Daily Kos Elections 2016 House Vulnerability Index

	A	B	C	D	E	F	G	I
1	HVI Rank	Republican-held Seats
2	HVI Rank	District	Incumbent	President Rank	House Rank	HVI Score	Flipped?

3	1	FL-10	[Webster]	1	0	1	✅
4	2	VA-04	[Forbes]	3	0	3	✅	Methodology:
5	3	IL-10	Dold, Bob	2	6	8	✅
6	4	IA-01	Blum, Rod	4	5	9		President Rank: The seat's rank according to the 2008 & 2012
7	5	FL-26	Curbelo, Carlos	11	1	12		presidential vote (from bluest to reddest).
8	5	NY-19	[Gibson]	12	0	12
9	7	NV-04	Hardy, Cresent	6	7	13	✅	Margin Rank: The seat's rank according to the 2014 House vote
10	8	NV-03	[Heck]	18	0	18	✅	(from smallest to largest). Open seats are given a rank of 0.
11	9	ME-02	Poliquin, Bruce	8	11	19
12	10	PA-08	[Fitzpatrick]	22.5	0	22.5		HVI Score: The combined score of the presidential and margin ranks.
13	11	WI-08	[Ribble]	27	0	27		Lower numbers indicate greater vulnerability.
14	12	CO-06	Coffman, Mike	13	15	28
15	12	NH-01	Guinta, Frank	19	9	28	✅
16	14	MN-02	[Kline]	33	0	33
17	15	IL-12	Bost, Mike	14	20	34
18	16	IA-03	Young, David	17	19	36
19	17	NJ-03	MacArthur, Tom	20	17	37
20	18	NY-22	[Hanna]	41	0	41
21	19	CA-21	Valadao, David	9	33	42
22	20	NY-01	Zeldin, Lee	31	14	45
23	21	AZ-02	McSally, Martha	47	2	49
24	21	CA-10	Denham, Jeff	24	25	49
25	21	TX-23	Hurd, Will	45	4	49
26	24	NY-24	Katko, John	5	47	52
27	24	PA-16	[Pitts]	52	0	52
28	26	IL-13	Davis, Rodney	16	37	53
29	27	CA-25	Knight, Steve	42	12	54
30	27	VA-02	[Rigell]	54	0	54
31	29	PA-06	Costello, Ryan	29	27	56
32	30	MI-06	Upton, Fred	25	32	57
33	31	MI-01	[Benishek]	60.5	0	60.5
34	32	MI-08	Bishop, Mike	35	26	61
35	33	MI-07	Walberg, Tim	39	24	63
36	34	NY-21	Stefanik, Elise	15	60	75
37	35	NJ-05	Garrett, Scott	53	23	76	✅
38	35	VA-05	[Hurt]	76	0	76
39	37	MI-10	[Miller]	78	0	78
40	38	FL-06	DeSantis, Ron	51	28	79
41	38	MI-11	Trott, Dave	48	31	79
42	38	VA-10	Comstock, Barbara	44	35	79
43	38	WI-07	Duffy, Sean	28	51	79
44	42	NY-11	Donovan, Dan	38	42	80
45	43	NJ-02	LoBiondo, Frank	10	78	88
46	44	WI-06	Grothman, Glenn	62	34	96
47	45	MI-04	Moolenaar, John	60.5	39	99.5
48	46	MI-03	Amash, Justin	58	46	104
49	47	IN-09	[Young]	105	0	105
50	48	WA-03	Herrera Beutler, Jaime	36	70	106
51	49	MN-03	Paulsen, Erik	30	79	109
52	50	AR-02	Hill, French	98	13	111
53	51	CA-49	Issa, Darrell	55.5	56	111.5
54	52	MT-AL	Zinke, Ryan	83	30	113
55	52	NY-23	Reed, Tom	40	73	113
56	54	PA-07	Meehan, Pat	37	77	114
57	55	WA-08	Reichert, David	26	89	115
58	56	FL-15	Ross, Dennis	71	45	116
59	57	KS-03	Yoder, Kevin	67.5	54	121.5
60	58	GA-12	Allen, Rick	106.5	16	122.5
61	58	NC-13	Holding, George	93.5	29	122.5
62	60	FL-07	Mica, John	32	92	124	✅
63	61	NJ-07	Lance, Leonard	67.5	57	124.5
64	62	NC-02	Ellmers, Renee	127	0	127
65	63	CO-03	Tipton, Scott	64	67	131
66	64	WI-01	Ryan, Paul	43	90	133
67	65	FL-11	[Nugent]	136	0	136
68	66	IN-02	Walorski, Jackie	79	58	137
69	67	IA-04	King, Steve	66	72	138
70	68	KS-02	Jenkins, Lynn	96	43	139
71	69	SC-07	Rice, Tom	88	52	140
72	70	VA-07	Brat, Dave	92	50	142
73	70	WA-05	McMorris Rodgers, Cathy	81	61	142
74	72	OH-06	Johnson, Bill	93.5	49	142.5
75	73	SC-05	Mulvaney, Mick	103	40	143
76	73	WV-02	Mooney, Alex	135	8	143
77	75	FL-16	Buchanan, Vern	74	71	145
78	76	PA-03	Kelly, Mike	89	59	148
79	77	FL-19	[Clawson]	151	0	151
80	78	NJ-11	Frelinghuysen, Rodney	70	83	153
81	79	KY-06	Barr, Andy	102	53	155
82	79	LA-04	[Fleming]	155	0	155
83	81	MN-06	Emmer, Tom	116	41	157
84	81	OH-01	Chabot, Steve	69	88	157
85	81	OH-14	Joyce, David	49	108	157
86	84	PA-12	Rothfus, Keith	114	44	158
87	85	IN-03	[Stutzman]	161	0	161
88	86	ND-AL	Cramer, Kevin	126	36	162
89	87	AK-AL	Young, Don	148	18	166
90	88	NC-06	Walker, Mark	129	38	167
91	89	NM-02	Pearce, Steve	65	103	168
92	90	GA-01	Carter, Buddy	106.5	62	168.5
93	91	FL-13	Jolly, David	7	163	170	✅
94	91	OH-16	Renacci, Jim	75	95	170
95	91	WA-04	Newhouse, Dan	167	3	170
96	94	NY-02	King, Peter	22.5	152	174.5
97	95	IL-14	Hultgren, Randy	63	112	175
98	95	OH-10	Turner, Michael	46	129	175
99	97	IN-08	Bucshon, Larry	97	80	177
100	98	IL-06	Roskam, Peter	50	131	181