ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQR
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Cost of discrimination (% GDP)Estimate for cost of discrimination% Reduction in discrimination from decriminalisationEstimate for % reduction in discriminationGDP ($m)Country Example Cost of discrimination ($m)Annual Benefit ($m)NPV of perpetuity (Annual benefit / interest rate)Cost of lobbying/ litigation ($m)ROIBCRCost of multi-year mass media campaign ($m)ROIBCRCost of intense intervention*ROIBCR
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1Central9Central19,320Zambia193173482569.6147523.24.69917.63.5
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0.1Low9Central19,320Zambia19235257.01752.30.5991.80.4
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1.7High 9Central19,320Zambia3283059125118.2247539.47.99929.96.0
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1Central5.4Low19,320Zambia193102092541.887513.92.89910.62.1
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0.1Low5.4Low19,320Zambia19121254.21751.40.3991.10.2
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1.7High 5.4Low19,320Zambia328183552571.1147523.74.79918.03.6
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1Central14.4High19,320Zambia1932855725111.4227537.17.49928.25.6
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0.1Low14.4High19,320Zambia193562511.12753.70.7992.80.6
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1.7High 14.4High19,320Zambia3284794725189.3387563.1139947.910
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1Central9Central430,000Nigeria4,3003877740100387.077300129.025.81,11334.87.0
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0.1Low9Central430,000Nigeria4303977410038.7830012.92.61,1133.50.7
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1.7High 9Central430,000Nigeria7,31065813,158100657.9132300219.343.91,11359.111.8
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1Central5.4Low430,000Nigeria4,3002334,653100232.64730077.515.51,11320.94.2
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0.1Low5.4Low430,000Nigeria4302346510023.353007.81.61,1132.10.4
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1.7High 5.4Low430,000Nigeria7,3103957,910100395.579300131.826.41,11335.57.1
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1Central14.4High430,000Nigeria4,30062012,393100619.6124300206.541.31,11355.711.1
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0.1Low14.4High430,000Nigeria430621,23910062.01230020.74.11,1135.61.1
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1.7High 14.4High430,000Nigeria7,3101053210681001053.4211300351.1701,11394.618.9
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* We assumed $10/person over age 15
Litigation BCRMass Media BCR
Targeted Intervention BCR
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*In Zambia 54% population is 15 or over (World Bank)
Nigeria (high estimate)
2117018.9
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*In Nigeria 54% population is 15 or over (World Bank)
Nigeria (central estimate)
7725.87.0
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Nigeria (low estimate)
51.60.4
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Central
Zambia (high estimate)
381310
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High
Zambia (central estimate)
144.63.5
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Low
Zambia (low estimate)
10.30.2