Cancer Clinical Trial Modeling
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# of years of clinicaltrial.gov termination study6# of clincial trials that terminated because of low accrual374Average cost of a clinical trial$20,000,000
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# of total clinical trials in study7800% accrual rate of those terminated50%$ "wasted" per year due to low accrual terminated trials$1,246,666,667
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average size of clinical trial100# of clinical trials, per year, that terminate because of low accrual62
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# patients that particpate in clinical trials every year130,000# of missing patients a year3,117
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% change in recruitment rate IF all trials had an accrual rate of 100%2.40%
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Conclusion
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Given the current annual volume of cancer clinical trials, a full 100% accrual rate for every trial implies a < 10% increase (change) in the cancer patient recruitment rate, still far from a 100% increase (change), or doubling of that number. Therefore, a more dramatic increase in the cancer patient recruitment rate will have to be produced from an increase in the number of clinical trials, or an increase in the average size of a clinical trial. "Double the accrual rate of cancer clinical trials": https://herox.com/ClinicalTrials/overview
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