Rock's Case Investigation
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Welcome NadeKing Viewers! Make sure you check out my simulator! https://qualitymemes.xyz/cases/
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My Cases + Onscreen's CasesMy Cases Overall TotalMy Unboxed Knives/GlovesONSCREENLOL's cases combined
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ColorNon STSTTotal% ST% TotalColorNon STSTTotal% ST% TotalKnifeCase #Since PrevPriceColorNon STSTTotal% ST% Total
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Blue450334929499629.865%79.829%Blue353143844391589.817%79.905%★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (P4)559559$300Blue971910851080410.043%79.558%
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Purple904910271007610.193%16.099%Purple7020829784910.562%16.016%★ Gut Knife | Freehand (Minimal Wear)1497938$90Purple202919822278.891%16.399%
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Pink180219719999.855%3.194%Pink1410158156810.077%3.200%★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (P1)156669$110Pink392394319.049%3.174%
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Red367323998.020%0.638%Red290223127.051%0.637%★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (P2)27131147$300Red77108711.494%0.641%
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Knife1341615010.667%0.240%Knife1061311910.924%0.243%★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)3048335$90Knife283319.677%0.228%
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Total563856201625869.908%100.00%Total441404866490069.929%100.000%★ Bayonet | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)3189141$100Total122451335135809.831%100.000%
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Calculated ratio for all data
5.08★ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)31923$450
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Calculated ratio for my data
5.07My Cases 2018 (Raw Data On Sheet #6 + 7)★ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)3352160$450ONSCREENLOL's cases 2016
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ColorNon STSTTotal% ST% Total★ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet (Field Tested)3740388$90ColorNon STSTTotal% ST% Total
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NotesBlue842490493289.691%79.931%★ Bayonet | Damascus Steel (Factory New)4095355$180Blue207022722979.882%78.880%
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I've used 40.67 Titan Voltas worth of keysLast Covert+41103Purple1670188185810.118%15.921%★ Karambit | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)4393298$190Purple449454949.109%16.964%
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Since Last7903Pink3294036910.840%3.162%★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)448491$170Pink78139114.286%3.125%
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Longest Without656Red757828.537%0.703%★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)4824340$250Red211224.545%0.755%
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Valve says the ratio up to a red is 1:5, and the ratio of reds to knives is 2:5. The expected percentages for these ratios are below. The percentages based on a calcuated ratio is also further below.Odds of that0.31%Knife2853315.152%0.283%★ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)5011187$120Knife71812.500%0.275%
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2nd Longest629Total105261144116709.803%100.000%★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)5771760$230Total262528729129.856%100.000%
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Odds of that0.39%★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)6311540$570
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3rd Longest555My Cases 2017 (Raw Data On Sheet #2-5)★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)6748437$270ONSCREENLOL's cases 2015 (source https://goo.gl/N7qU9I)
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Odds of that0.75%ColorNon STSTTotal% ST% Total★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)6985237$120ColorNon STSTTotal% ST% Total
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4th Longest536Blue253682775281439.860%79.918%★ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)7769784$90Blue7649858850710.086%79.743%
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Blue Expected79.923%Odds of that0.89%Purple5044602564610.662%16.033%★ Bayonet | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)8535766$140Purple158015317338.829%16.245%
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Purple Expected15.985%5th Longest498Pink101810811269.591%3.198%★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (P4)8699164$150Pink314263407.647%3.187%
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Pink Expected3.1969%Odds of that1.24%Red202152176.912%0.616%★ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)8826127$65Red5696513.846%0.609%
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Red Expected0.6394%6th Longest489Knife758839.639%0.236%★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (P1)9214388$210Knife212238.696%0.216%
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Knife Expected0.2558%Odds of that1.35%Total317073508352159.962%100.000%★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) (2nd Max F/I)924632$570Total96201048106689.824%100.000%
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★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) (90 / 7 / 3)9882636$570
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Margins of Error (95% Confidence)My Cases 2016 after Mid-April (No Raw Data Unfortunately ;c)★ Gut Knife | Lore (Field-Tested)10724842$125
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ColorPercentMarginMineColorNon STSTTotal% ST% Total★ Flip Knfe | Freehand (Factory New)10967243$140
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Blue79.829%±0.321%±0.362%Blue152216516879.781%79.538%★ Bayonet | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)11285318$70
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Purple16.099%±0.294%±0.331%Purple3063934511.304%16.266%★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)11833548$200
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Pink3.194%±0.141%±0.159%Pink63107313.699%3.442%★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New)1189764$570
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Red0.638%±0.064%±0.072%Red130130.000%0.613%★ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)1198386$330
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Knife0.240%±0.039%±0.044%Knife3030.000%0.141%★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)12295312$150
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Total1907214212110.090%100.000%★ Karambit | Black Laminate (Well-Worn)142251930$250
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Odds equation based on caclulated ratio★ Bayonet | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)14472247$120
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ColorNon STSTTotal★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Field-Tested)15034562$250
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Bl (c=1)72.226%8.025%80.251%★ M9 Bayonet15164130$165
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Pu (c=2)14.211%1.579%15.790%★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (P3)1521147$370
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Pi (c=3)2.796%0.311%3.107%★ M9 Bayonet | Freehand (Factory New)15720509$250
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Re (c=4)0.550%0.061%0.611%★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave (Field-Tested)15909189$180
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Kn (c=5)0.217%0.024%0.241%★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)16712803$300
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★ Bayonet | Scorched (Well-Worn)17121409$70
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★ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet (Field Tested)17637516$80
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★ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet (Field Tested)17971334$105
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★ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)1799423$65
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★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)18775781$130
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★ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)19010235$80
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★ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)1905949$80
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★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)19225166$200
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★ Karambit | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)1927853$130
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★ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)19905627$120
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★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)2000297$480
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★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested)20512510$420
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★ Gut Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)223161804$90
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★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)2235337$80
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★ Bayonet | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)23046693$140
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★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)23261215$125
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★ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)24065804$250
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★ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)24248183$140
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★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)2431769$160
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★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)2433316$160
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★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)24959626$255
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★ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)25095136$85
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★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)25406311$435
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★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)25632226$260
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★ Karambit | Stained (Field-Tested)25869237$190
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★ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)279932124$80
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★ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)28324331$100
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★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)28545221$600
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★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Field-Tested)2863792$140
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★ M9 Bayonet | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)28811174$155
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★ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet (Field Tested)28920109$95
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★ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)29293373$315
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★ Shadow Daggers | Fade (Factory New) (95%)2935158$125
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★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (RUBY)29963612$950
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★ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)30909946$55
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★ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)31077168$105
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★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)31853776$315
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★ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)32670817$65
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★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (P4)336861016$200
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★ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel (Factory New)346881002$90
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★ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet (Field Tested)3473244$70
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★ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)35590858$90
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★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (P2)36354764$425
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★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (P4)36509155$140
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★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)365156$105
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★ Karambit | Stained (Minimal Wear)3656651$200
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★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (P2)377041138$160
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★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)38458754$90
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★ Gut Knife | Stained (Field-Tested)3848022$70
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★ Flip Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)3850929$165
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★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New)385156$450
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★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Minimal Wear)39287772$200
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★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)3938699$900
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★ Karambit | Autotronic (Field-Tested)39754368$425
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★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)39957203$650
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★ Shadow Daggers | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)40080123$60
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★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Minimal Wear)40644564$800
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