Daily Kos Elections 2022 House Vulnerability Index

	A	B	C	D	E	F	G	I	J
1		Republican-held Seats
2	HVI Rank	District	Incumbent	President Rank	House Rank	HVI Score	Flipped?

3	1	IL-13	OPEN	4	0	4	✅
4	1	TX-34	Mayra Flores	1	3	4	✅	METHODOLOGY: President Rank: The seat's rank (from bluest to reddest) according to an average of the 2016 & 2020 presidential vote. House Rank: The seat's rank (from smallest to largest) according to the 2020 House vote or most recent vote for special elections, adjusted based on the shift in average presidential margin before and after redistricting. Open or vacant seats are given a rank of 0. HVI Score: The combined score of the presidential and margin ranks. Lower numbers indicate greater vulnerability.
5	3	CA-45	Michelle Steel	5	2	7
6	4	CA-27	Mike Garcia	3	5	8
7	5	NM-02	Yvette Herrell	8	1	9	✅
8	5	NY-22	OPEN	9	0	9
9	7	CA-22	David Valadao	2	8	10
10	8	MI-03	OPEN	11	0	11	✅
11	8	OH-01	Steve Chabot	7	4	11	✅
12	10	NC-13	OPEN	14	0	14	✅
13	11	NY-01	OPEN	20	0	20
14	12	AZ-01	David Schweikert	16	6	22
15	13	CA-03	OPEN	23	0	23
16	14	FL-27	María Elvira Salazar	6	18	24
17	14	FL-28	Carlos Giménez	10	14	24		Open seats:	22
18	16	IA-01	Mariannette Miller-Meeks	18	7	25
19	17	WA-03	OPEN	26	0	26	✅	Vacant seats:	1
20	18	NE-02	Don Bacon	13	16	29
21	19	IA-02	Ashley Hinson	22	12	34
22	20	NY-02	Andrew Garbarino	21	15	36
23	21	OH-07	OPEN	37	0	37
24	22	CA-41	Ken Calvert	19	23	42
25	23	CA-40	Young Kim	15	29	44
26	23	NY-11	Nicole Malliotakis	31	13	44
27	23	WI-01	Bryan Steil	17	27	44
28	26	NC-11	OPEN	49	0	49
29	26	NJ-02	Jeff Van Drew	27	22	49
30	28	PA-01	Brian Fitzpatrick	12	38	50
31	28	PA-10	Scott Perry	29	21	50
32	30	MN-01	Brad Finstad	41	10	51
33	30	TX-23	Tony Gonzales	25	26	51
34	30	VA-05	Bob Good	34	17	51
35	33	NC-09	Richard Hudson	32	20	52
36	34	SC-01	Nancy Mace	42	11	53
37	35	OH-15	Mike Carey	33	25	58
38	36	MI-04	Bill Huizenga	28	33	61
39	37	CO-03	Lauren Boebert	39	24	63
40	38	FL-16	Vern Buchanan	38	30	68
41	38	NE-01	Mike Flood	59	9	68
42	38	OH-10	Mike Turner	24	44	68
43	41	SC-07	OPEN	73	0	73
44	42	CA-23	Jay Obernolte	48	28	76
45	43	GA-12	Rick Allen	43	36	79
46	44	FL-21	Brian Mast	35	45	80
47	44	MO-02	Ann Wagner	46	34	80
48	46	SC-02	Joe Wilson	53	31	84
49	46	TX-03	OPEN	84	0	84
50	48	CA-05	Tom McClintock	52	35	87
51	48	NY-23	OPEN	87	0	87
52	50	FL-11	Daniel Webster	51	39	90
53	50	NC-07	David Rouzer	50	40	90
54	52	MN-08	Pete Stauber	45	46	91
55	53	VA-01	Rob Wittman	36	56	92
56	54	CA-48	Darrell Issa	62	32	94
57	55	FL-03	Kat Cammack	58	37	95
58	56	AR-02	French Hill	55	41	96
59	57	NV-02	Mark Amodei	47	50	97
60	57	NY-24	Claudia Tenney	78	19	97
61	59	IN-02	VACANT	108	0	108
62	60	KS-02	Jake LaTurner	70	42	112
63	61	GA-01	Buddy Carter	60	54	114
64	61	KY-06	Andy Barr	57	57	114
65	63	AZ-08	Debbie Lesko	64	51	115
66	64	CO-05	Doug Lamborn	61	55	116
67	64	NY-21	Elise Stefanik	54	62	116
68	66	WA-05	Cathy McMorris Rodgers	44	77	121
69	67	FL-05	John Rutherford	75	47	122
70	68	GA-10	OPEN	124	0	124
71	68	WI-06	Glenn Grothman	66	58	124
72	70	FL-17	Greg Steube	65	61	126
73	71	TN-07	Mark Green	63	65	128
74	72	IN-05	Victoria Spartz	81	49	130
75	72	IN-09	OPEN	130	0	130
76	74	TX-24	Beth Van Duyne	71	60	131
77	75	OK-05	Stephanie Bice	89	43	132
78	76	AZ-05	Andy Biggs	74	59	133
79	77	OH-14	David Joyce	56	80	136
80	78	CA-01	Doug LaMalfa	86	52	138
81	79	MD-01	Andy Harris	72	68	140
82	80	TX-08	OPEN	141	0	141
83	81	AL-05	OPEN	142	0	142
84	82	GA-11	Barry Loudermilk	82	64	146
85	82	SC-05	Ralph Norman	77	69	146
86	84	FL-08	Bill Posey	76	71	147
87	84	UT-02	Chris Stewart	68	79	147
88	86	UT-04	Burgess Owens	102	48	150
89	86	WI-07	Tom Tiffany	83	67	150
90	88	PA-16	Mike Kelly	91	63	154
91	89	TX-22	Troy Nehls	85	72	157
92	90	NC-05	Virginia Foxx	93	66	159
93	90	UT-01	Blake Moore	69	90	159
94	92	SC-04	William Timmons	90	73	163
95	93	WI-08	Mike Gallagher	67	98	165
96	94	FL-18	Scott Franklin	96	76	172
97	94	FL-19	Byron Donalds	97	75	172
98	96	TX-10	Michael McCaul	98	81	179
99	97	TX-12	Kay Granger	94	86	180
100	98	MS-04	OPEN	183	0	183