09_10_shot_quality
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Aggregate shot quality data
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exp GF and exp GA represent the number of goals a team is expected to score based on shot volume and shot quality
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exp GF takes into account both arena counting bias and shot quality factors.
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Shot quality factors are: shot distance, rebounds, manpower situation, turnovers, game score
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5G = 5 players + Goalie, so all manpower situations listed exclude empty-net goals
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Shot quality model is built on multiple seasons of data, so expected goals and actual goals may not match exactly
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5G v 5G4G v 4G5G v 4G4G v 5G
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TeamTOI (min)GFGAexp GFexp GASFSATOI (min)GFGAexp GFexp GASFSATOI (min)GFGAexp GFexp GASFSATOI (min)GFGAexp GFexp GASFSA
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Anaheim Ducks3785147145138.2158.117952015154557.66.9918545751854.86.3436764797574.954.066452
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Atlanta Thrashers3705161168144.1174.2179519941521116.46.8768951346448.08.2382755019507.563.176463
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Boston Bruins3929132139144.5137.719921845172758.28.110810340339339.65.1337734325337.949.382358
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Buffalo Sabres3777153145161.2152.219641932171787.66.9957547648253.410.03881084464324.245.756373
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Calgary Flames3835133135140.6145.717971766127654.55.4596643739044.22.2346454767466.352.379423
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Carolina Hurricanes3752138156144.8166.0175718881521087.211.18311048348649.26.9380824897558.457.180423
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Chicago Blackhawks3884178147183.5137.52144155517715610.98.31237644050349.53.53843741213348.243.877338
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Colorado Avalanche3809154146148.4153.317221977142654.36.6467546748750.24.9388774648564.050.953419
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Columbus Blue Jackets3785134165144.0144.517321834148596.29.06710046247851.37.2407674885555.653.570427
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Dallas Stars3837150154139.3146.518451924158376.97.5808449155858.97.1455834258613.851.855408
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Detroit Red Wings3861138151164.7152.120451855162786.97.1868448152156.54.4463624207385.644.265356
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Edmonton Oilers3776141182143.6169.117562045158375.66.0697643943541.94.5321524426544.751.656421
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Florida Panthers3855140151144.5176.417552144148636.27.5768648041745.48.5382864185504.449.850400
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Los Angeles Kings3815140133154.7137.3176816611781067.16.9888644255651.46.9387634774526.253.562384
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Minnesota Wild3789135154136.2149.416531851165967.84.78358460541251.88.4381784603485.144.054347
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Montreal Canadiens3883130143138.1161.4172619891691148.68.01029638353748.86.3365694633427.544.882369
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Nashville Predators3924149142150.9149.219331861136865.86.7698144938346.53.9384463634504.940.953329
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New Jersey Devils3950142129155.1150.618781757135247.15.9797340746548.25.3343573774406.638.066279
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New York Islanders3810145171153.3156.418531959163967.97.3879450442357.35.1431604467676.654.171425
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New York Rangers3783146139141.6144.018291849156495.77.5709245247644.36.4376704642406.040.569349
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Ottawa Senators3799144169159.0142.718471671150506.15.7757544142344.25.4358674934449.157.580452
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Philadelphia Flyers3682141142156.3142.518881782172979.75.3956948762757.93.4465555135545.742.873371
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Phoenix Coyotes3722143128147.5131.418771731183636.58.2978849143747.26.1377684822406.352.773430
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Pittsburgh Penguins3701169157161.1146.1197017241868610.68.41138249550556.56.2448655087457.551.288399
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San Jose Sharks3763162134155.3147.8189118861749118.37.2929246362859.55.4476724877455.655.265431
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St_ Louis Blues3686143143144.5149.217911768173898.69.19210448149651.15.3410585455406.958.078466
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Tampa Bay Lightning3689134156137.8149.0170418441727117.37.8849649653651.58.7439815122635.161.361456
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Toronto Maple Leafs3827151161163.9146.520391833148697.76.9927649333645.76.2383714273594.451.955396
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Vancouver Canucks3746174137156.1149.218621793150566.96.1847846758651.66.5432775009556.253.670406
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Washington Capitals3803208133165.6152.5200918841645127.38.7829444668857.87.7419734774576.747.088393
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3799148.5148.5150.6150.6185418541606.76.77.37.3858546348.75.550.56.1398684635.548.76.150.568398
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