%41%80%43%41%17%28%36%51%43%40%46%43%8%66%45%43%42%47%43%53%34%43%41%
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Jill Stein, the Green party candidate
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Count2386442313923146323337192341823581023914232498
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Column %3%6%4%1%2%3%3%2%3%5%3%1%3%14%3%7%3%2%3%1%4%3%3%4%2%3%2%6%3%1%3%3%4%
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Kamala Harris, the Democrat
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Count29744581158029716113629721659232976634881722971501472971033216229722176297576611065
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Column %37%32%33%37%45%37%39%35%37%75%28%7%37%24%66%50%34%31%37%48%30%37%72%17%35%37%41%30%37%29%43%38%39%
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Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the third party candidate
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Count7520193077538377522322175184458751659751317467550257518172416
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Column %9%15%11%10%4%9%9%10%9%8%16%7%9%5%8%5%17%10%9%5%12%9%9%9%10%9%9%10%9%9%11%8%10%
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Undecided
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Count3011213530227308193300551183092030712230228307796
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Column %4%1%7%4%3%4%5%2%4%3%9%1%4%0%5%5%5%3%4%3%4%4%5%1%5%4%4%3%4%4%5%3%4%
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Do you generally consider yourself a:
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Sample Size80113617631217680141738480128820830480124969624561801312489801143189469801546255801192152288168
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Democrat
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Count288486711163288155134288288002888665111153288130159288925114628819791288567210060
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Column %36%35%38%35%36%36%37%35%36%100%0%0%36%32%69%54%44%27%36%42%32%36%64%27%31%36%36%36%36%29%47%35%36%
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Independent
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Count2083754853320811197208020802082211871602086214620835401332081515720854476442
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Column %26%27%30%27%19%26%27%25%26%0%100%0%26%9%22%19%28%29%26%20%30%26%24%21%28%26%28%23%26%28%31%22%25%
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Republican
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Count304515611780304151154304003043041492772483041211843041698191304198107304823312466
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Column %38%38%32%37%46%38%36%40%38%0%0%100%38%59%9%28%28%44%38%39%38%38%11%52%41%38%36%42%38%43%22%43%39%
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Do you approve or disapprove of Joe Biden's decision to drop out of the presidential race?
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Sample Size80113617631217680141738480128820830480124969624561801312489801143189469801546255801192152288168
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Approve
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Count546881222161195463142325461971511985461471561139454621133454696107343546546054614095193117
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Column %68%65%69%69%68%68%75%60%68%68%72%65%68%58%74%58%47%70%68%68%68%68%67%56%73%68%100%0%68%73%62%67%70%
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Disapprove
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Count255485496572551031522559157107255102541131662551011542554782126255025525552579551
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Column %32%35%31%31%32%32%25%40%32%32%28%35%32%42%26%42%53%30%32%32%32%32%33%44%27%32%0%100%32%27%38%33%30%
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Does Joe Biden dropping out of the presidential race make you more or less likely to support Donald Trump?
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Sample Size80113617631217680141738480128820830480124969624561801312489801143189469801546255801192152288168
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Less likely
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Count14329325923143766714392351614363418778143578614314300143964714331245830
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Column %18%21%18%19%13%18%18%17%18%32%17%5%18%24%35%19%30%14%18%18%18%18%100%0%0%18%18%18%18%16%16%20%18%
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More likely
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Count189433970371898210718951409818971233413218971118189018901891078218940396940
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Column %24%32%22%22%21%24%20%28%24%18%19%32%24%31%13%35%18%24%24%23%24%24%0%100%0%24%20%32%24%21%26%24%24%
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No difference
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Count4696410618311646925821146914613319146911504413351469185284469004694693431264691218916198
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Column %59%47%60%59%66%59%62%55%59%51%64%63%59%45%52%46%52%63%59%59%58%59%0%0%100%59%63%49%59%63%59%56%58%
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