Partisanship of Congressional Districts and States
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District
IncumbentPartyFiveThirtyEight Partisan LeanCook PVI2016 Pres. Margin2012 Pres. Margin2008 Pres. MarginFiveThirtyEight ElasticityNon-Hispanic White CVAPBlack CVAPHispanic CVAPAsian CVAP% Bachelor's DegreeMedian Household IncomeDensity Index
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AK-1Young, DonRR+15R+9-15%-14%-22%1.1667.8%3.3%5.4%4.2%28.8%$74,444Pure rural
3
AL-1OPEN (Byrne, Bradley)RR+29R+15-29%-24%-22%0.9068.6%26.6%1.8%0.9%23.3%$44,824Rural-suburban mix
4
AL-2Roby, MarthaRR+31R+16-32%-27%-30%0.9766.1%30.0%1.8%0.6%21.8%$43,173Pure rural
5
AL-3Rogers, MikeRR+31R+16-33%-26%-26%0.7971.3%25.3%1.7%0.7%21.2%$42,953Pure rural
6
AL-4Aderholt, RobRR+60R+30-63%-51%-48%0.8688.8%7.0%1.8%0.4%16.3%$40,267Pure rural
7
AL-5Brooks, MoRR+33R+18-33%-29%-26%1.0077.3%17.2%2.2%1.1%30.5%$51,830Rural-suburban mix
8
AL-6Palmer, GaryRR+47R+26-45%-50%-49%0.7881.7%14.4%1.6%1.0%35.2%$60,706Rural-suburban mix
9
AL-7Sewell, TerriDD+42D+2041%45%43%0.8535.5%62.1%1.1%0.4%19.1%$33,366Rural-suburban mix
10
AR-1Crawford, RickRR+30R+17-35%-25%-19%1.0679.6%16.9%1.8%0.3%15.7%$38,289Pure rural
11
AR-2Hill, FrenchRR+10R+7-11%-12%-10%0.9773.6%21.2%2.4%1.0%28.4%$48,103Rural-suburban mix
12
AR-3Womack, SteveRR+31R+19-31%-34%-30%1.0086.2%2.9%5.9%1.8%25.6%$46,332Rural-suburban mix
13
AR-4Westerman, BruceRR+29R+17-33%-26%-23%0.9776.4%19.1%2.2%0.4%16.1%$37,758Pure rural
14
AZ-1O'Halleran, TomDR+6R+2-1%-3%-3%1.0556.0%2.3%17.1%1.1%23.6%$48,583Pure rural
15
AZ-2Kirkpatrick, AnnDR+1R+15%-2%-1%0.9469.9%3.8%21.1%2.3%33.0%$48,125Dense suburban
16
AZ-3Grijalva, RaulDD+24D+1330%25%18%1.0837.4%5.3%51.1%1.7%15.7%$42,173Dense suburban
17
AZ-4Gosar, PaulRR+43R+21-40%-36%-30%1.1281.6%1.8%12.6%1.0%18.6%$45,933Rural-suburban mix
18
AZ-5Biggs, AndyRR+28R+15-21%-29%-26%1.1078.0%3.0%13.3%3.5%34.7%$68,292Dense suburban
19
AZ-6Schweikert, DavidRR+18R+9-10%-21%-17%1.0981.3%2.6%10.3%3.0%42.9%$64,223Dense suburban
20
AZ-7Gallego, RubenDD+44D+2349%45%31%1.1333.8%12.4%47.1%2.4%14.0%$36,097
Urban-suburban mix
21
AZ-8Lesko, DebbieRR+26R+13-21%-25%-22%1.0176.1%4.3%14.6%2.6%28.3%$60,342Dense suburban
22
AZ-9Stanton, GregDD+8D+416%5%4%0.9567.7%5.5%18.7%3.4%36.7%$52,245
Urban-suburban mix
23
CA-1LaMalfa, DougRR+23R+11-20%-16%-11%1.1182.6%1.5%9.4%2.1%23.2%$46,594Rural-suburban mix
24
CA-2Huffman, JaredDD+41D+2246%42%46%0.7680.4%1.6%9.7%3.3%40.0%$65,158Rural-suburban mix
25
CA-3Garamendi, JohnDD+8D+513%11%13%1.0058.7%7.0%19.6%10.1%24.5%$57,926Rural-suburban mix
26
CA-4McClintock, TomRR+20R+10-15%-18%-11%1.1182.2%1.4%9.1%3.9%32.2%$69,051Rural-suburban mix
27
CA-5Thompson, MikeDD+40D+2145%42%44%0.8361.7%6.8%16.8%10.6%30.4%$67,273Dense suburban
28
CA-6Matsui, DorisDD+40D+2145%41%39%0.8646.0%13.9%20.2%14.7%26.8%$49,048
Urban-suburban mix
29
CA-7Bera, AmiDD+5D+311%4%5%0.9061.5%7.8%13.0%13.0%32.6%$66,846Dense suburban
30
CA-8Cook, PaulRR+19R+9-15%-14%-13%0.9756.1%8.3%29.8%2.8%16.0%$47,171Rural-suburban mix
31
CA-9McNerney, JerryDD+14D+819%18%15%0.9545.6%10.0%27.3%13.6%19.7%$57,832Dense suburban
32
CA-10Harder, JoshDR+1EVEN3%4%3%1.0855.4%3.7%30.8%6.2%17.2%$56,256Dense suburban
33
CA-11DeSaulnier, MarkDD+41D+2149%38%41%1.0057.4%9.7%16.0%13.0%42.6%$78,487
Urban-suburban mix
34
CA-12Pelosi, NancyDD+72D+3778%72%71%0.8349.2%5.8%11.0%30.4%56.3%$88,364Pure urban
35
CA-13Lee, BarbaraDD+76D+4081%79%77%0.7941.8%20.1%13.6%19.6%46.1%$64,948Pure urban
36
CA-14Speier, JackieDD+52D+2759%51%49%0.8342.8%3.7%17.3%32.1%44.7%$93,666
Urban-suburban mix
37
CA-15Swalwell, EricDD+39D+2046%38%37%0.8243.8%7.1%17.1%27.6%42.4%$97,232
Urban-suburban mix
38
CA-16Costa, JimDD+17D+922%19%17%1.0034.4%7.9%46.1%9.2%12.0%$38,381Dense suburban
39
CA-17Khanna, RoDD+47D+2553%46%41%0.8934.4%3.2%14.2%44.8%54.9%$107,946Pure urban
40
CA-18Eshoo, AnnaDD+45D+2353%39%43%0.9865.0%2.1%11.7%18.0%60.5%$112,702
Urban-suburban mix
41
CA-19Lofgren, ZoeDD+45D+2451%45%39%0.9234.1%3.6%30.9%28.4%33.5%$85,010
Urban-suburban mix
42
CA-20Panetta, JimmyDD+42D+2347%45%45%0.8854.4%2.8%33.8%5.9%27.1%$62,732
Urban-suburban mix
43
CA-21Cox, TJDD+10D+516%11%6%0.9329.0%6.5%58.7%3.7%8.1%$38,462Rural-suburban mix
44
CA-22Nunes, DevinRR+15R+8-10%-15%-13%1.0451.6%3.5%35.6%7.1%24.0%$53,868Dense suburban
45
CA-23McCarthy, KevinRR+27R+14-22%-25%-25%1.0357.0%6.8%29.1%4.4%19.6%$56,167Dense suburban
46
CA-24Carbajal, SaludDD+13D+720%11%15%0.9767.9%2.3%22.7%4.5%33.0%$64,676Sparse suburban
47
CA-25Hill, KatieDR+0.1EVEN7%-2%1%0.9752.3%8.3%29.0%7.6%27.3%$73,819Dense suburban
48
CA-26Brownley, JuliaDD+14D+722%10%15%1.1856.9%2.2%32.0%6.6%32.4%$76,719Dense suburban
49
CA-27Chu, JudyDD+30D+1638%28%26%0.8733.3%5.6%24.5%34.5%41.2%$70,099
Urban-suburban mix
50
CA-28Schiff, AdamDD+44D+2350%44%44%0.8261.7%3.3%19.9%12.1%44.3%$58,768Pure urban
51
CA-29Cardenas, TonyDD+55D+2961%57%51%1.0728.1%5.7%55.3%9.3%19.3%$48,293Pure urban
52
CA-30Sherman, BradDD+36D+1843%33%35%0.8859.5%5.3%21.0%11.3%42.1%$72,243
Urban-suburban mix
53
CA-31Aguilar, PeteDD+16D+821%17%15%0.9335.0%12.4%43.3%7.0%23.0%$55,451Dense suburban
54
CA-32Napolitano, GraceDD+33D+1739%33%27%0.8522.4%3.7%54.3%18.0%20.5%$61,288
Urban-suburban mix
55
CA-33Lieu, TedDD+32D+1641%24%31%1.0170.9%2.9%11.0%11.7%63.3%$99,902
Urban-suburban mix
56
CA-34Gomez, JimmyDD+68D+3573%69%58%1.0117.8%7.3%51.0%22.1%24.2%$37,136Pure urban
57
CA-35Torres, NormaDD+36D+1941%37%32%0.8521.7%9.0%59.8%7.0%14.8%$55,900
Urban-suburban mix
58
CA-36Ruiz, RaulDD+3D+29%3%3%1.0355.7%4.7%34.4%2.9%20.6%$45,708Dense suburban
59
CA-37Bass, KarenDD+71D+3776%72%71%0.8132.1%29.6%25.7%9.7%37.2%$51,531Pure urban
60
CA-38Sanchez, LindaDD+33D+1740%32%26%0.8522.6%4.6%55.4%15.7%21.9%$63,212Pure urban
61
CA-39Cisneros, GilDD+1EVEN9%-4%-2%0.9539.5%2.6%27.2%28.4%40.2%$80,844Dense suburban
62
CA-40Roybal-Allard, LucilleDD+64D+3369%65%58%1.058.7%8.0%79.0%3.6%9.2%$41,521Pure urban
63
CA-41Takano, MarkDD+23D+1228%25%21%0.9333.5%11.5%46.6%5.9%17.0%$56,824Dense suburban
64
CA-42Calvert, KenRR+17R+9-12%-15%-11%1.0452.1%6.1%30.0%8.7%24.3%$73,341Sparse suburban
65
CA-43Waters, MaxineDD+57D+2962%58%53%0.9720.5%28.9%33.9%13.4%24.9%$50,355Pure urban
66
CA-44Barragan, NanetteDD+67D+3571%71%65%0.7910.8%22.8%56.8%7.2%12.1%$47,683Pure urban
67
CA-45Porter, KatieDR+4R+35%-12%-5%0.9560.7%2.0%14.2%20.2%53.5%$93,995
Urban-suburban mix
68
CA-46Correa, LouDD+30D+1538%25%19%0.8531.5%2.4%47.8%16.5%17.6%$56,465Pure urban
69
CA-47Lowenthal, AlanDD+25D+1332%23%19%0.9441.4%8.5%24.7%21.9%30.4%$60,841Pure urban
70
CA-48Rouda, HarleyDR+7R+42%-12%-5%0.9964.0%1.3%14.3%17.7%44.2%$83,894
Urban-suburban mix
71
CA-49Levin, MikeDR+1R+18%-7%1%0.9170.2%2.9%18.1%6.0%43.0%$77,558Dense suburban
72
CA-50Hunter, DuncanRR+22R+11-15%-23%-19%0.9367.2%3.1%20.8%5.4%27.0%$65,656Dense suburban
73
CA-51Vargas, JuanDD+42D+2249%41%33%1.1120.6%9.0%59.3%9.2%13.8%$42,561
Urban-suburban mix
74
CA-52Peters, ScottDD+13D+623%6%12%0.9765.8%3.3%11.9%15.7%56.8%$86,174
Urban-suburban mix
75
CA-53Davis, SusanDD+28D+1435%25%25%0.8548.7%8.7%26.6%12.4%36.2%$65,332
Urban-suburban mix
76
CO-1DeGette, DianaDD+40D+2146%40%43%0.9768.8%8.4%18.0%2.5%45.5%$58,507
Urban-suburban mix
77
CO-2Neguse, JoeDD+17D+921%18%24%1.0788.0%0.9%7.2%2.0%53.3%$72,006Sparse suburban
78
CO-3Tipton, ScottRR+14R+6-12%-6%-2%1.1477.5%1.0%18.3%0.6%29.7%$49,977Pure rural
79
CO-4Buck, KenRR+25R+13-23%-19%-15%1.0480.0%1.4%15.5%1.2%33.7%$67,813Rural-suburban mix
80
CO-5Lamborn, DougRR+26R+14-24%-21%-19%1.1177.4%5.6%11.6%2.0%34.8%$58,613Dense suburban
81
CO-6Crow, JasonDD+4D+29%5%9%1.0372.2%8.7%12.3%4.3%41.5%$72,470Dense suburban
82
CO-7Perlmutter, EdDD+9D+612%15%17%1.0974.2%1.5%19.7%2.6%31.4%$62,806Dense suburban
83
CT-1Larson, JohnDD+21D+1223%28%33%0.9769.7%13.4%13.1%2.7%36.4%$68,058Sparse suburban
84
CT-2Courtney, JoeDD+2D+33%13%19%0.9586.3%3.7%5.9%2.2%34.3%$72,760Rural-suburban mix
85
CT-3DeLauro, RosaDD+15D+916%26%26%0.9972.8%12.7%10.5%2.7%35.6%$64,333Sparse suburban
86
CT-4Himes, JimDD+15D+723%11%20%0.9871.3%12.2%12.5%3.5%48.7%$90,142Sparse suburban
87
CT-5Hayes, JahanaDD+1D+24%8%14%1.0378.1%6.2%12.5%2.3%35.3%$68,984Sparse suburban
88
DE-1Blunt Rochester, LisaDD+14D+612%19%25%0.9370.4%20.9%5.1%2.2%30.5%$61,017Sparse suburban
89
FL-1Gaetz, MattRR+44R+22-39%-38%-35%0.9577.5%13.0%4.5%2.1%26.5%$51,868Rural-suburban mix
90
FL-2Dunn, NealRR+39R+18-36%-31%-28%1.0279.9%12.9%4.3%1.1%23.0%$45,464Rural-suburban mix
91
FL-3Yoho, TedRR+20R+9-16%-15%-10%1.0873.4%15.1%7.2%2.4%26.4%$45,807Pure rural
92
FL-4Rutherford, JohnRR+35R+17-28%-33%-29%1.0280.1%8.9%6.0%3.1%37.8%$63,472Sparse suburban
93
FL-5Lawson, AlDD+21D+1225%28%27%0.9145.5%45.8%5.4%1.8%19.8%$37,816Sparse suburban
94
FL-6Waltz, MichaelRR+18R+7-17%-6%1%1.0179.1%9.5%9.0%1.2%22.6%$44,026Sparse suburban
95
FL-7Murphy, StephanieDR+0.04EVEN7%0%3%1.0665.5%10.1%19.9%3.2%36.9%$54,116Sparse suburban
96
FL-8Posey, BillRR+24R+11-21%-15%-11%1.0980.8%8.8%7.4%1.5%27.5%$49,297Sparse suburban
97
FL-9Soto, DarrenDD+8D+513%12%10%1.0251.2%12.3%33.2%2.7%22.1%$45,813Sparse suburban
98
FL-10Demings, ValDD+20D+1127%22%22%1.0145.8%26.1%21.9%4.5%28.9%$48,582Sparse suburban
99
FL-11Webster, DanRR+33R+15-32%-19%-14%0.9984.2%6.5%7.3%0.8%19.9%$43,053Rural-suburban mix
100
FL-12Bilirakis, GusRR+20R+8-19%-8%-4%1.0083.9%4.1%9.0%1.9%26.6%$48,522Sparse suburban
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