Month 102 - A-rated Stocks in Vanguard's Wellesley Income Fund (VWINX) - December 2019
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Companies ranked by Finance Value (Column E)TickerReward = 10-Yr Total Return/YrRisk Aversion = 2018 Total Return (S&P 500's worst year in the last 10)Finance Value = Col C + Col D5-Yr Total Return/YrDiv Yield5-Yr Div Growth/Yr3-Yr BetaP/EBMW Method: current 16-Yr CAGRBMW Method: current Px TrendBMW Method: Px loss after regression to mean from +2SDROCEWACCLT Debt: Total AssetsLT-Debt: Total CapitalTotal Debt: EBITDATBV:PxDiv:FCFS&P Bond RatingS&P Stock RatingPx (50d avg)Shares BOTAmountNet Present Value @ 10-Yr Holding Period & 10% Discount RateGraham NumberPx (50d avg): Graham NumberPx:Book7-Yr P/EPx:SalesValue StockOverpriced StockMorningstar (Stars)SCORE: Basic Quality ScreenMarket Cap ($B)Dividend AchieverS&P 100 Company
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PfizerPFE11.8%24.1%35.9%8.3%3.8%7.9%0.65148.0%on trendline39%10.2%4.2%21%31%193%-11%59%AA-B+/M (3)$37.46133$4,982.18$387.20$27.38137%3.3224.1
undervalued (5)
3$214yes
3
NextEra EnergyNEE20.0%15.1%35.1%20.4%2.1%11.5%0.153617.3%up 2SD27%4.1%3.0%26%37%473%29%172%A-A/L (3)$232.3622$5,111.92$5,185.01$106.15219%3.2316.2yesovervalued (2)3.5$118yesyes
4
Cisco SystemsCSCO9.8%14.9%24.7%14.6%3.0%13.0%1.2188.0%up 1SD40%16.6%7.5%15%25%150%-1%40%AA-B+/M (4)$46.18108$4,987.44$314.10$21.41216%5.8283.8
fairly valued (3)
3$198yes
5
Eversource EnergyES16.2%6.5%22.7%12.1%2.6%6.4%0.193013.9%on trendline33%5.4%3.0%34%49%484%27%neg FCFA-A/L (2)$82.8060$4,968.00$2,688.64$48.39171%2.2313.2overvalued (1)4$27yes
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American Electric PowerAEP15.0%7.1%22.1%12.6%3.0%7.0%0.072211.5%up 1SD27%4.0%2.8%31%49%500%42%neg FCFA-B+/L (3)$92.0354$4,969.62$1,561.00$62.22148%2.4303.0yesovervalued (2)4$46
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Xcel EnergyXEL15.5%6.5%22.0%15.1%2.6%6.2%0.092513.4%up 2SD19%4.2%2.9%33%54%464%39%neg FCFA-A/L (2)$62.2680$4,980.80$2,402.41$37.54166%2.6302.9yesovervalued (1)4$34yes
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Duke EnergyDUK10.7%8.6%19.3%5.5%4.2%3.5%0.06198.4%on trendline19%3.8%2.7%34%50%608%38%neg FCFA-B+/L (4)$91.4555$5,029.75$425.21$81.43112%1.5262.7yes
fairly valued (3)
4$66yesyes
9
IntelINTC14.9%2.7%17.6%12.7%2.2%7.0%0.911411.1%up 1SD37%18.3%5.5%20%25%83%14%38%A+B+/M (3)$55.9689$4,980.44$1,081.67$40.50138%3.4243.5
undervalued (4)
3$249yes
10
Coca-ColaKO10.0%7.6%17.6%8.5%2.9%5.6%0.413011.0%on trendline19%14.9%3.1%30%42%406%0%111%A+B+/L (4)$53.5493$4,979.22$1,246.70$13.34402%12.3366.9yesovervalued (3)2.5$231yesyes
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Procter & GamblePG10.9%5.1%16.0%9.5%2.4%3.0%0.38798.7%up 2SD18%13.8%3.5%18%26%174%-6%63%AA-A-/L (3)$121.8341$4,995.03-$20.43$25.51478%6.8384.5yesovervalued (2)2.5$309yesyes
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Texas InstrumentsTXN20.4%-8.2%12.2%21.8%2.8%21.5%1.192414.4%up 1SD45%40.9%8.6%25%31%66%3%42%A+A/M (3)$122.0641$5,004.46$3,945.12$34.14358%13.2408.0yesovervalued (2)2.5$118yesyes
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Archer Daniels MidlandADM6.6%5.3%11.9%0.1%3.1%7.8%1.08226.8%on trendline 32%5.0%7.2%19%28%288%62%neg CFAB+/M (4)$42.32118$4,993.76-$249.46$40.01106%1.4150.4yes
undervalued (3)
2$25yes
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Chubb Ltd.CB16.0%-7.2%8.8%8.6%1.9%5.5%0.672013.1%down 1SD24%2.9%3.3%7%19%NA41%21%AB+/M (4)$152.0433$5,017.32$2,000.12$146.16104%1.3182.1yes
fairly valued (3)
4$70yes
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PepsiCoPEP11.7%-3.3%8.4%10.4%2.8%7.8%0.54169.6%up 1SD20%14.1%4.4%36%60%253%-8%80%A+A-/L (4)$135.7537$5,022.75$637.65$44.74303%13.5292.9yes
fairly valued (2)
2.5$190yesyes
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JPMorgan ChaseJPM15.4%-7.5%7.9%20.2%2.6%17.6%1.221412.2%up 2SD36%1.6%7.2%10%32%NA42%17%A-A-/L (4)$128.9139$5,027.49$2,343.66$130.9698%1.8204.0yes
fairly valued (3)
4$436yes
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Johnson & JohnsonJNJ11.8%-4.8%7.0%9.8%2.7%6.3%0.7279.7%on trendline24%14.2%5.7%18%31%108%-5%51%AAAA-/M (3)$134.7737$4,986.49$621.66$51.07264%6.6294.7yes
fairly valued (3)
3.5$382yesyes
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TravelersTRV13.3%-7.1%6.2%7.4%2.4%8.3%0.911511.7%down 1SD23%3.1%5.9%6%20%NA52%19%AB+/M (3)$135.1437$5,000.18$1,445.22$140.9595%1.4151.1yes
fairly valued (3)
4$35yes
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Eaton plcETN15.0%-9.9%5.1%10.1%3.0%7.7%1.431711.8%on trendline33%9.9%7.7%22%29%194%-5%55%A-A/M (3)$89.4056$5,006.40$1,802.23$69.63123%2.5191.8yes
fairly valued (3)
4$39
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ComcastCMCSA20.2%-15.2%5.0%10.8%1.9%13.3%1.061612.9%on trendline44%7.7%6.6%43%59%372%-47%27%A-A-/M (5)$44.51112$4,985.12$2,058.50$32.31138%2.5221.8yes
fairly valued (3)
2$196yesyes
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PNC Financial ServicesPNC14.1%-17.2%-3.1%14.5%2.9%19.1%1.131410.2%up 1SD35%1.7%7.6%15%53%NA55%26%A-A-/M (4)$150.4833$4,965.54$1,580.78$161.1993%1.5184.2yes
fairly valued (2)
3$71
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CaterpillarCAT12.8%-17.3%-4.5%12.9%2.8%8.0%1.511410.1%on trendline39%13.0%7.8%32%49%320%7%54%AB+/M (3)$140.1036$5,043.60$918.40$80.03175%5.4281.5
undervalued (3)
3$82yesyes
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3MMMM10.6%-17.0%-6.4%4.0%3.4%11.0%1.1209.2%down 1SD33%22.1%8.3%37%55%159%-3%65%AA-A+/L (3)$168.0830$5,042.40$866.39$59.41283%9.3223.1
undervalued (3)
2$97yesyes
24
MetLifeMET 6.8%-15.2%-8.4%2.0%3.5%4.7%1.1475.1%on trendline37%1.0%7.3%2%24%NA88%15%A-B+/M (4)$48.38103$4,983.14-$803.60$111.8643%0.7130.7yes
undervalued (3)
2$48yes
25
BlackRockBLK10.6%-20.9%-10.3%9.4%2.7%11.3%1.551914.3%down 1SD33%3.4%9.9%3%11%87%1%67%AA-A/M (4)$474.5911$5,220.49$3,359.10$348.86136%2.4215.6yes
fairly valued (3)
4$78yes
26
Exxon MobilXOM3.5%-16.5%-13.0%-1.8%5.0%4.8%1203.4%down 1SD26%6.5%8.0%6%9%96%66%84%AA+B+/L (3)$69.2272$4,983.84-$792.17$58.85118%1.6121.1yes
undervalued (4)
2$294yesyes
27
Averagen = 2512.9%-2.6%10.4%10.4%2.9%9.0%0.812210.6%on trendline30%9.7%5.7%22%36%274%21%55%AA-/M (3)$116.46$5,010.70$1,400.20$78.96185%4.3253.413/256/25
fairly valued (3)
3.1$14616/2517/25
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BENCHMARKS
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Berkshire HathawayBRK-B13.1%3.5%16.6%8.3%0.0%0.0%0.84219.9%on trendline25%4.6%7.1%13%20%252%45%no dividendAAB/L (3)$217.5223$5,002.96-$298.23$203.02102%1.4232.1yes
undervalued (4)
2$549yes
31
SPDR Dow Jones Indust Avg ETFDIA13.1%-3.6%9.5%12.0%2.0%10.6%0.97206.9%up 1SD28%$276.2418$4,872.32-$612.084.1$23
32
SPDR S&P 500 ETFSPY13.3%-4.5%8.8%10.9%1.8%7.9%1226.9%up 1SD31%$308.8716$4,941.92-$803.603.3$289
33
Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETFVYM12.7%-5.9%6.8%8.9%3.1%8.3%0.8817$90.94 2.5$38
34
Averagen = 413.1%-2.6%10.4%10.0%1.7%6.7%0.95207.9%up 1SD28%$223.39$4,939.07-$571.303$225
35
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Consumer Price Indexcpi1.7%0.3%2.0%1.9%
37
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Updated 12/25/2019
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