http://confidence.success-equation.com/ brier score

	A	B	C	F	J	K	L
1	https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brier_score				worst possible
2	item	prediction	correct	square error	prediction	correct	square error
3	English is the top language used on the Internet	0.7	0	0.49	1	0	1
4	The ferrule connects the bristles to the handle on a paint brush	0.5	1	0.25	1	0	1
5	Neutrons are the particles in an atom that have positive charge	1	1	0	1	0	1
6	Australia is larger in area than Brazil	0.8	1	0.04	1	0	1
7	The capital of Morocco is Rabat	0.5	1	0.25	1	0	1
8	The capital of New Mexico is Albuquerque	0.9	1	0.01	1	0	1
9	The earth’s distance from the sun is constant throughout the year	1	1	0	1	0	1
10	A U.S. quart is equivalent to 24 fluid ounces	0.5	0	0.25	1	0	1
11	The Mona Lisa was painted in the 1500’s	0.5	0	0.25	1	0	1
12	The Girl with the Pearl Earring was painted by Johannes Vermeer	0.6	0	0.36	1	0	1
13	The Romans knew the Greek goddess Aphrodite by the same name	0.5	1	0.25	1	0	1
14	The author of Don Quixote was Cervantes	0.5	0	0.25	1	0	1
15	Atlanta had the busiest airport in the world from 2010 through 2013	0.6	0	0.36	1	0	1
16	Vasco da Gama was the first European to circumnavigate the globe	0.5	0	0.25	1	0	1
17	There are exactly three surviving members of The Who	0.5	0	0.25	1	0	1
18	Most biologists accept the theory of evolution, which explains how traits of populations change over successive generations	0.9	1	0.01	1	0	1
19	Silver is more dense (heavier) than copper	0.9	1	0.01	1	0	1
20	Nitrogen is very flammable	1	1	0	1	0	1
21	Man has visited the deepest part of the world’s oceans	0.9	1	0.01	1	0	1
22	All plants need sunlight to live	0.8	1	0.04	1	0	1
23	Anna Karenina was written by Dostoyevsky	0.8	0	0.64	1	0	1
24	In poker, a full house beats a flush	0.5	1	0.25	1	0	1
25	Mt. Killimanjaro is the tallest mountain in Africa	0.8	1	0.04	1	0	1
26	There has been life on Earth for approximately 5 billion years	0.7	1	0.09	1	0	1
27	Arsenal Football Club were Premier League champions in 1997-98	0.5	1	0.25	1	0	1
28	The army of Russia is larger than the army of India	0.6	0	0.36	1	0	1
29	Milan, Italy has a higher latitude (further north from the equator) than Toronto, Canada	0.5	1	0.25	1	0	1
30	Bolztmann formulated the equations to describe electricity, magnetism, and optics as part of the electromagnetic field	0.5	0	0.25	1	0	1
31	In sailing, “leeward” means toward the wind, or upwind	0.5	0	0.25	1	0	1
32	The capital of Australia is Canberra	0.9	1	0.01	1	0	1
33	China won the most gold medals in the 2008 Summer Olympics	0.5	1	0.25	1	0	1
34	Dolphins are mammals	1	1	0	1	0	1
35	Sapphires and diamonds are both made of carbon	0.8	0	0.64	1	0	1
36	Germany is a landlocked country	1	1	0	1	0	1
37	Marie Antoinette was executed in the 1700’s	0.5	1	0.25	1	0	1
38	The circumference of a circle is pi times the radius	0.7	1	0.09	1	0	1
39	In 2010, more people in the US died from Alzheimer’s than from strokes	0.5	0	0.25	1	0	1
40	Malaysia occupies the northern part of the island of Borneo	0.5	0	0.25	1	0	1
41	“Perigee” refers to the point in the orbit of a satellite that is farthest from the earth	0.5	0	0.25	1	0	1
42	Helen Clark is the prime minister of New Zealand	0.5	0	0.25	1	0	1
43	In 1939 the Soviet Union invaded Poland	0.5	0	0.25	1	0	1
44	Both Egypt and Saudi Arabia border the Red Sea	0.5	1	0.25	1	0	1
45	California is larger in area than Montana	0.8	1	0.04	1	0	1
46	According to particle physics, there are six flavors of quarks	0.5	0	0.25	1	0	1
47	Charles Darwin’s voyage on the Beagle was in the 1830s	0.6	1	0.16	1	0	1
48	A muggle is someone who is born into a non-magical family and who lacks magical powers	0.9	1	0.01	1	0	1
49	Nathaniel Hawthorne wrote The Scarlet Letter	0.5	1	0.25	1	0	1
50	Wilt Chamberlain was shorter than 7 feet	0.5	0	0.25	1	0	1
51	The first transcontinental railroad in the US was completed in the early 1900s	0.5	0	0.25	1	0	1
52	The Detroit Pistons were the NBA Champions in 2005	0.5	1	0.25	1	0	1
53
54			sum	sum			sum
55			29	9.91			50
56		avg	avg	brier			brier
57		0.654	0.58	0.1982			1
58			cor
59			0.4656685958
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