Kelly Betting
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Contract Data in Dollars
Payout Cents If...
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ContractPricet < 6565 <= t < 7070 < t <= 7475 <= t < 7980 <= t < 8585 < t < 9090 <= t
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t < 65189.10-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00
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65 <= t < 703-3.0087.30-3.00-3.00-3.00-3.00-3.00
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70 < t <= 747-7.00-7.0083.70-7.00-7.00-7.00-7.00
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75 <= t < 7913-13.00-13.00-13.0078.30-13.00-13.00-13.00
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80 <= t < 8519-19.00-19.00-19.00-19.0072.90-19.00-19.00
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85 < t < 9025-25.00-25.00-25.00-25.00-25.0067.50-25.00
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90 <= t44-44.00-44.00-44.00-44.00-44.00-44.0050.40
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Contract Data in Multiples
Payout Multiple If...
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ContractPricet < 6565 <= t < 7070 < t <= 7475 <= t < 7980 <= t < 8585 < t < 9090 <= t
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t < 65189.10-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00
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65 <= t < 703-1.0029.10-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00
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70 < t <= 747-1.00-1.0011.96-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00
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75 <= t < 7913-1.00-1.00-1.006.02-1.00-1.00-1.00
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80 <= t < 8519-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.003.84-1.00-1.00
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85 < t < 9025-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.002.70-1.00
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90 <= t44-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.00-1.001.15
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Contract Decisions
Marginal Wealth Change If...
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Contract, xPercent, f(x)t < 6565 <= t < 7070 < t <= 7475 <= t < 7980 <= t < 8585 < t < 9090 <= t
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t < 6525.00%2227.50%-25.00%-25.00%-25.00%-25.00%-25.00%-25.00%
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65 <= t < 7025.00%-25.00%727.50%-25.00%-25.00%-25.00%-25.00%-25.00%
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70 < t <= 7415.00%-15.00%-15.00%179.36%-15.00%-15.00%-15.00%-15.00%
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75 <= t < 7920.00%-20.00%-20.00%-20.00%120.46%-20.00%-20.00%-20.00%
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80 <= t < 8510.00%-10.00%-10.00%-10.00%-10.00%38.37%-10.00%-10.00%
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85 < t < 900.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
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90 <= t0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
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Total95.00%2157.50%657.50%99.36%45.46%-46.63%-95.00%-95.00%
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log(1+\delta(x))
1.350.880.300.16-0.27-1.30-1.30
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Model Prob10%20%30%20%10%5%5%100%
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Kelly Factor0.28
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