2022-10-06 diversity visa probability estimate

	A	B	C	D	E	F	G	H	I	J	K	L	M	N	O	P	Q	R	S	T	U	V
1		Region		DV-2023	DV-2022	DV-2021	DV-2020	DV-2019	DV-2018	DV-2017	DV-2016	DV-2015	DV-2014	DV-2013	DV-2012	DV-2011	DV-2010	DV-2009	DV-2008	DV-2007
2		Africa		—	—	1.10%	0.28%	0.35%	0.46%	0.42%	0.55%	0.88%	0.83%	0.77%	0.79%	0.88%	1.06%	1.23%	1.27%	1.13%	0.28%	1.27%
3		Asia		—	—	1.08%	0.45%	0.47%	0.36%	0.35%	0.43%	0.74%	0.98%	0.86%	0.15%	0.19%	0.24%	0.22%	0.40%	0.44%	0.15%	1.08%
4		Europe		—	—	1.15%	0.43%	0.39%	0.59%	0.49%	0.53%	0.85%	1.05%	0.90%	1.03%	1.20%	1.38%	1.28%	1.23%	1.15%	0.39%	1.38%
5		Latin America		—	—	0.84%	0.38%	0.37%	0.62%	0.36%	0.41%	1.27%	1.74%	1.01%	1.00%	1.03%	1.57%	0.98%	0.76%	0.63%	0.36%	1.74%
6		North America		—	—	1.73%	0.73%	0.63%	0.42%	0.28%	0.38%	0.39%	0.63%	0.48%	0.40%	0.47%	0.69%	0.38%	0.64%	0.61%	0.28%	1.73%
7		Oceania		—	—	10.03%	3.48%	3.93%	7.89%	2.93%	3.11%	8.77%	9.34%	5.89%	5.14%	4.25%	5.34%	4.40%	4.25%	4.01%	2.93%	10.03%
8		Total		—	0.90%	1.12%	0.36%	0.39%	0.50%	0.43%	0.52%	0.87%	0.96%	0.84%	0.51%	0.61%	0.75%	0.76%	0.96%	0.91%
9
10				1		2.00
11				Single applicant		Married couple
12				Lower	Upper	Lower	Upper
13		Africa	P(selection)	0.28%	1.27%	-	-
14	1		1 Year	0.28%	1.27%	0.56%	2.52%
15	2		2 Year	0.56%	2.52%	1.12%	4.98%
16	3		3 Years	0.84%	3.76%	1.67%	7.38%
17	4		4 Years	1.12%	4.98%	2.22%	9.72%
18	5		5 Years	1.39%	6.19%	2.76%	12.00%
19		Asia	P(selection)	0.15%	1.08%	-	-
20	1		1 Year	0.15%	1.08%	0.30%	2.15%
21	2		2 Year	0.30%	2.15%	0.60%	4.25%
22	3		3 Years	0.45%	3.21%	0.90%	6.31%
23	4		4 Years	0.60%	4.25%	1.19%	8.32%
24	5		5 Years	0.75%	5.28%	1.49%	10.29%
25		Europe	P(selection)	0.39%	1.38%	-	-
26	1		1 Year	0.39%	1.38%	0.78%	2.74%
27	2		2 Year	0.78%	2.74%	1.55%	5.41%
28	3		3 Years	1.17%	4.08%	2.32%	8.00%
29	4		4 Years	1.55%	5.41%	3.08%	10.52%
30	5		5 Years	1.93%	6.71%	3.83%	12.97%
31		Latin America	P(selection)	0.36%	1.74%	-	-
32	1		1 Year	0.36%	1.74%	0.72%	3.45%
33	2		2 Year	0.72%	3.45%	1.43%	6.78%
34	3		3 Years	1.08%	5.13%	2.14%	10.00%
35	4		4 Years	1.43%	6.78%	2.84%	13.10%
36	5		5 Years	1.79%	8.40%	3.54%	16.10%
37		North America	P(selection)	0.28%	1.73%	-	-
38	1		1 Year	0.28%	1.73%	0.56%	3.43%
39	2		2 Year	0.56%	3.43%	1.12%	6.74%
40	3		3 Years	0.84%	5.10%	1.67%	9.94%
41	4		4 Years	1.12%	6.74%	2.22%	13.03%
42	5		5 Years	1.39%	8.36%	2.76%	16.01%
43		Oceania	P(selection)	2.93%	10.03%	-	-
44	1		1 Year	2.93%	10.03%	5.77%	19.05%
45	2		2 Year	5.77%	19.05%	11.21%	34.48%
46	3		3 Years	8.53%	27.17%	16.34%	46.96%
47	4		4 Years	11.21%	34.48%	21.17%	57.07%
48	5		5 Years	13.82%	41.05%	25.72%	65.25%
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