Single-Payer Health Care: By the Numbers
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SINGLE PAYER HEALTH CARE, BY THE NUMBERS
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This content is licensed for free, unfettered duplication under the Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 United States License.
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Any interested party is encouraged to help update the stats; e-mail brandon.dawson@gmail.com for write access.
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NOTES
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These figures are based on 2008/2009 numbers, except where noted. This sheet originally created on 9-13-2009.
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Thus, as of September 2011, the US HCR costs cited here should be considered increased by a rate of at least 26% based on 2006 cost-growth rates.
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FACTORVALUESOURCENOTES
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Total US Population (July 2008 Estimate)303824640
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US Gross Domestic Product (2008 GDP)$13,840,000,000,000.00
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INDIVIDUAL TAXATION
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Number of US Individual Income Tax Filers, FY 2008156297000http://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-soi/07ifss25.xlsIncrease over FY2007 by 11.5%
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Estimated Individual Gross Tax Receipts, FY 2008$1,146,000,000,000.00http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_federal_budget33% decrease over FY2007, caused by decreased receipts and $152 billion stimulus rebates under Economic Stimulus Act of 2008
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Refunds issued$261,320,000,000.00http://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-soi/07ifss25.xls
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Estimated Individual Net tax receipts, FY 2008$884,680,000,000.00
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Per-capita individual income$32,140.00http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Income_in_the_United_States
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Total individual income (filers x per-cap average)$5,023,385,580,000.00
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Effective Average Tax Rate (total income / tax receipts)17.61%
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Effective Average Tax Rate, minus 7.65% FICA9.96%
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Average individual health-care expenditure, as % of income, FY 200812.00%RAND Corporation, http://www.randcompare.org/current/dimension/consumer_financial_risk#section24
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Total estimated consumer amount spent on health-care, US$602,806,269,600.00Kaiser Family Foundation, http://www.kaiseredu.org/topics_im.asp?imID=1&parentID=61&id=358
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Total amount spent on health-care in US$2,334,000,000,000.00http://www.cms.hhs.gov/NationalHealthExpendData/25_NHE_Fact_Sheet.aspEstimate based on 6.1% growth over FY2007 numbers.
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Theoretical cost of universal US health care, under existing system (Total amount spent / .84)$2,778,571,428,571.43
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Consumer/Individual share of total health care expense25.83%Note: rounding results in total percent greater than 100.
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Increase in individual tax revenue after implementation of single-payer (consumer GDP x consumer HC spending % x (eff. Tax % - FICA%))$60,046,920,375.60
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CORPORATE TAXATION
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Net receipts, FY2007$395,319,654,000.00http://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-soi/07db05co.xls
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Average Corporate Tax Rate (paid on profits only)27.00%US Treasury
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Actual Gross Business income$6,197,614,420,000.00Number derived from subtracting consumer and government spending from 2008 GDP estimates.
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Business/Corporate share of health care expenses**$936,193,730,400.00
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Business share of health care expenses as a % of total health care expenses40.11%
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Business share of health care expenses as a % of total revenue15.11%Note: rounding results in total percent greater than 100.
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Potential maximum tax revenue increase as result of single-payer (Business share of health-care x 39.30% corporate tax rate)$252,772,307,208.00Number is maximum possible; actual increase would vary with profit/loss of constituent companies.
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GOVERNMENT HEALTH-CARE EXPENDITURES
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Total amount spent on Medicare/Medicaid$795,000,000,000.00
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US Population covered by Medicare/Medicaid96000000http://www.kaiseredu.org/tutorials/Medicare101_2006/player.html, http://www.kff.org/medicaid/upload/7306%20Ten%20Myths%20about%20Medicaid_Final-3.pdf
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Government share of health care expenses, as % of total health care expenses34.06%Note: rounding results in total percent greater than 100.
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COMBINED CORPORATE/INDIVIDUAL SAVINGS
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MAXIMUM AMOUNT OF YEARLY NEW TAX REVENUE REALIZED WITH SINGLE PAYER:$312,819,227,583.60Number is maximum possible; actual increase would vary with profit/loss of constituent companies.
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SINGLE-PAYER HEALTHCARE AROUND THE WORLD, BY THE NUMBERS
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JAPAN
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Total Population127288416CIA World Factbook
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Population as % of US Population41.90%
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GDP$4,272,000,000,000.00CIA World Factbook
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GDP as % of US GDP30.87%
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Total Health Care Expenditure as % of national GDP, FY2008 Estimate8.23%WHO + estimated growth http://www.who.int/whosis/whostat/EN_WHS09_Table7.pdfNote: Added 1.23% to estimate FY2008 numbers where FY2006 is last available. Numbers grew by .4% in Japan from FY2000 to FY2006.
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Total Health Care Expenditure in nominal USD, FY2008 Estimate$351,585,600,000.00WHO + estimated growth http://www.who.int/whosis/whostat/EN_WHS09_Table7.pdf
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Total Health Care Expenditure as % of US Health Care Expenditure15.06%
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Total Cost of Universal US Health Care under Japan's system$839,199,447,255.15
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Efficiency (Cost of universal Japan HC vs. Theoretical cost of universal US Healthcare under existing system)331.10%
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CANADA
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Total Population33212696CIA World Factbook
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Population as % of US Population10.93%
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GDP$1,271,000,000,000.00CIA World Factbook
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GDP as % of US GDP9.18%
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Total Health Care Expenditure as % of national GDP, FY2008 Estimate10.40%WHO + estimated growth http://www.who.int/whosis/whostat/EN_WHS09_Table7.pdfDerived from averaging FY2000-2006 increases, and projecting to FY2008
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Total Health Care Expenditure in nominal USD, FY2008 Estimate$132,184,000,000.00WHO + estimated growth http://www.who.int/whosis/whostat/EN_WHS09_Table7.pdfDerived from averaging FY2000-2006 increases, and projecting to FY2008
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Total Health Care Expenditure as % of US Health Care Expenditure5.66%
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Total Cost of Universal US Health Care under Canada's system$1,209,198,922,416.90
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Efficiency (Cost of universal Canadian HC vs. Theoretical cost of universal US Healthcare under existing system)229.79%
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UNITED KINGDOM
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Total Population60943912CIA World Factbook
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Population as % of US Population20.06%
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GDP$2,130,000,000,000.00CIA World Factbook
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GDP as % of US GDP15.39%
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Total Health Care Expenditure as % of national GDP, FY2008 Estimate8.56%WHO + estimated growth http://www.who.int/whosis/whostat/EN_WHS09_Table7.pdfDerived from averaging FY2000-2006 increases, and projecting to FY2008
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Total Health Care Expenditure in nominal USD, FY2008 Estimate$182,328,000,000.00WHO + estimated growth http://www.who.int/whosis/whostat/EN_WHS09_Table7.pdfDerived from averaging FY2000-2006 increases, and projecting to FY2008
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Total Health Care Expenditure as % of US Health Care Expenditure7.81%
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Total Cost of Universal US Health Care under the UK's system$908,962,637,021.40
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Efficiency (Cost of universal UK HC vs. Theoretical cost of universal US Healthcare under existing system)305.69%
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FRANCE
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Total Population61538322CIA World Factbook
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Population as % of US Population20.25%
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GDP$2,560,000,000,000.00CIA World Factbook
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GDP as % of US GDP18.50%
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Total Health Care Expenditure as % of national GDP, FY2008 Estimate11.30%WHO + estimated growth http://www.who.int/whosis/whostat/EN_WHS09_Table7.pdfDerived from averaging FY2000-2006 increases, and projecting to FY2008
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Total Health Care Expenditure in nominal USD, FY2008 Estimate$289,280,000,000.00WHO + estimated growth http://www.who.int/whosis/whostat/EN_WHS09_Table7.pdfDerived from averaging FY2000-2006 increases, and projecting to FY2008
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Total Health Care Expenditure as % of US Health Care Expenditure12.39%
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Total Cost of Universal US Health Care under France's system$1,428,222,106,205.63
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Efficiency (Cost of universal French HC vs. Theoretical cost of universal US Healthcare under existing system)194.55%
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