| A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | K | L | M | N | O | P | Q | R | S | T | U | V | W | X | Y | Z | |
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1 | RESULTS AND CROSSTABS (Split Ticket survey, 3/25-3/28; n=847 Registered Voters, n=821 Likely Voters) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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3 | Q2: Thinking about the country as a whole, do you think things in the United States are generally on the right track or off on the wrong track? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
4 | Total | Age | Gender | Educational Attainment | Race or Ethnicity | Race/Ethnicity & Education | 2020 Vote Choice | |||||||||||||||||||
5 | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | Male | Female | HS or less | Some college | 4-year degree | Postgraduate | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | White, college | White, non-college | Non-white, college | Non-white, non-college | Joe Biden, the Democrat | Donald Trump, the Republican | Someone else | None/Cannot remember | ||||
6 | Right track | 26 | 24 | 28 | 24 | 29 | 32 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 28 | 45 | 24 | 27 | 37 | 24 | 33 | 18 | 39 | 25 | 46 | 9 | 14 | 20 | ||
7 | Wrong track | 68 | 69 | 67 | 71 | 66 | 65 | 71 | 73 | 74 | 67 | 51 | 71 | 69 | 58 | 63 | 63 | 76 | 56 | 67 | 48 | 88 | 80 | 74 | ||
8 | I don't know | 5 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 7 | ||
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11 | Q3: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Joe Biden? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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13 | Total | Age | Gender | Educational Attainment | Race or Ethnicity | Race/Ethnicity & Education | 2020 Vote Choice | |||||||||||||||||||
14 | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | Male | Female | HS or less | Some college | 4-year degree | Postgraduate | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | White, college | White, non-college | Non-white, college | Non-white, non-college | Joe Biden, the Democrat | Donald Trump, the Republican | Someone else | None/Cannot remember | ||||
15 | Very favorable | 17 | 11 | 16 | 16 | 22 | 19 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 16 | 26 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 11 | 23 | 14 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 6 | ||
16 | Somewhat favorable | 24 | 20 | 29 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 20 | 26 | 22 | 27 | 20 | 39 | 31 | 22 | 21 | 19 | 33 | 32 | 44 | 4 | 11 | 20 | ||
17 | Somewhat unfavorable | 17 | 30 | 17 | 16 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 14 | 16 | 20 | 14 | 33 | 14 | 17 | 26 | 18 | 14 | 12 | 36 | 31 | ||
18 | Very unfavorable | 41 | 34 | 34 | 45 | 44 | 40 | 41 | 44 | 45 | 38 | 29 | 47 | 12 | 38 | 34 | 42 | 50 | 14 | 33 | 6 | 79 | 53 | 38 | ||
19 | I don’t know | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | ||
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22 | Q4: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Donald Trump? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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24 | Total | Age | Gender | Educational Attainment | Race or Ethnicity | Race/Ethnicity & Education | 2020 Vote Choice | |||||||||||||||||||
25 | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | Male | Female | HS or less | Some college | 4-year degree | Postgraduate | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | White, college | White, non-college | Non-white, college | Non-white, non-college | Joe Biden, the Democrat | Donald Trump, the Republican | Someone else | None/Cannot remember | ||||
26 | Very favorable | 21 | 16 | 29 | 23 | 15 | 22 | 21 | 33 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 14 | 29 | 11 | 14 | 28 | 7 | 26 | 3 | 44 | 6 | 17 | ||
27 | Somewhat favorable | 19 | 23 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 22 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 34 | 20 | 20 | ||
28 | Somewhat unfavorable | 15 | 19 | 21 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 17 | 35 | 18 | 11 | 19 | 17 | 9 | 15 | 18 | 28 | ||
29 | Very unfavorable | 44 | 40 | 33 | 45 | 55 | 44 | 44 | 37 | 41 | 51 | 51 | 41 | 59 | 45 | 42 | 47 | 37 | 64 | 43 | 82 | 8 | 56 | 32 | ||
30 | I don’t know | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | ||
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33 | Q5: How likely are you to vote in the presidential election in November 2024? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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35 | Total | Age | Gender | Educational Attainment | Race or Ethnicity | Race/Ethnicity & Education | 2020 Vote Choice | |||||||||||||||||||
36 | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | Male | Female | HS or less | Some college | 4-year degree | Postgraduate | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | White, college | White, non-college | Non-white, college | Non-white, non-college | Joe Biden, the Democrat | Donald Trump, the Republican | Someone else | None/Cannot remember | ||||
37 | Absolutely certain to vote | 75 | 57 | 62 | 83 | 88 | 76 | 75 | 73 | 67 | 79 | 89 | 79 | 72 | 63 | 61 | 88 | 72 | 67 | 66 | 86 | 87 | 70 | 33 | ||
38 | Likely to vote | 17 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 13 | 10 | 17 | 24 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 39 | ||
39 | Unlikely to vote | 4 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | ||
40 | Definitely will not vote | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | ||
41 | I don’t know | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | ||
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44 | Q6 (LV ONLY): If the 2024 presidential election was today, who would you vote for? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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46 | Total | Age | Gender | Educational Attainment | Race or Ethnicity | Race/Ethnicity & Education | 2020 Vote Choice | |||||||||||||||||||
47 | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | Male | Female | HS or less | Some college | 4-year degree | Postgraduate | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | White, college | White, non-college | Non-white, college | Non-white, non-college | Joe Biden, the Democrat | Donald Trump, the Republican | Someone else | None/Cannot remember | ||||
48 | Joe Biden, the Democrat | 37 | 32 | 32 | 39 | 43 | 39 | 36 | 31 | 32 | 42 | 50 | 35 | 54 | 37 | 38 | 43 | 28 | 53 | 40 | 79 | 3 | 4 | 17 | ||
49 | Donald Trump, the Republican | 39 | 34 | 42 | 40 | 39 | 39 | 40 | 47 | 42 | 30 | 35 | 44 | 19 | 42 | 21 | 37 | 49 | 15 | 34 | 3 | 82 | 28 | 34 | ||
50 | Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., the independent | 11 | 18 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 22 | ||
51 | I would not vote | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | ||
52 | I don’t know | 10 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 21 | ||
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55 | Q7 (IF SELECTED BIDEN/TRUMP/RFK JR IN Q6): How certain are you that you will vote for [Q6 choice] in the 2024 election for President? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
56 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
57 | Total | Age | Gender | Educational Attainment | Race or Ethnicity | Race/Ethnicity & Education | 2020 Vote Choice | |||||||||||||||||||
58 | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | Male | Female | HS or less | Some college | 4-year degree | Postgraduate | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | White, college | White, non-college | Non-white, college | Non-white, non-college | Joe Biden, the Democrat | Donald Trump, the Republican | Someone else | None/Cannot remember | ||||
59 | Very certain | 64 | 47 | 60 | 71 | 67 | 66 | 63 | 67 | 64 | 56 | 69 | 65 | 63 | 65 | 45 | 65 | 66 | 49 | 66 | 68 | 72 | 18 | 39 | ||
60 | Somewhat certain | 19 | 28 | 22 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 16 | 17 | 25 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 28 | 14 | 18 | 17 | 33 | 24 | ||
61 | Not too certain | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | ||
62 | Not certain at all | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | ||
63 | I don’t know | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | ||
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65 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
66 | Q8: If the 2024 presidential election was today, who would you vote for? (LV, with undecideds forced to pick a choice) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
67 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
68 | Total | Age | Gender | Educational Attainment | Race or Ethnicity | Race/Ethnicity & Education | 2020 Vote Choice | |||||||||||||||||||
69 | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | Male | Female | HS or less | Some college | 4-year degree | Postgraduate | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | White, college | White, non-college | Non-white, college | Non-white, non-college | Joe Biden, the Democrat | Donald Trump, the Republican | Someone else | None/Cannot remember | ||||
70 | Joe Biden, the Democrat | 40 | 36 | 36 | 41 | 46 | 42 | 39 | 34 | 34 | 45 | 55 | 38 | 56 | 43 | 39 | 45 | 32 | 62 | 41 | 84 | 4 | 4 | 21 | ||
71 | Donald Trump, the Republican | 41 | 37 | 43 | 41 | 42 | 42 | 41 | 48 | 44 | 32 | 38 | 46 | 20 | 44 | 22 | 40 | 51 | 16 | 35 | 3 | 85 | 33 | 36 | ||
72 | Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., the independent | 16 | 24 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 12 | 20 | 20 | 7 | 14 | 19 | 13 | 34 | 14 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 60 | 37 | ||
73 | I would not vote | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | ||
74 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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76 | Q9-12 EMBARGOED FOR POTENTIAL FUTURE RELASE | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
77 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
78 | Regardless of how you are going to vote in the 2024 election for President… | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
79 | Who do you think would do a better job at handling each of the following issues? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
80 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
81 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
82 | Q13: The situation at the US-Mexico border? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
83 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
84 | Total | Age | Gender | Educational Attainment | Race or Ethnicity | Race/Ethnicity & Education | 2020 Vote Choice | |||||||||||||||||||
85 | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | Male | Female | HS or less | Some college | 4-year degree | Postgraduate | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | White, college | White, non-college | Non-white, college | Non-white, non-college | Joe Biden, the Democrat | Donald Trump, the Republican | Someone else | None/Cannot remember | ||||
86 | Joe Biden | 24 | 25 | 21 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 19 | 22 | 24 | 37 | 22 | 37 | 24 | 16 | 29 | 17 | 29 | 27 | 50 | 2 | 3 | 12 | ||
87 | Donald Trump | 57 | 46 | 58 | 61 | 56 | 60 | 54 | 62 | 58 | 58 | 43 | 60 | 43 | 52 | 56 | 57 | 63 | 38 | 55 | 21 | 93 | 64 | 62 | ||
88 | Both about the same | 6 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 10 | ||
89 | Neither | 10 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 2 | 30 | 13 | ||
90 | I don't know | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | ||
91 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
92 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
93 | Q14: Abortion policy? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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95 | Total | Age | Gender | Educational Attainment | Race or Ethnicity | Race/Ethnicity & Education | 2020 Vote Choice | |||||||||||||||||||
96 | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | Male | Female | HS or less | Some college | 4-year degree | Postgraduate | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | White, college | White, non-college | Non-white, college | Non-white, non-college | Joe Biden, the Democrat | Donald Trump, the Republican | Someone else | None/Cannot remember | ||||
97 | Joe Biden | 42 | 42 | 36 | 40 | 48 | 41 | 42 | 35 | 38 | 49 | 49 | 39 | 58 | 42 | 35 | 48 | 32 | 52 | 45 | 78 | 10 | 36 | 25 | ||
98 | Donald Trump | 34 | 21 | 40 | 39 | 30 | 33 | 36 | 45 | 35 | 27 | 24 | 36 | 19 | 38 | 30 | 27 | 44 | 21 | 32 | 7 | 64 | 19 | 36 | ||
99 | Both about the same | 8 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 10 | ||
100 | Neither | 11 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 37 | 18 | ||