GiveWell estimate of AMF cost per net [2018]
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Historical LLIN pricesCurrent LLIN prices
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Country / cost sourceLocationYearNumber of netsTotal cost to purchase LLINs (paid by AMF)Non-net costs paid by AMFTotal costs paid by AMFTotal cost paid by AMF per netPurchase cost per netTotal non-net costs per net paid by AMFAMF's non-net cost per net - variance from averageTotal cost AMF would have paid to purchase nets (at current LLIN prices)Total cost AMF would have paid (using current LLIN prices)Total cost AMF would have paid per net (using current LLIN prices)Purchase cost per netTotal non-net costs per net paid by AMFAMF's non-net cost per net - variance from average
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MalawiNtcheu2012268,420$1,110,890$20,257$1,131,147$4.21$4.14$0.08-$0.40$563,682$583,939$2.18$2.10$0.08-$0.40
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MalawiBalaka2013154,230$471,944$152,779$624,723$4.05$3.06$0.99$0.52$323,883$476,662$3.09$2.10$0.99$0.52
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MalawiDedza2014290,770$845,881$232,326$1,078,207$3.71$2.91$0.80$0.33$610,617$842,943$2.90$2.10$0.80$0.33
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MalawiDowa2015396,900$1,079,030$313,314$1,392,344$3.51$2.72$0.79$0.32$833,490$1,146,804$2.89$2.10$0.79$0.32
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MalawiNtcheu2015335,000$870,075$289,713$1,159,788$3.46$2.60$0.86$0.39$703,500$993,213$2.96$2.10$0.86$0.39
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MalawiBalaka2015235,000$626,125$209,984$836,109$3.56$2.66$0.89$0.42$493,500$703,484$2.99$2.10$0.89$0.42
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DRCKasaï Occidental2014630,532$1,813,584$0$1,813,584$2.88$2.88$0.00-$0.47$1,324,117$1,324,117$2.10$2.10$0.00-$0.47
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DRCNord Ubangi2015705,468$1,836,665$227,774$2,064,439$2.93$2.60$0.32-$0.15$1,481,483$1,709,257$2.42$2.10$0.32-$0.15
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Ghana
Upper West Region
2016437,200$911,999$280,117$1,192,116$2.73$2.09$0.64$0.17$918,120$1,198,237$2.74$2.10$0.64$0.17
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Ghana
Greater Accra Region
20161,158,200$2,416,005$742,067$3,158,072$2.73$2.09$0.64$0.17$2,432,220$3,174,287$2.74$2.10$0.64$0.17
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GhanaNorthern Region20161,093,700$2,281,458$700,742$2,982,200$2.73$2.09$0.64$0.17$2,296,770$2,997,512$2.74$2.10$0.64$0.17
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Togo
Four of Togo's Five Regions
20172,413,250$4,220,000$965,300$5,185,300$2.15$1.75$0.40-$0.07$5,067,825$6,033,125$2.50$2.10$0.40-$0.07
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Uganda
Western and Eastern Regions
201712,743,100$30,852,500$3,227,000$34,079,500$2.67$2.42$0.25-$0.22$26,760,510$29,987,510$2.35$2.10$0.25-$0.22
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Papua New GuineaSelected provinces20171,159,400$1,960,000$463,760$2,423,760$2.09$1.69$0.40-$0.07$2,434,740$2,898,500$2.50$2.10$0.40-$0.07
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Zambia
Central, Eastern, North-Western, and Western Provinces
20173,023,550$6,090,000$1,210,000$7,300,000$2.41$2.01$0.40-$0.07$6,349,455$7,559,455$2.50$2.10$0.40-$0.07
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Malawi12 districts20184,323,050$8,157,595$1,080,763$9,238,358$2.14$1.89$0.25-$0.22$9,078,405$10,159,168$2.35$2.10$0.25-$0.22
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GhanaFour Regions20183,609,000$6,810,183$902,250$7,712,433$2.14$1.89$0.25-$0.22$7,578,900$8,481,150$2.35$2.10$0.25-$0.22
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Papua New GuineaSelected provinces2018954,100$1,666,321$320,000$1,986,321$2.08$1.75$0.34-$0.14$2,003,610$2,323,610$2.44$2.10$0.34-$0.14
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Papua New GuineaSelected provinces20191,017,200$1,830,960$254,300$2,085,260$2.05$1.80$0.25-$0.22$2,136,120$2,390,420$2.35$2.10$0.25-$0.22
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Papua New GuineaSelected provinces20201,215,000$2,187,000$303,750$2,490,750$2.05$1.80$0.25-$0.22$2,551,500$2,855,250$2.35$2.10$0.25-$0.22
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AMF organizational costs$4,169,317$4,169,317$0.08
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PBO study (research on insecticide resistance)$2,530,000$2,530,000$0.05
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Malaria Unit (Malawi)$735,999$735,999$0.01
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Total – all past/upcoming distributions36,163,070$78,038,216$11,896,196$97,369,727$75,942,447$95,273,959
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Overall summary:
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AMF net purchase costs per net (current LLIN prices)$2.10
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AMF non-net costs per net$0.33
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AMF organizational and research costs per net$0.15
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The Global Fund and other philanthropic funders non-net costs per net$1.71
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In-kind government costs per net$0.24
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Total cost per net (forward-looking)$4.53
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Total cost per net (forward-looking), excluding in-kind government costs$4.29
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Total cost per net (forward-looking), excluding government costs, AMF organizational costs, and research costs$4.14
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% of estimate of future total cost per net:
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AMF net purchase costs per net (current LLIN prices)46%
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Non-net costs (paid by AMF, Global Fund, or other philanthropic funders)45%
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Government contributions5%
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Other costs (AMF organizational costs, PBO study, and Malaria Unit)3%
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