Pre-and forecast US-Table 1
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAAABACADAEAFAGAHAIAJAKALAM
1
UsersUsersUsersUsersUsersUsersPenetrationPenetrationPenetrationPenetrationPenetrationPenetrationUsersUsersUsersF/(1-F)F/(1-F)F/(1-F)F/(1-F)F/(1-F)F/(1-F)Forecast9322.5
2
MonthYearDateSequence numberUser PopulationAndroidBlackBerryAppleMicrosoftPalmOtherAndroidBlackBerryAppleMicrosoftPalmOtherNon-SmartSmartphoneSmartphoneAndroidBlackBerryAppleMicrosoftPalmOther Non-SmartSmartphoneLogistic FunctionPredictive Logistic F/(1-F)Actual F/(1-F)Predictive iPhone LogisticPredictive iPhone ShareActual PenetrationDerivative of Logistic FunctionpdfUS populationUS population older than 13
3
120051/5/2013022321941.58%0.02293.046237
4
220052/5/2013122321941.65%0.020.070.07293.27238
5
320053/5/2013222321941.72%0.020.070.14293.5238
6
420054/5/2013322321941.8%0.020.080.22293.72238
7
520055/5/2013422321841.88%0.020.080.3293.95238
8
620056/5/2013522321841.96%0.020.080.38294.17238
9
720057/5/2013622321852.05%0.020.090.47294.4238
10
820058/5/2013722321852.14%0.020.090.56294.63239
11
920059/5/2013822321852.24%0.020.10.66294.85239
12
10200510/5/2013922321752.34%0.020.10.76295.08239
13
11200511/5/20131022321752.44%0.020.10.86295.3239
14
12200512/5/20131122521962.55%0.030.110.97295.75240
15
120061/6/20131222521962.66%0.030.111.08295.99240
16
220062/6/20131322521962.78%0.030.121.2296.23240
17
320063/6/20131422521872.9%0.030.121.32296.46240
18
420064/6/20131522521873.03%0.030.131.45296.7240
19
520065/6/20131622521873.16%0.030.131.58296.94241
20
620066/6/20131722521773.3%0.030.141.72297.17241
21
720067/6/20131822521783.44%0.040.141.87297.41241
22
820068/6/20131922521783.6%0.040.152.02297.65241
23
920069/6/20132022521683.75%0.040.162.18297.88241
24
10200610/6/20132122521693.92%0.040.162.34298.12241
25
11200611/6/20132222521694.09%0.040.172.51298.36242
26
12200612/6/201323227217104.27%0.040.182.69298.59242
27
120071/7/201324227217104.45%0.050.192.87298.84242
28
220072/7/201325227217114.64%0.050.193.07299.09242
29
320073/7/201326227216114.84%0.050.23.27299.34242
30
420074/7/201327227216115.05%0.05000.213.48299.59243
31
520075/7/201328227215125.27%0.060.010.010.223.69299.84243
32
620076/7/201329227215125.5%0.060.010.010.233.92300.09243
33
720077/7/201330227214135.73%0.060.010.010.244.15300.34243
34
820078/7/201331227213145.98%0.060.010.010.244.4300.58243
35
920079/7/201332227213146.23%0.070.010.010.254.65300.83244
36
10200710/7/201333227212156.5%0.070.010.010.264.92301.08244
37
11200711/7/201334227212156.77%0.070.010.010.285.19301.33244
38
12200712/7/201335229213167.06%0.080.010.010.295.48301.58244
39
120081/8/201336229212177.36%0.080.010.010.35.78301.81244
40
220082/8/201337229212187.66%0.080.010.010.316.09302.05245
41
320083/8/201338229211187.98%0.090.010.010.326.41302.28245
42
420084/8/201339229210198.32%0.090.010.010.336.74302.51245
43
520085/8/201340229209208.66%0.090.010.010.357.08302.74245
44
620086/8/201341229209219.02%0.10.010.010.367.44302.98245
45
720087/8/201342229208229.39%0.10.020.020.377.81303.21246
46
820088/8/201343229207229.78%0.110.020.020.398.2303.44246
47
920089/8/2013442292062310.18%0.110.020.020.48.6303.68246
48
10200810/8/2013452292052410.59%0.120.020.020.419.01303.91246
49
11200811/8/2013462292042511.02%0.120.020.020.439.44304.14246
50
12200812/8/2013472322052711.46%0.130.020.020.449.88304.38247
51
120091/9/2013482322042811.92%0.140.020.020.4610.34304.59247
52
220092/9/2013492322032912.39%0.140.020.020.4710.82304.81247
53
320093/9/2013502322023012.89%0.150.020.020.4911.31305.03247
54
420094/9/2013512322013113.39%0.150.030.030.5111.82305.25247
55
520095/9/2013522321993213.92%0.160.030.030.5212.34305.47247
56
620096/9/2013532321983314.46%0.170.030.030.5412.88305.69248
57
720097/9/2013542321973515.02%0.180.030.030.5613.44305.91248
58
820098/9/2013552321963615.59%0.180.030.030.5814.01306.13248
59
920099/9/2013562321943716.19%0.190.030.030.5914.61306.35248
60
10200910/9/2013572321933916.8%0.20.040.040.6115.22306.57248
61
11200911/9/2013582321914017.43%0.210.040.040.6315.85306.79248
62
12200912/9/201359234216.4107.12.41.50.88%7%4.26%3.03%1.03%0.64%194.639.40.20.88%7.53%4.45%3.13%1.04%0.64%39.418.08%0.220.20.040.0416.84%0.6516.5307.01249
63
120101/10/201360234318.410.76.72.41.51.3%7.85%4.58%2.86%1.04%0.62%191.342.70.221.31%8.51%4.8%2.95%1.05%0.62%42.718.74%0.230.220.040.0418.25%0.6717.17307.2249
64
220102/10/2013612344.119.111.56.92.51.41.75%8.17%4.93%2.93%1.05%0.58%188.645.40.241.78%8.89%5.18%3.02%1.06%0.59%45.419.43%0.240.240.040.0419.4%0.6917.85307.39249
65
320103/10/2013622344.819.511.86.72.51.52.06%8.34%5.04%2.88%1.06%0.62%187.246.80.252.1%9.1%5.31%2.97%1.07%0.62%46.820.14%0.250.250.050.0420%0.7118.56307.59249
66
420104/10/2013632345.819.812.16.72.41.42.47%8.45%5.16%2.88%1.01%0.6%185.948.10.262.53%9.23%5.44%2.96%1.02%0.6%48.120.86%0.260.260.050.0520.56%0.7219.28307.78249
67
520105/10/2013642346.420.5126.52.41.42.73%8.75%5.12%2.77%1.01%0.61%184.949.10.272.8%9.59%5.4%2.85%1.02%0.61%49.121.6%0.280.270.050.0520.98%0.7420.03307.97249
68
620106/10/2013652347.42012.16.42.31.63.18%8.55%5.18%2.73%1%0.68%184.149.90.273.28%9.35%5.47%2.81%1.01%0.69%49.922.37%0.290.270.050.0521.32%0.7620.79308.17250
69
720107/10/2013662349.12112.76.32.61.73.88%8.97%5.43%2.69%1.12%0.73%180.653.40.34.04%9.85%5.74%2.77%1.13%0.74%53.423.15%0.30.30.060.0522.82%0.7821.57308.36250
70
820108/10/20136723410.920.913.562.61.84.67%8.95%5.76%2.57%1.09%0.76%178.355.70.314.89%9.83%6.11%2.64%1.11%0.77%55.723.95%0.310.310.060.0623.8%0.822.37308.56250
71
920109/10/20136823412.621.914.35.82.51.75.37%9.36%6.1%2.48%1.05%0.73%175.358.70.335.67%10.32%6.49%2.55%1.06%0.73%58.724.77%0.330.330.060.0625.09%0.8223.19308.75250
72
10201010/10/20136923414.321.714.95.92.41.56.1%9.29%6.38%2.52%1.01%0.65%173.360.70.356.49%10.24%6.82%2.58%1.02%0.65%60.725.6%0.340.350.070.0625.94%0.8424.03308.94250
73
11201011/10/2013702341620.615.45.52.41.66.83%8.8%6.57%2.37%1.03%0.68%172.561.50.367.33%9.65%7.03%2.42%1.04%0.69%61.526.46%0.360.360.070.0726.28%0.8624.88309.14250
74
12201012/10/20137123418.12015.85.32.31.67.75%8.53%6.75%2.27%1%0.7%170.863.20.378.4%9.33%7.24%2.32%1.01%0.71%63.227.33%0.380.370.070.0727.01%0.8725.76309.33251
75
120111/11/20137223420.52016.35.32.11.68.77%8.55%6.95%2.25%0.9%0.7%168.265.80.399.62%9.35%7.46%2.3%0.91%0.71%65.828.22%0.390.390.080.0728.12%0.8926.65309.52251
76
220112/11/20137323422.920.117.55.41.91.79.8%8.58%7.48%2.29%0.83%0.71%164.569.50.4210.87%9.39%8.09%2.34%0.84%0.72%69.529.13%0.410.420.080.0729.7%0.9127.56309.71251
77
320113/11/20137423425.219.618.55.421.710.75%8.4%7.9%2.32%0.87%0.74%161.572.50.4512.05%9.17%8.58%2.38%0.88%0.75%72.530.06%0.430.450.080.0830.98%0.9328.48309.9251
78
420114/11/20137523427.219.219.451.91.911.6%8.19%8.29%2.14%0.83%0.83%159.474.60.4713.13%8.92%9.04%2.18%0.84%0.84%74.631%0.450.470.090.0831.88%0.9429.42310.08251
79
520115/11/20137623429.31920.44.51.81.812.5%8.11%8.73%1.9%0.79%0.79%157.276.80.4914.29%8.82%9.57%1.94%0.79%0.79%76.831.96%0.470.490.090.0932.82%0.9630.38310.27251
80
620116/11/20137723431.518.420.94.61.61.613.45%7.85%8.92%1.95%0.7%0.67%155.578.50.515.54%8.52%9.8%1.98%0.71%0.68%78.532.94%0.490.50.10.0933.55%0.9731.36310.46251
81
720117/11/20137823434.417.822.24.703.114.68%7.62%9.48%2%0%1.33%151.882.20.5417.21%8.25%10.48%2.04%0%1.35%82.233.92%0.510.540.10.0935.13%0.9932.35310.64252
82
820118/11/20137923436.916.623.14.80315.78%7.11%9.86%2.06%0%1.3%149.584.50.5718.74%7.66%10.94%2.1%0%1.32%84.534.93%0.540.570.110.136.11%133.35310.83252
83
920119/11/20138023439.216.523.94.902.916.73%7.06%10.23%2.09%0%1.23%146.687.40.620.1%7.6%11.4%2.14%0%1.25%87.435.94%0.560.60.110.137.35%1.0234.37311.02252
84
10201110/11/20138123441.715.525.34.902.717.81%6.62%10.81%2.08%0%1.15%144900.6321.67%7.08%12.12%2.12%0%1.17%9036.97%0.590.630.120.1138.46%1.0335.4311.2252
85
11201111/11/20138223442.915.226.24.7502.418.32%6.48%11.21%2.03%0%1.02%142.691.40.6422.43%6.93%12.63%2.07%0%1.03%91.438.02%0.610.640.120.1139.06%1.0436.44311.39252
86
12201112/11/20138323446.315.7294.602.319.79%6.69%12.38%1.97%0%1%136.197.90.7224.67%7.17%14.13%2.01%0%1.01%97.939.07%0.640.720.130.1141.84%1.0537.49311.58252
87
120121/12/20138423449.215.429.94.4602.321.04%6.58%12.77%1.9%0%1%132.7101.30.7626.65%7.04%14.64%1.94%0%1.01%101.340.13%0.670.760.140.1243.29%1.0638.55311.76253
88
220122/12/20138523452.113.931.44.0602.522.27%5.96%13.42%1.73%0%1.07%1301040.828.64%6.33%15.5%1.76%0%1.08%10441.2%0.70.80.140.1244.44%1.0739.63311.95253
89
320123/12/20138623454.11332.54.1302.223.1%5.57%13.91%1.77%0%0.95%1281060.8330.04%5.9%16.15%1.8%0%0.96%10642.28%0.730.830.150.1345.3%1.0840.71312.13253
90
420124/12/20138723454.512.433.74.2902.423.29%5.32%14.4%1.83%0%1.01%126.7107.30.8530.37%5.62%16.82%1.87%0%1.02%107.343.37%0.770.850.160.1345.85%1.0941.79312.32253
91
520125/12/20138823455.512.434.84.360223.71%5.31%14.86%1.86%0%0.84%1251090.8731.08%5.61%17.45%1.9%0%0.85%10944.47%0.80.870.160.1446.58%1.0942.89312.51253
92
620126/12/20138923457.311.9364.2201.724.48%5.08%15.37%1.8%0%0.71%1231110.932.41%5.35%18.16%1.84%0%0.72%11145.57%0.840.90.170.1547.44%1.143.99312.69253
93
720127/12/20139023459.610.838.14.1101.525.45%4.63%16.29%1.76%0%0.63%119.9114.10.9534.14%4.86%19.45%1.79%0%0.64%114.146.67%0.880.950.180.1548.76%1.145.09312.88253
94
820128/12/20139123461.39.7404.1901.426.19%4.13%17.08%1.79%0%0.6%117.5116.50.9935.48%4.31%20.59%1.83%0%0.6%116.547.78%0.910.990.190.1649.79%1.1146.2313.07254
95
920129/12/20139223462.61040.94.2901.4326.77%4.28%17.49%1.84%0%0.61%114.7119.31.0436.55%4.47%21.19%1.87%0%0.62%119.348.89%0.961.040.20.1650.98%1.1147.31313.25254
96
10201210/12/201393234659.541.63.8801.3327.78%4.04%17.78%1.66%0%0.57%112.7121.31.0838.48%4.21%21.63%1.69%0%0.57%121.350%11.080.210.1751.84%1.1148.42313.44254
97
11201211/12/20139423466.2943.23.701.2328.3%3.85%18.44%1.58%0%0.53%110.7123.31.1139.46%4%22.61%1.61%0%0.53%123.351.11%1.051.110.220.1852.69%1.1149.53313.63254
98
12201212/12/20139523467.28.145.73.6501.2628.73%3.44%19.53%1.56%0%0.54%108.1125.91.1640.31%3.57%24.27%1.59%0%0.54%125.952.22%1.091.160.230.1853.8%1.1150.64314254
99
120131/13/20139623467.77.648.94.0101.1628.92%3.26%20.9%1.71%0%0.5%104.6129.41.2440.69%3.37%26.43%1.74%0%0.5%129.453.33%1.141.240.240.1955.3%1.1151.75314.29255
100
220132/13/20139723469.17.2524.2801.0729.54%3.09%22.23%1.83%0%0.46%100.3133.71.3341.92%3.18%28.58%1.86%0%0.46%133.754.43%1.191.330.250.257.14%1.152.86314.57255
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Sheet 1