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1
2
3
4
5
2026 California Voter Index Tracking Survey I - Primary Crosstabs
6
Notes:
7
(1) Survey Conducted: March 31 - April 5, 2026
8
(2) Weighted Cross-tabulated Results
9
(3) Blue shading indicates statistically significant differences across categories. Confidence Level = 95%. Some percentages may not sum to 100% due to rounding.
10
(4) Only subgroups with a sample size of 100 or greater are displayed.
11
Pink shading indicates a category or questions where statistically significant differences exist across subgroups and question categories Party Registration On File (Aggregated)Q5. Party Self-Identification (Aggregated)Q11. GenderRegion (Aggregated On File)**Self-Reported Age (5 Categories)Age (Under 55)Q20. Race Or Ethnicity (Mutually Exclusive)Q20. Race Or Ethnicity: Asian American, Pacific Islander, Or South AsianQ20. Race Or Ethnicity: Black Or African AmericanQ20. Race Or Ethnicity: Hispanic Or LatinoQ20. Race Or Ethnicity: WhiteParty Registration On File (Aggregated) / Q11. Gender (Aggregated)Party Registration On File (Aggregated) / Age (Under 55)Q20. Race Or Ethnicity: Hispanic Or Latino / Q11. Gender (Aggregated)Q20. Race Or Ethnicity: White / Q11. Gender (Aggregated)Q20. Race Or Ethnicity (Mutually Exclusive) / Age (Under 55)Q4. Political Ideology (Disaggregated)Q15. Union Household (Aggregated)Generation: NativityQ18. Respondent NativityQ10. Disability StatusQ7. Housing Status (Aggregated)Q13. Education Level (Aggregated)Q14. Income (Aggregated)
12
*Socio-economic status is a composite of education level, income, homeownership, and household size.
**Responses from voters residing in the Central Coast region fell below the subgroup sample size of 100 and have therefore not been cross-tabulated.
DemocratRepublicanDemocratRepublicanNPP/Minor PartyYesYesLatino (Of Any Race)White, Non-Hispanic (Alone)
13
TotalDemocratRepublicanNPP/Minor PartyTotal DemocratTotal Independent (With Leans)Total RepublicanWomenMenLos AngelesInland EmpireOther Southern CASan Francisco Bay AreaCentral ValleyGreater Sacramento Region/Far North18-3435-4445-5455-6465+Under 5555 Or OlderAsian American (Alone)Black, Non-Hispanic (Alone Or In Combination)Latino (Of Any Race)White, Non-Hispanic (Alone)YesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoWomenMenWomenMenUnder 5555 Or OlderUnder 5555 Or OlderUnder 5555 Or OlderWomenMenWomenMenUnder 5555 Or OlderUnder 5555 Or OlderProgressiveLiberalModerateSomewhat ConservativeVery ConservativeUnion MemberNon-Union Household1st Generation Immigrant2nd Generation Immigrant3rd Generation Immigrant4th Generation Immigrant/ Non-Immigrant BackgroundNon-USUSYesNoOwnRentHigh School/ VoTech or LessSome CollegeCollege+Less Than $50,000$50,000- $100,000$100K+
14
Unweighted Sample Size1,2006033552424693582545735842581232422651011291621341622175254587421831212584932019991251,075258942534666324260152192242361110245106136115135276250130128126367222203310228140118941226249195444226917209928711320175334650234269452
15
Q1. In June of this year, there will be a primary election for Governor, Congress, state and local offices, and ballot measures. What are the chances that you will vote in that election?
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Q1. June 2026 Election Vote Likelihood (Aggregated)
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Definitely Vote (10)
18
Column %88%86%93%84%88%85%94%88%88%83%88%90%89%92%89%77%79%88%94%92%81%92%78%86%81%93%80%89%84%88%81%89%92%82%87%84%91%95%81%90%84%97%77%89%76%87%91%94%77%86%88%95%87%88%85%89%96%94%86%82%84%91%91%82%89%83%89%92%84%82%88%89%80%91%89%
19
Probably Vote (1-9)
20
Column %12%14%7%16%11%15%6%12%12%17%11%10%11%8%11%23%21%12%6%8%19%7%22%14%19%7%20%11%16%12%19%10%7%18%13%16%9%5%19%9%16%3%23%10%24%13%8%6%23%14%12%5%13%11%15%10%4%6%14%17%16%9%9%17%11%17%11%7%16%18%12%11%20%9%11%
21
Don't Know/Prefer Not To Answer
22
Column %0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
23
Q1. June 2026 Election Vote Likelihood (Disaggregated)
24
1
25
Column %0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
26
2
27
Column %0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
28
3
29
Column %0%0%0%1%0%1%0%0%1%0%1%1%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%2%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
30
4
31
Column %1%1%0%2%1%1%0%1%0%1%0%0%0%0%2%2%0%2%0%0%1%0%1%2%0%1%1%1%1%1%0%1%1%1%0%0%1%0%1%0%1%0%3%1%0%1%1%0%0%1%2%0%2%0%1%0%1%1%1%2%0%1%1%2%1%2%0%0%2%0%2%0%1%0%1%
32
5
33
Column %2%3%1%1%3%2%1%2%2%5%0%1%2%2%1%3%3%2%1%2%3%2%2%0%7%1%2%2%0%2%7%1%1%4%3%4%2%1%2%4%5%0%1%0%8%7%1%1%8%6%1%0%1%2%2%2%0%0%2%5%3%1%2%5%2%3%2%1%3%6%1%1%7%1%1%
34
6
35
Column %1%1%1%1%0%2%1%1%1%1%0%3%0%0%0%1%2%2%1%1%1%1%1%0%1%0%1%1%0%1%1%1%0%2%1%2%1%0%2%1%0%1%1%0%1%1%1%0%1%1%0%1%0%1%2%1%0%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%0%0%1%1%1%1%0%
36
7
37
Column %1%1%0%2%1%1%0%2%1%2%1%0%2%0%0%1%4%0%1%1%2%1%3%3%2%0%3%1%3%1%2%1%0%2%1%1%1%0%1%1%2%0%4%1%5%0%1%0%4%1%1%0%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%0%1%1%1%2%1%1%2%3%1%1%3%0%1%
38
8
39
Column %3%4%1%5%3%3%2%3%3%3%0%3%4%4%3%11%6%0%1%1%6%1%11%6%3%1%10%2%5%3%3%3%1%6%3%5%1%1%7%1%3%0%7%3%4%1%1%2%5%1%2%1%5%2%4%3%1%1%4%2%6%3%2%2%3%3%3%2%3%4%3%3%4%3%2%
40
9
41
Column %4%4%3%5%4%6%2%4%4%5%7%2%3%2%4%6%5%5%3%3%5%3%3%3%4%4%3%4%6%4%4%4%4%3%4%3%3%1%5%3%3%2%7%4%6%2%5%3%4%3%6%3%3%4%6%2%1%2%4%6%4%4%3%6%3%5%3%3%5%4%4%4%3%4%5%
42
Will Definitely Vote (10)
43
Column %88%86%93%84%88%85%94%88%88%83%88%90%89%92%89%77%79%88%94%92%81%92%78%86%81%93%80%89%84%88%81%89%92%82%87%84%91%95%81%90%84%97%77%89%76%87%91%94%77%86%88%95%87%88%85%89%96%94%86%82%84%91%91%82%89%83%89%92%84%82%88%89%80%91%89%
44
Don't Know/Unsure
45
Column %0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
46
Q2. In general, do you think things in California are headed in the right direction, or do you feel that things are off on the wrong track?
47
Q2. Direction (Disaggregated)
48
Right Direction
49
Column %30%47%6%24%49%22%7%32%29%24%28%32%40%21%26%39%26%33%28%28%33%28%35%36%31%31%35%30%35%30%31%30%31%29%47%47%8%5%46%48%6%6%21%26%37%27%31%28%27%35%40%26%52%51%32%6%6%36%30%29%35%27%32%29%31%28%32%30%31%26%24%35%28%26%34%
50
Wrong Track
51
Column %51%27%89%55%25%62%89%45%58%54%62%55%36%60%57%34%53%53%58%55%46%56%43%43%52%53%44%52%44%52%52%51%53%50%22%35%84%92%29%26%86%90%56%55%46%59%45%62%52%51%40%59%23%27%48%84%90%50%51%53%44%62%50%53%51%54%51%55%49%58%56%47%53%54%51%
52
Mixed
53
Column %1%2%0%1%2%1%0%2%0%1%2%0%2%0%2%3%0%1%2%0%1%1%1%0%2%1%1%1%0%1%2%1%1%1%3%0%0%0%1%2%0%0%3%0%3%1%2%0%1%2%2%1%2%3%1%0%0%3%1%1%2%0%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%0%1%1%1%1%1%
54
Don’t Know
55
Column %12%18%3%10%18%10%4%16%8%17%6%8%13%15%8%20%18%6%7%11%15%10%14%18%11%11%14%12%17%12%11%12%11%13%22%12%5%2%19%17%6%2%10%9%7%9%16%7%14%6%14%10%19%15%12%7%2%7%12%9%15%8%13%9%13%11%11%10%14%7%16%12%12%14%10%
56
Prefer Not To Answer
57
Column %5%6%2%10%6%5%1%5%5%4%3%4%9%4%7%5%4%6%6%6%5%6%7%3%6%4%6%5%3%5%6%5%4%7%6%6%2%1%5%7%2%2%9%10%7%4%5%3%5%6%4%4%5%4%8%2%2%4%6%9%4%3%4%9%4%6%5%5%5%9%4%4%5%5%4%
58
Q3. If the June Primary for California Governor were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were…?
59
Q3. Vote Choice (Aggregated)
60
Total Thurmond
61
Column %0%1%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%1%1%0%0%0%1%1%0%2%0%0%1%0%0%1%1%0%0%0%1%0%1%0%0%1%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%2%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%2%0%0%2%0%0%0%1%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%1%
62
Total Porter
63
Column %7%10%1%7%10%8%0%9%5%6%8%13%3%5%6%6%10%9%7%5%8%6%5%3%8%7%6%7%5%7%8%6%7%6%13%7%2%1%10%10%0%2%10%5%7%10%10%5%9%6%10%6%18%8%6%1%0%6%7%6%7%7%8%6%7%8%7%7%7%5%5%8%8%7%7%
64
Total Mahan
65
Column %4%5%2%3%4%6%1%2%6%0%2%5%9%2%4%2%8%3%4%3%4%4%6%2%2%5%5%4%2%4%2%4%5%3%2%9%1%3%6%4%2%2%2%4%2%3%2%8%1%3%6%4%1%3%9%4%0%7%4%3%3%6%4%3%4%2%4%5%3%4%3%5%2%3%7%
66
Total Yee
67
Column %1%2%0%2%2%2%0%2%1%2%1%0%2%0%1%3%1%2%1%1%2%1%2%8%1%1%2%1%7%1%1%1%1%2%1%2%0%0%2%1%0%0%5%1%0%0%1%1%1%0%2%1%4%1%1%0%0%3%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%0%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%2%2%
68
Total Hilton
69
Column %14%1%38%10%0%12%45%11%18%12%11%18%10%15%20%4%6%11%11%23%7%19%14%1%6%17%13%14%1%15%6%16%17%11%0%1%32%43%1%0%23%44%7%13%5%7%12%22%3%11%7%23%1%2%6%33%46%7%14%15%10%15%15%15%14%12%14%18%8%12%16%14%10%17%12%
70
Total Becerra
71
Column %4%8%1%2%8%3%0%5%4%8%3%3%5%1%1%7%7%3%7%2%6%3%4%0%11%3%4%4%0%5%11%3%3%6%8%7%0%1%8%7%1%0%3%1%13%7%2%3%11%10%2%3%6%9%4%1%2%6%4%5%9%4%2%5%4%2%4%3%6%6%6%3%4%5%4%
72
Total Bianco
73
Column %14%1%37%13%0%16%38%11%17%10%32%12%9%29%12%8%13%20%25%11%14%15%7%1%16%14%8%15%1%15%16%14%15%13%0%2%36%36%2%1%48%32%14%11%11%21%13%16%18%13%12%16%1%1%12%29%40%13%14%11%14%16%14%11%14%13%14%16%13%18%19%11%10%17%15%
74
Total Steyer
75
Column %11%14%3%17%16%12%3%10%13%9%11%12%12%8%14%8%7%10%9%15%9%13%11%15%9%13%11%11%18%11%9%12%13%9%13%16%2%4%11%17%3%3%7%25%6%13%12%14%11%7%8%15%14%15%14%7%2%15%11%9%12%10%12%9%11%16%11%11%13%11%9%12%12%12%10%
76
Total Swalwell
77
Column %12%19%1%11%22%10%1%13%12%11%9%9%18%6%14%4%8%13%16%15%8%15%6%14%10%15%6%13%13%12%10%13%15%8%20%19%1%2%10%29%1%1%10%13%11%10%18%13%4%17%13%16%12%23%18%4%0%15%12%10%9%13%15%10%13%13%12%15%10%5%9%16%9%13%15%
78
Total Villaraigosa
79
Column %4%5%1%3%6%1%1%4%4%6%8%2%1%4%2%9%4%1%4%2%5%3%3%10%9%1%3%4%9%3%9%2%1%7%4%7%3%0%5%6%4%1%6%0%5%12%1%1%6%12%3%0%6%4%3%1%0%2%4%8%2%2%3%8%3%6%3%1%7%10%5%2%10%3%2%
80
Some Other Candidate
81
Column %2%2%2%2%1%3%2%2%2%4%2%2%1%1%2%6%1%1%1%2%3%2%2%0%1%2%2%2%0%2%1%2%2%2%2%2%4%1%3%1%3%2%0%3%2%0%3%1%1%1%4%2%3%0%2%2%1%2%2%3%0%3%2%3%2%3%2%1%3%1%3%2%3%0%2%
82
Undecided Not Leaning Toward Anyone
83
Column %24%31%11%26%28%25%7%29%17%28%10%21%26%26%23%40%33%25%12%19%33%17%37%39%25%20%36%22%38%23%25%24%20%28%33%25%18%6%40%20%12%11%32%21%34%14%25%13%32%15%32%14%33%32%22%18%8%18%24%25%31%19%22%25%24%22%24%20%28%23%23%24%29%18%22%
84
Will Skip/Prefer Not To Answer
85
Column %3%3%2%3%2%2%1%1%3%3%3%1%4%3%1%3%2%0%3%3%2%3%3%5%3%1%3%3%5%2%3%3%1%4%2%3%1%2%1%4%2%2%3%4%2%3%0%2%2%3%1%1%0%3%2%1%1%4%2%3%0%2%1%3%2%4%2%2%2%4%2%1%2%1%1%
86
Q3. Vote Choice (Disaggregated)
87
Tony Thurmond
88
Column %0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%1%0%0%0%1%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%2%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
89
Lean Thurmond
90
Column %0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%2%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
91
Katie Porter
92
Column %5%7%1%7%7%7%0%6%5%4%6%12%3%1%5%3%7%9%6%3%6%4%5%3%5%6%6%5%2%5%5%5%6%4%9%5%1%1%7%7%0%1%10%5%3%8%7%5%5%6%9%4%13%6%5%1%0%4%6%6%4%6%6%6%5%6%5%6%3%4%4%6%5%3%7%
93
Lean Porter
94
Column %2%3%0%0%3%1%0%3%1%2%1%1%0%4%1%2%3%0%0%2%2%1%0%1%3%2%0%2%3%1%3%1%2%1%4%1%1%0%3%3%0%0%0%0%4%2%3%0%5%0%1%2%5%2%1%0%0%2%2%0%3%1%2%0%2%1%2%1%3%1%1%2%3%4%0%
95
Matt Mahan
96
Column %3%4%2%3%3%6%1%2%5%0%2%5%7%2%2%2%5%3%3%3%3%3%5%2%1%4%5%3%2%3%1%4%4%3%2%7%1%3%4%4%2%2%2%4%2%1%2%6%0%3%5%4%1%3%7%3%0%7%3%3%2%5%4%3%3%2%4%4%3%4%2%4%1%2%6%
97
Lean Mahan
98
Column %1%1%1%0%1%1%1%0%1%0%0%0%2%0%2%0%3%0%1%0%1%0%0%0%1%1%0%1%0%1%1%1%1%0%0%2%0%1%2%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%2%1%0%2%1%1%0%2%0%0%0%1%0%1%1%1%0%1%0%1%1%1%0%1%1%0%1%1%
99
Betty Yee
100
Column %1%1%0%2%1%2%0%1%1%2%0%0%2%0%1%3%0%2%1%1%2%1%2%5%1%1%1%1%5%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%0%0%1%1%0%0%5%1%0%0%1%1%1%0%2%1%4%1%1%0%0%2%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%0%1%1%1%1%0%1%1%1%2%