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2 | Updated ~weekly - See tabs at bottom for more! | Click Here for link to Spreadsheet with Results that compares model and market performance | |||||||||
3 | by @jipkin | ||||||||||
4 | Click here for folder with past versions of these data | ||||||||||
5 | |||||||||||
6 | Last updated -> | 11/06 | 11/06 | 11/06 | 11/06 | 11/06 | 11/06 | 11/06 | 11/06 | ||
7 | Market Type | Market (Click to visit) | DDHQ/0ptimus | CNN | The Economist | The Weekly Standard | The Crosstab | 538 Classic | PredictIt | GJ Open | |
8 | House | Who will win the House of Representatives? | |||||||||
9 | Democrats | 95.9 | 80 | 88 | 85 | 87.9 | 72 | 78 | |||
10 | Republicans | 4.1 | 20 | 12 | 15 | 12.1 | 34 | 22 | |||
11 | Senate | Who will win the Senate? | |||||||||
12 | Democrats | 8.1 | 14.7 | 19.1 | 14 | 18 | |||||
13 | Republicans | 91.9 | 85.3 | 80.9 | 86 | 82 | |||||
14 | House/Senate | What will the Balance of Power be in 2019 Congress? | |||||||||
15 | D House, R Senate | 67 | |||||||||
16 | D House, D Senate | 13 | |||||||||
17 | R House, R Senate | 33 | |||||||||
18 | R House, D Senate | 2 | |||||||||
19 | House | How many seats will Rs win in the House of Representatives? | |||||||||
20 | 251 or more | 0 | 5 | ||||||||
21 | 246-250 | 0.01 | 1 | ||||||||
22 | 241-245 | 0.06 | 2 | ||||||||
23 | 236-240 | 0.01 | 0.2 | 3 | |||||||
24 | 231-235 | 0.07 | 0.76 | 4 | |||||||
25 | 226-230 | 0.35 | 2.15 | 8 | |||||||
26 | 218-225 | 3.63 | 8.91 | 18 | |||||||
27 | 217 or fewer | 95.9 | 80 | 88 | 85 | 87.9 | 71 | 78 | |||
28 | House | How many seats will Ds win in the House of Representatives? | |||||||||
29 | 251 or more | 2.49 | 14.09 | 9 | |||||||
30 | 246-250 | 6.07 | 7.64 | 6 | |||||||
31 | 241-245 | 13.24 | 10.04 | 9 | |||||||
32 | 236-240 | 20.48 | 12.2 | 11 | |||||||
33 | 231-235 | 22.65 | 13.52 | 17 | |||||||
34 | 226-230 | 18.08 | 13.18 | 15 | |||||||
35 | 218-225 | 12.92 | 17.24 | 16 | |||||||
36 | 217 or fewer | 4.1 | 20 | 12 | 15 | 12.1 | 27 | 22 | |||
37 | House | How many new freshmen in 2019 in the House? | |||||||||
38 | Senate | How many seats will Rs have in the Senate? | |||||||||
39 | 60 or more | 0.01 | 0 | 6 | |||||||
40 | 59 | 0.03 | 0.2 | 2 | |||||||
41 | 58 | 0.17 | 0.6 | 3 | |||||||
42 | 57 | 0.72 | 1.4 | 5 | |||||||
43 | 56 | 2.35 | 2.8 | 7 | |||||||
44 | 55 | 6.06 | 5.1 | 11 | |||||||
45 | 54 | 12.09 | 8.6 | 14 | |||||||
46 | 53 | 18.51 | 12.5 | 17 | |||||||
47 | 52 | 21.41 | 16.1 | 16 | |||||||
48 | 51 | 18.57 | 17.7 | 15 | |||||||
49 | 50 | 11.94 | 15.6 | 13 | |||||||
50 | 49 or fewer | 8.1 | 14.7 | 19.1 | 13 | 18 | |||||
51 | Senate | How many Senate seats change party hands from 2018 to 2019? | |||||||||
52 | Senate | Which Senate race will be the closest? | |||||||||
53 | House | How many women will be U.S. Reps in 2019? | |||||||||
54 | Senate | How many women will be Senators in 2019? | |||||||||
55 | Governors | How many women will be governors in 2019? | |||||||||
56 | |||||||||||
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