| B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | K | L | M | N | O | P | Q | R | S | T | U | V | W | X | Y | |
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1 | Daily Kos Elections | elections.dailykos.com | @DKElections | |||||||||||||||||||||
2 | Special Election | 2020 Presidential | 2016 Presidential | 2012 Presidential | ||||||||||||||||||||
3 | Date | State | District | Held By | Winner | D %age | R %age | Margin | Biden | Trump | Margin | Margin Dif. | Clinton | Trump | Margin | Margin Dif. | Obama | Romney | Margin | Margin Dif. | ||||
4 | 23-Aug-22 | NY | NY-19 | (D) | (D) | 51% | 49% | 3% | 50% | 48% | 2% | 1% | 44% | 51% | -7% | 10% | 52% | 46% | 6% | -3% | ||||
5 | 23-Aug-22 | NY | NY-23 | (R) | (R) | 47% | 53% | -5% | 43% | 55% | -11% | 6% | 40% | 55% | -15% | 9% | 48% | 50% | -1% | -4% | ||||
6 | 16-Aug-22 | AK | AK-AL | (R) | (D) ✓ | 51% | 49% | 3% | 43% | 53% | -10% | 13% | 38% | 53% | -15% | 18% | 41% | 55% | -14% | 17% | ||||
7 | 9-Aug-22 | MN | MN-01 | (R) | (R) | 47% | 51% | -4% | 44% | 54% | -10% | 6% | 38% | 53% | -15% | 11% | 50% | 48% | 1% | -5% | ||||
8 | 28-Jun-22 | NE | NE-01 | (R) | (R) | 47% | 53% | -5% | 43% | 54% | -11% | 6% | 38% | 56% | -18% | 13% | 41% | 57% | -16% | 10% | ||||
9 | 14-Jun-22 | ME | SD-07 | (D) | (D) | 63% | 35% | 28% | 57% | 40% | 17% | 11% | 53% | 41% | 12% | 16% | 58% | 39% | 19% | 9% | ||||
10 | 7-Jun-22 | CA | CA-22 | (R) | (R) | 38% | 62% | -24% | 46% | 52% | -5% | -19% | 43% | 52% | -10% | -15% | 42% | 57% | -15% | -9% | ||||
11 | 24-May-22 | NY | AD-58 * | (D) | (D) | 80% | 2% | 77% | 95% | 4% | 91% | -14% | 96% | 3% | 93% | -16% | 98% | 1% | 97% | -20% | ||||
12 | 17-May-22 | PA | SD-05 | (D) | (D) | 56% | 43% | 13% | 54% | 45% | 10% | 4% | 56% | 41% | 15% | -2% | 63% | 36% | 27% | -13% | ||||
13 | 17-May-22 | SC | HD-97 | (R) | (R) | 36% | 63% | -27% | 40% | 59% | -19% | -8% | 37% | 59% | -22% | -6% | 42% | 56% | -14% | -14% | ||||
14 | 3-May-22 | GA | HD-45 | (R) | (R) | 43% | 57% | -13% | 50% | 49% | 1% | -14% | 42% | 54% | -12% | -1% | ||||||||
15 | 3-May-22 | MI | HD-15 | (D) | (D) | 73% | 27% | 45% | 68% | 31% | 38% | 8% | 63% | 32% | 31% | 14% | 65% | 33% | 32% | 13% | ||||
16 | 3-May-22 | MI | HD-36 | (R) | (R) | 40% | 60% | -19% | 34% | 64% | -30% | 11% | 30% | 65% | -35% | 16% | 38% | 61% | -23% | 4% | ||||
17 | 3-May-22 | MI | HD-43 | (R) | (R) | 43% | 57% | -13% | 43% | 55% | -12% | -1% | 37% | 57% | -19% | 6% | 44% | 55% | -10% | -3% | ||||
18 | 3-May-22 | MI | HD-74 | (R) | (D) ✓ | 52% | 41% | 11% | 41% | 57% | -16% | 27% | 34% | 59% | -24% | 36% | 39% | 60% | -22% | 33% | ||||
19 | 7-Apr-22 | NY | AD-20 | (R) | (R) | 37% | 63% | -26% | 47% | 52% | -5% | -20% | 47% | 50% | -3% | -23% | 48% | 51% | -3% | -23% | ||||
20 | 5-Apr-22 | PA | HD-24 | (D) | (D) | 94% | 6% | 88% | 91% | 8% | 83% | 5% | 91% | 7% | 84% | 5% | 91% | 8% | 82% | 6% | ||||
21 | 5-Apr-22 | PA | HD-116 * | (R) | (R) | 25% | 56% | -31% | 33% | 66% | -33% | 2% | 31% | 66% | -35% | 5% | 41% | 58% | -17% | -14% | ||||
22 | 29-Mar-22 | SC | SD-31 | (R) | (R) | 10% | 90% | -80% | 40% | 59% | -19% | -62% | 36% | 61% | -25% | -56% | 38% | 61% | -24% | -57% | ||||
23 | 22-Mar-22 | NY | AD-43 * | (D) | (D) | 62% | 3% | 59% | 88% | 11% | 77% | -18% | 90% | 8% | 81% | -22% | 93% | 7% | 86% | -27% | ||||
24 | 8-Mar-22 | FL | HD-88 | (D) | (D) | 80% | 20% | 61% | 76% | 23% | 54% | 7% | 78% | 20% | 59% | 2% | 82% | 17% | 65% | -4% | ||||
25 | 8-Mar-22 | FL | SD-33 | (D) | (D) | 81% | 19% | 62% | 78% | 22% | 56% | 5% | 79% | 19% | 60% | 1% | ||||||||
26 | 5-Mar-22 | DE | HD-04 | (D) | (D) | 68% | 31% | 37% | 70% | 28% | 42% | -5% | 63% | 31% | 32% | 5% | 59% | 39% | 20% | 17% | ||||
27 | 1-Mar-22 | CT | HD-05 * | (D) | (D) | 75% | 12% | 63% | 85% | 14% | 71% | -9% | 85% | 13% | 72% | -9% | 87% | 13% | 74% | -11% | ||||
28 | 22-Feb-22 | KY | HD-42 | (D) | (D) | 94% | 6% | 89% | 87% | 12% | 75% | 14% | 84% | 11% | 74% | 15% | 86% | 13% | 73% | 15% | ||||
29 | 22-Feb-22 | CT | HD-71 | (R) | (R) | 26% | 74% | -47% | 47% | 52% | -6% | -42% | 41% | 55% | -14% | -34% | 44% | 55% | -11% | -36% | ||||
30 | 15-Feb-22 | NY | AD-60 * | (D) | (D) | 78% | 2% | 76% | 93% | 7% | 86% | -9% | 95% | 4% | 92% | -15% | 97% | 3% | 94% | -18% | ||||
31 | 15-Feb-22 | NY | AD-72 * | (D) | (D) | 61% | 7% | 54% | 84% | 15% | 68% | -14% | 91% | 7% | 84% | -30% | 93% | 6% | 87% | -33% | ||||
32 | 8-Feb-22 | AR | SD-07 | (R) | (R) | 50% | 50% | -1% | 41% | 56% | -14% | 13% | 35% | 58% | -23% | 22% | 33% | 64% | -32% | 31% | ||||
33 | 25-Jan-22 | CT | HD-144 | (D) | (D) | 56% | 44% | 11% | 62% | 37% | 25% | -14% | 58% | 38% | 19% | -8% | 56% | 43% | 12% | -1% | ||||
34 | 18-Jan-22 | NY | AD-68 | (D) | (D) | 81% | 10% | 71% | 89% | 10% | 78% | -7% | 91% | 6% | 85% | -14% | 93% | 6% | 87% | -16% | ||||
35 | 11-Jan-22 | FL | FL-20 | (D) | (D) | 79% | 19% | 60% | 77% | 22% | 55% | 4% | 80% | 18% | 62% | -3% | 83% | 17% | 65% | -6% | ||||
36 | 11-Jan-22 | ME | HD-27 | (D) | (D) | 57% | 38% | 19% | 60% | 37% | 23% | -4% | 53% | 40% | 12% | 6% | 55% | 43% | 12% | 6% | ||||
37 | 11-Jan-22 | VA | HD-89 | (D) | (D) | 76% | 23% | 53% | 83% | 15% | 68% | -15% | 80% | 15% | 65% | -12% | ||||||||
38 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
39 | 2022 Avg. | -2.5% | 2022 Avg. | 1.2% | 2022 Avg. | -1.3% | ||||||||||||||||||
40 | (28 races) | (28 races) | (25 races) | |||||||||||||||||||||
41 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
42 | 2021-22 Avg. | -3.7% | 2021-22 Avg. | 0.1% | 2021-22 Avg. | -3.5% | ||||||||||||||||||
43 | (77 races) | (71 races) | (65 races) | |||||||||||||||||||||
44 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
45 | Other cycles: 2017-18; 2019-20; 2023-24 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
46 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
47 | "✓" indicates a change in party control. | |||||||||||||||||||||||
48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
49 | * Not included in averages. Averages only include races where the combined Democratic and Republican share of the vote is 90% or greater. | |||||||||||||||||||||||
50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
51 | Federal elections shaded in gold. All others are legislative elections. | |||||||||||||||||||||||
52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
53 | Sources: Daily Kos Elections, Dave's Redistricting App, VEST | |||||||||||||||||||||||