UK_Election_2010
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2010 Constituencies, 'notional' 2005 results and expected declaration time (sources: Guardian; PA; Tweetminster; Ladbrokes)
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NOTE: 'notional' results based on data modelling research by Professors Colin Rallings and Michael Thrasher, from Plymouth University - most widely-used source
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2005 results - 'notional' if constituency is bold, actual if normal2010 resultsBetting predictions
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PA ID noConstituencyPartyMajority%Turnout%Expected declaration timePartyParty to winSeat predicted to be held or change?Correct?Party to win according to LadbrokesSeat predicted to be held or change?Correct?Link to Guardian constituency page
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1ABERAVONLab13,93746.30%30,10458.94%3:30:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/664
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2ABERCONWYLab1,0703.93%27,25861.98%2:30:00 AMCChangehttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/1471
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3ABERDEEN NORTHLab6,79518.55%36,63455.75%2:30:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/666
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4ABERDEEN SOUTHLab1,3483.24%41,62162.11%2:30:00 AMLabHeldLDChangehttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/667
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5ABERDEENSHIRE WEST & KINCARDINELD7,47117.94%41,64863.54%4:00:00 AMLDHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/1417
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6AIRDRIE & SHOTTSLab14,08442.48%33,15853.52%3:30:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/668ListLabCLDGreenPCIndSNP
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7ALDERSHOTC6,34515.12%41,96263.61%4:00:00 AMCHeldCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/669
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8ALDRIDGE-BROWNHILLSC5,73215.49%37,01663.53%4:00:00 AMCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/670
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9ALTRINCHAM & SALE WESTC7,61817.57%43,35767.78%4:00:00 AMCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/671
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10ALYN & DEESIDELab8,37823.60%35,49660.22%3:30:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/672
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11AMBER VALLEYLab5,51212.53%43,97364.04%2:00:00 AMCChangehttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/673
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12ANGUSSNP1,6014.20%38,14560.46%2:00:00 AMCChangeSNPHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/674
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13ANTRIM EASTDUP6,99621.76%32,14554.79%3:00:00 AMDUPHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/898
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14ANTRIM NORTHDUP18,48641.80%44,22562.11%12:01:00 AMDUPHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/1164
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15ANTRIM SOUTHDUP3,77810.74%35,19157.45%3:00:00 AMUCUNFChangehttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/1293
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16ARFONLab4561.82%25,04258.24%1:30:00 AMPCChangehttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/1472
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17ARGYLL & BUTELD5,63613.04%43,22964.21%2:00:00 PMCChangeLDHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/675
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18ARUNDEL & SOUTH DOWNSC12,29123.81%51,61870.79%6:00:00 AMCHeldCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/677
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19ASHFIELDLab10,37024.28%42,71157.07%3:00:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/678
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20ASHFORDC12,26825.02%49,03565.40%3:00:00 AMCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/679
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21ASHTON UNDER LYNELab13,19938.33%34,43251.53%2:00:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/680
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22AYLESBURYC9,31419.49%47,78362.43%2:30:00 AMLDChangeCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/681
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23AYR, CARRICK & CUMNOCKLab9,99722.19%45,04861.33%5:00:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/797
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24AYRSHIRE CENTRALLab10,42324.31%42,87162.46%5:00:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/682
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25AYRSHIRE NORTH & ARRANLab11,29625.55%44,20560.57%5:00:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/860
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26BANBURYC10,09018.79%53,68564.41%3:30:00 AMCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/683
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27BANFF & BUCHANSNP11,83731.81%37,21656.76%4:00:00 AMSNPHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/684
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28BARKINGLab12,18333.04%36,87148.24%4:00:00 AMLabHeldLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/685
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29BARNSLEY CENTRALLab11,83938.32%30,89747.70%1:30:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/686
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30BARNSLEY EASTLab18,29856.94%32,13648.82%1:30:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/687
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31BARROW & FURNESSLab4,84312.54%38,62558.93%5:00:00 AMLabHeldCChangehttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/690
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32BASILDON & BILLERICAYC4,55911.22%40,64362.30%2:00:00 AMCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/1474
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33BASILDON SOUTH & THURROCK EASTLab9052.14%42,29059.27%1:00:00 AMCChangehttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/1473
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34BASINGSTOKEC2,6516.27%42,26760.96%4:00:00 AMLabChangeCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/692
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35BASSETLAWLab8,25617.92%46,07760.75%4:00:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/693
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36BATHLD5,62413.56%41,46669.08%4:00:00 AMLDHeldLDHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/694
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37BATLEY & SPENLab6,06013.54%44,74460.79%5:00:00 AMCChangeCChangehttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/695
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38BATTERSEALab3320.81%40,85859.18%1:00:00 AMCChangehttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/696
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39BEACONSFIELDC14,79432.09%46,10063.16%3:00:00 AMCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/697
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40BECKENHAMC16,91340.40%41,86465.33%5:30:00 AMCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/698
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41BEDFORDLab3,4138.04%42,45862.01%4:30:00 AMCChangehttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/699
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42BEDFORDSHIRE MIDC11,59323.08%50,22268.71%3:00:00 AMCHeldCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/1120
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43BEDFORDSHIRE NORTH EASTC12,12824.59%49,31768.39%4:30:00 AMCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/1170
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44BEDFORDSHIRE SOUTH WESTC8,27718.07%45,81461.83%3:00:00 AMCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/1310
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45BELFAST EASTDUP7,90022.87%34,54157.53%3:00:00 AMDUPHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/700
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46BELFAST NORTHDUP5,83216.02%36,40657.95%3:00:00 AMDUPHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/701
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47BELFAST SOUTHSDLP1880.52%36,40860.63%3:00:00 AMSDLPHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/702
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48BELFAST WESTSF19,52752.57%37,14764.23%3:00:00 AMSFHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/703
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49BERMONDSEY & OLD SOUTHWARKLD5,76916.00%36,05248.76%4:30:00 AMLDHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/1475
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50BERWICK-UPON-TWEEDLD8,58523.58%36,40663.29%2:00:00 PMLDHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/704
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51BERWICKSHIRE, ROXBURGH & SELKIRKLD5,90113.00%45,38863.30%4:00:00 AMLDHeldLDHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/1260
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52BETHNAL GREEN & BOWRespect8042.10%38,36651.50%4:00:00 AMLabChangehttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/705
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53BEVERLEY & HOLDERNESSC3,0976.23%49,68964.18%2:00:00 AMCHeldCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/708
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54BEXHILL & BATTLEC15,89331.52%50,41466.82%5:00:00 AMCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/709
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55BEXLEYHEATH & CRAYFORDC5,16712.33%41,90064.66%6:00:00 AMCHeldCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/711
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56BIRKENHEADLab14,63846.21%31,67649.94%1:30:00 AMLabHeldLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/713
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57BIRMINGHAM EDGBASTONLab1,5554.01%38,82557.30%12:45:00 AMLabHeldCChangehttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/714
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58BIRMINGHAM ERDINGTONLab9,67730.07%32,18048.42%3:30:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/715
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59BIRMINGHAM HALL GREENLab6,64915.90%41,80955.94%3:30:00 AMLDChangehttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/716
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60BIRMINGHAM HODGE HILLLab7,06317.05%41,43555.74%3:30:00 AMLabHeldLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/717
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61BIRMINGHAM LADYWOODLab6,80423.23%29,29645.11%12:45:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/718
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62BIRMINGHAM NORTHFIELDLab7,87919.93%39,53455.18%3:30:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/719
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63BIRMINGHAM PERRY BARRLab7,82520.22%38,69853.82%3:30:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/720
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64BIRMINGHAM SELLY OAKLab7,56417.14%44,13160.34%3:30:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/721
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65BIRMINGHAM YARDLEYLD2,8647.30%39,22354.49%3:30:00 AMLDHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/725
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66BISHOP AUCKLANDLab10,04726.35%38,12856.12%2:00:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/726
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67BLACKBURNLab8,04819.45%41,38857.67%2:00:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/728
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68BLACKLEY & BROUGHTONLab13,06043.35%30,12445.86%3:00:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/1476
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69BLACKPOOL NORTH & CLEVELEYSLab3,2418.48%38,19957.60%2:30:00 AMCChangehttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/1477
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70BLACKPOOL SOUTHLab5,91117.67%33,45152.31%2:30:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/731
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71BLAENAU GWENTInd Law9,12125.87%35,25166.14%2:30:00 AMIndChangehttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/732
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72BLAYDONLab5,74813.75%41,81862.22%3:00:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/733
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73BLYTH VALLEYLab8,52723.84%35,77356.21%2:00:00 PMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/734
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74BOGNOR REGIS & LITTLEHAMPTONC8,61720.15%42,76663.17%3:00:00 AMCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/735
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75BOLSOVERLab19,26047.68%40,39556.14%4:00:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/736
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76BOLTON NORTH EASTLab4,52711.99%37,77254.50%3:30:00 AMCChangehttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/737
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77BOLTON SOUTH EASTLab11,48333.03%34,76551.33%3:30:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/738
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78BOLTON WESTLab5,04111.95%42,18461.24%3:30:00 AMCChangehttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/739
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79BOOTLELab20,12554.48%36,93750.77%5:00:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/741
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80BOSTON & SKEGNESSC6,39114.81%43,15158.92%4:00:00 AMCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/742
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81BOSWORTHC5,33510.72%49,76865.65%4:00:00 AMLabChangeCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/743
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82BOURNEMOUTH EASTC5,87414.04%41,83558.96%3:30:00 AMCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/744
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83BOURNEMOUTH WESTC2,7667.55%36,61353.88%3:30:00 AMLDChangeCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/745
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84BRACKNELLC10,03721.96%45,70462.67%4:00:00 AMCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/747
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85BRADFORD EASTLab5,22714.24%36,70554.12%5:00:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/1478
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86BRADFORD SOUTHLab8,44423.99%35,19853.42%5:00:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/749
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87BRADFORD WESTLab3,0508.34%36,58356.04%5:00:00 AMCChangehttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/750
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88BRAINTREEC8,65819.28%44,89864.22%3:30:00 AMCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/751
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89BRECON & RADNORSHIRELD3,90510.18%38,34169.49%2:00:00 AMLDHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/752
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90BRENT CENTRALLab7,46919.02%39,26755.49%5:30:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/1479
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91BRENT NORTHLab8,83020.04%44,05458.48%5:30:00 AMLabHeldLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/754
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92BRENTFORD & ISLEWORTHLab3,6338.29%43,83952.83%4:00:00 AMCChangeCChangehttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/756
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93BRENTWOOD & ONGARC12,52227.21%46,01667.92%1:30:00 AMCHeldCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/757
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94BRIDGENDLab6,089(17.87%34,07959.74%1:00:00 AMLabHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/758
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95BRIDGWATER & SOMERSET WESTC10,08119.77%50,98864.02%4:00:00 AMCHeldhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/constituency/1480
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Constit. results, time A-Z
Constit, results, time by time
Target - swing seats (top 100)
Target - swing seats (complete)
2005 Constituency name data