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Fundamental Category
IndicatorResultComment
Z Score
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Fundamental Indicators
MVRVZ Top and Bottom Indicator - BTCNeutralSolid MVRV z-score indicator, pretty good at finding tops, bottoms are iffy & often losing buying window signal prematurely, bottoms could be smoothed out. No major visual issues0https://www.tradingview.com/script/JuFVrJ63-MVRVZ-MVRVZ-Top-and-Bottom-Indicator-for-BTC-Logue/
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Bitcoin Cycle MasterNeutralSimple z-scoring, identifies DCA buying and selling opportunities well, hard to find any major faults, however very ambiguous/vague explanation of how the lines are calculated 0https://www.lookintobitcoin.com/charts/bitcoin-cycle-master/
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Value Days Destroyed (VDD) MultipleNeutralGood for identifying early market peaks, indicator typically heats up during the first parabolic run-up before the actual market peak, arrives too early for a DCA signal, best use case is to mark the finish of an early parabolic run & add confluence to better indicators, notable lack of signal during the 2021 bull market peak0https://www.lookintobitcoin.com/charts/value-days-destroyed-multiple/
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Bitcoin: RHODL RatioLow ValueMuch clearer than most ROHL wave indicators, not a great top indicator (it reached the sell zone in 2018 after which the price doubled and didn't come close to 2 SD in 2021 bull market peak), may be suffering from alpha decay, does give accurate and smooth bottom signals, pre-2013 data can be ignored-1https://www.lookintobitcoin.com/charts/rhodl-ratio/
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Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR)NeutralDecent for detecting market tops & bottoms, measuring z-scores from 1.1 you get strong DCA signals at about the 0.88 level to buy & 1.3 levels to sell. 1.3 levels are often hit just before market peaks. Buy signals at the ~0.88 level tend to be triggered earlier than desired but are reasonable when the context of where you're at in the overall cycle is front of mind.0https://chainexposed.com/SOPR.html
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Advanced NVT SignalNeutralIt is calculated as Network Valuation divided by the 90 day moving average of daily transaction value. The metric is helpful to identify overbought and oversold periods intra cycle. Red and green SD bounds help to Z score the data more precisely.0https://www.lookintobitcoin.com/charts/advanced-nvt-signal/
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Net unrelaized profit/lossNeutralThis indicator takes the current BTC price multiplied by the number of coins in circulation. It calculates unrealised profit/loss held by investors. A negative score is above the mean and positive is below the mean.0https://www.lookintobitcoin.com/charts/relative-unrealized-profit--loss/
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Technical IndicatorsMayer Multiple Price BandsNeutralA simple 200d ma with price bands, helpful in visualizing current market cycle position, decent at identifying key periods of overbought/oversold, doesn't mark bottoms extremely well, often just breaking or hoving over the "oversold" line during key DCA windows, similar behavior with tops, previous peak lacks the magnitude of previous peaks which signifies possible alpha decay0https://charts.bitbo.io/mayer-bands/
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Cumulative Volume ValueNeutralAn indicator that takes into consideration accumulated price activity and volume (not daily readings) to map where we are in the cycle, simple z-scoring will be helpful in the absence of a consistent binary signal, it doesn't have the amplitude I'd want to see but it's good enough to add confluence 0https://www.tradingview.com/script/7qL8SHiM-Cumulative-Volume-Value-BTC/
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The Rolling 52 Week Sharpe RatioNeutralAlready z-scored but you'll need to invert it to make sense in this spreadsheet, accumulating when the signal hits about a 1.6-1.8 z score would provide a reasonable entry, tops can be very noisy and usually reaching peak amplitude earlier rather than later in the cycle, can be over sensitive as an indicator during market run ups, can sometimes lose signal strength by the time the real market peak arrives especially if it peaked out early on in the run up0https://charts.bitbo.io/sharpe-ratio/
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RSINeutralMeasures the speed as well as the magnitude of directional price movements in Bitcoin relative to previous 12 months. Values of 70 or above indicate that a bitcoin is becoming overbought whether 30 and below is oversold.0https://charts.bitbo.io/monthly-rsi/
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Pi Cycle Top IndicatorNeutralIt analyses the 111-day moving average and the 350-day moving average of Bitcoin's price to identify potential market tops. When these two moving averages cross over, it historically signaled the peak of Bitcoin's price cycles.0https://checkonchain.com/btconchain/pricing/pricing_picycleindicator/pricing_picycleindicator_light.html
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BTC Power Law OscillatorNeutralThe metric assesses whether BTC is currently under- or oversold, based on its historical price data. It compares the current market price to a power-law fit of Bitcoin's price history. The oscillator ranges from 1 to -1, indicating the log-price deviation from the historical trend.0https://charts.bitbo.io/power-law-oscillator/
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Bitcoin Rainbow ChartNeutralThis indicator is derived from a non-linear regression curve calculated using only the bitcoin prices on the three halving dates.
I chose this indicator for its color bands, which clearly indicate the current market position.
A negative score indicates that the current price of Bitcoin is above the green band, suggesting potential overvaluation or bullish sentiment in the market. Conversely, a positive score suggests that the current price of Bitcoin is below the yellow band, indicating potential undervaluation or bearish sentiment in the market.
0https://charts.bitbo.io/rainbow/
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Sentiment IndicatorsCrypto Fear & Greed Index Over TimeNeutralLonger price history than many other Fear & Greed indexes, 0 z-score at 50, 1 SD every 20 units, could be improved with price overlayed on top, can be very volatile in the short term (days), high fluctuations following nukes and pumps, all emotion, good for keeping a pulse on how the average "investor" is feeling and setting expectations in the short term0https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/
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Bitcoin Sentiment IndexNeutralDecent, easy to read and z-score, 1SD at 0.15 units, good for setting short-term expectations and adding confluence to more valuable indicators, cons are lack of price history and ability to look at different timeframes 0https://www.crypto-sentiment.com/bitcoin-sentiment
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AASI (Active Address Sentiment Indicator)
NeutralGood sentiment indicator, peaking at or just before ATHs, bottoms out after large sell-offs but doesn't provide much signaling power for actual market bottoms, useful in its extreme states (+/-2 SD), can be noisy, good to use for added confluence, preferred over other sentiment indicators for gauging how much potential "juice" the market (especially retail) has in it because it is based on on-chain activity0https://www.lookintobitcoin.com/charts/active-address-sentiment-indicator/Gauge will update according toValue Avg Score
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Avg Z Score-0.05Low Value
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