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RESULTS AND CROSSTABS (Split Ticket survey, 3/25-3/28; n=847 Registered Voters, n=821 Likely Voters)
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Q2: Thinking about the country as a whole, do you think things in the United States are generally on the right track or off on the wrong track?
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TotalAgeGenderEducational AttainmentRace or EthnicityRace/Ethnicity & Education2020 Vote Choice
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18-2930-4445-6465+MaleFemaleHS or lessSome college4-year degreePostgraduateWhiteBlackHispanicOtherWhite, collegeWhite, non-collegeNon-white, collegeNon-white, non-collegeJoe Biden, the DemocratDonald Trump, the RepublicanSomeone elseNone/Cannot remember
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Right track262428242932212119284524273724331839254691420
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Wrong track6869677166657173746751716958636376566748888074
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I don't know575552867545451446586477
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Q3: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Joe Biden?
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TotalAgeGenderEducational AttainmentRace or EthnicityRace/Ethnicity & Education2020 Vote Choice
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18-2930-4445-6465+MaleFemaleHS or lessSome college4-year degreePostgraduateWhiteBlackHispanicOtherWhite, collegeWhite, non-collegeNon-white, collegeNon-white, non-collegeJoe Biden, the DemocratDonald Trump, the RepublicanSomeone elseNone/Cannot remember
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Very favorable17111616221914159202716261382311231434406
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Somewhat favorable242029222223242026222720393122211933324441120
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Somewhat unfavorable1730171611161917181914162014331417261814123631
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Very unfavorable413434454440414445382947123834425014336795338
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I don’t know25411224113244312532105
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Q4: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Donald Trump?
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TotalAgeGenderEducational AttainmentRace or EthnicityRace/Ethnicity & Education2020 Vote Choice
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18-2930-4445-6465+MaleFemaleHS or lessSome college4-year degreePostgraduateWhiteBlackHispanicOtherWhite, collegeWhite, non-collegeNon-white, collegeNon-white, non-collegeJoe Biden, the DemocratDonald Trump, the RepublicanSomeone elseNone/Cannot remember
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Very favorable2116292315222133221212221429111428726344617
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Somewhat favorable192314162418201919181722129821249114342020
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Somewhat unfavorable151921167141591718171491735181119179151828
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Very unfavorable444033455544443741515141594542473764438285632
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I don’t know12300202102051400141002
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Q5: How likely are you to vote in the presidential election in November 2024?
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TotalAgeGenderEducational AttainmentRace or EthnicityRace/Ethnicity & Education2020 Vote Choice
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18-2930-4445-6465+MaleFemaleHS or lessSome college4-year degreePostgraduateWhiteBlackHispanicOtherWhite, collegeWhite, non-collegeNon-white, collegeNon-white, non-collegeJoe Biden, the DemocratDonald Trump, the RepublicanSomeone elseNone/Cannot remember
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Absolutely certain to vote7557628388767573677989797263618872676686877033
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Likely to vote17332610918161821178142628131017242412112239
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Unlikely to vote4836244582041218172711018
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Definitely will not vote11300020212017200430075
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I don’t know21511123111200713401106
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Q6 (LV ONLY): If the 2024 presidential election was today, who would you vote for?
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TotalAgeGenderEducational AttainmentRace or EthnicityRace/Ethnicity & Education2020 Vote Choice
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18-2930-4445-6465+MaleFemaleHS or lessSome college4-year degreePostgraduateWhiteBlackHispanicOtherWhite, collegeWhite, non-collegeNon-white, collegeNon-white, non-collegeJoe Biden, the DemocratDonald Trump, the RepublicanSomeone elseNone/Cannot remember
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Joe Biden, the Democrat37323239433936313242503554373843285340793417
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Donald Trump, the Republican393442403939404742303544194221374915343822834
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Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., the independent
1118131061110912146111110911111110784122
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I would not vote34422425330361614443226
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I don’t know10139101081181211109101127891712862521
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Q7 (IF SELECTED BIDEN/TRUMP/RFK JR IN Q6):
How certain are you that you will vote for [Q6 choice] in the 2024 election for President?
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TotalAgeGenderEducational AttainmentRace or EthnicityRace/Ethnicity & Education2020 Vote Choice
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18-2930-4445-6465+MaleFemaleHS or lessSome college4-year degreePostgraduateWhiteBlackHispanicOtherWhite, collegeWhite, non-collegeNon-white, collegeNon-white, non-collegeJoe Biden, the DemocratDonald Trump, the RepublicanSomeone elseNone/Cannot remember
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Very certain6447607167666367645669656365456566496668721839
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Somewhat certain1928221417181916172516181919191918281418173324
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Not too certain464333433444240543223128
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Not certain at all11010110011100010001090
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I don’t know01100100101000400010002
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Q8: If the 2024 presidential election was today, who would you vote for? (LV, with undecideds forced to pick a choice)
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TotalAgeGenderEducational AttainmentRace or EthnicityRace/Ethnicity & Education2020 Vote Choice
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18-2930-4445-6465+MaleFemaleHS or lessSome college4-year degreePostgraduateWhiteBlackHispanicOtherWhite, collegeWhite, non-collegeNon-white, collegeNon-white, non-collegeJoe Biden, the DemocratDonald Trump, the RepublicanSomeone elseNone/Cannot remember
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Joe Biden, the Democrat40363641464239343445553856433945326241844421
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Donald Trump, the Republican413743414242414844323846204422405116353853336
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Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., the independent
162417171013171220207141913341415182010106037
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I would not vote34422425330361614443226
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Q9-12 EMBARGOED FOR POTENTIAL FUTURE RELASE
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Regardless of how you are going to vote in the 2024 election for President…
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Who do you think would do a better job at handling each of the following issues?
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Q13: The situation at the US-Mexico border?
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TotalAgeGenderEducational AttainmentRace or EthnicityRace/Ethnicity & Education2020 Vote Choice
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18-2930-4445-6465+MaleFemaleHS or lessSome college4-year degreePostgraduateWhiteBlackHispanicOtherWhite, collegeWhite, non-collegeNon-white, collegeNon-white, non-collegeJoe Biden, the DemocratDonald Trump, the RepublicanSomeone elseNone/Cannot remember
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Joe Biden24252124262523192224372237241629172927502312
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Donald Trump5746586156605462585843604352565763385521936462
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Both about the same671046765561365866714392110
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Neither101981187131113114911161571113141623013
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I don't know22314233224240713624123
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Q14: Abortion policy?
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TotalAgeGenderEducational AttainmentRace or EthnicityRace/Ethnicity & Education2020 Vote Choice
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18-2930-4445-6465+MaleFemaleHS or lessSome college4-year degreePostgraduateWhiteBlackHispanicOtherWhite, collegeWhite, non-collegeNon-white, collegeNon-white, non-collegeJoe Biden, the DemocratDonald Trump, the RepublicanSomeone elseNone/Cannot remember
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Joe Biden4242364048414235384949395842354832524578103625
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Donald Trump342140393033364535272436193830274421327641936
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Both about the same814107396511777119127781159710
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Neither11181181214910101412128101713111597113718