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Range givenPoint estimate for easy calculationunitsSource
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chickens affected per dollar9 to 120 (42)42chickens affected per dollar
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Chicken years affected per dollar (irrelevant for this calc)12 to 160 (54)54Chicken years affected per dollar
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/L5EZjjXKdNgcm253H/corporate-campaigns-affect-9-to-120-years-of-chicken-life
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Discount rate for future campaigns20 to 60% 0.4
How Can Risk Aversion Affect Your Cause Prioritization?
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excruciating hours of pain In cages0.03 to 0.070.05hours
https://welfarefootprint.org/research-projects/laying-hens/
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excruciating hours of pain Outside cages0.02 to 0.060.04hours''
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disabling hours of pain In cages354 to 508431hours''
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disabling hours of pain Outside cages100 to 211156hours''
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hurtful hours of pain In cages3265 to 48444054hours''
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hurtful hours of pain Outside cages991 to 24921741hours''
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annoying hours of pain In cages5615 to 78276721hours''
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annoying hours of pain Outside cages1197 to 29562076hours''
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Laying time of caged hen (yrs) (irrelevant for this calc)40-6050weeks
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Laying time of uncaged hen (yrs) (irrelevant for this calc)40-6050weeks
https://welfarefootprint.org/research-projects/laying-hens/
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excruciating DALY conversion rate60 to 15094DALYS per year of pain
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1CZ5S-Eayxr64z5YADYR9M3P2WTp4u2Pgb4N-ynYbbMU/edit?tab=t.0#heading=h.kuhe2te0uxb3
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disabling DALY conversion rate2 to 106DALYS per year of pain''
originally from https://ghdx.healthdata.org/record/ihme-data/gbd-2019-disability-weights
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hurtful DALY conversion rate0.1 to 0.250.16DALYS per year of pain''
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annoying DALY conversion rate0.01 to 0.020.015DALYS per year of pain''
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Chicken DALY's to Human DALY's conversion0.002 to 0.8690.332Welfare range conversion
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/s/y5n47MfgrKvTLE3pw/p/Qk3hd6PrFManj8K6o
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Neuron range Chicken DALY's to Human DALY's conversion0.002906976744neuron count welfare conversion
86 billion neurons in humans, 250 million in chickens
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AMF Dalys/thousand dollars20AMF DALY's per 1000 dollars
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1CZ5S-Eayxr64z5YADYR9M3P2WTp4u2Pgb4N-ynYbbMU/edit?tab=t.0#heading=h.kuhe2te0uxb3
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Hours spent in each type of pain per chicken
Below: get percentage of time in pain, then multiply by 1 to get years per year
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Type of painhours of pain In bad conditionsyears of pain in bad conditionsTotal DALYS over lifetime of chicken (bad conditions
hours of pain (good conditions)
years of pain in good conditionsDALYS over chicken lifetime (good conditionsDalys saved per chicken over it's laying life
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Excruciating0.050.0000057077625570.00053652968040.040.0000045662100460.00042922374430.0001073059361
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disabling4310.049200913240.29520547951560.017808219180.10684931510.1883561644
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hurtful40540.46278538810.074045662117410.19874429220.031799086760.04224657534
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annoying67210.76723744290.0115085616420760.23698630140.0035547945210.007953767123
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0.2386638128
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Chickens affected per dollar
Discounte rate for decline in effectiveness
Predicted Chickens affected per dollarschicken DALY per affected chicken conversion ratechicken Dalys per dollarchicken DALY's per thousand dollars0.7892112432
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420.425.20.23866381286.0143280826014.328082
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Chicken DALY's to Human DALY's conversion (RP)DALY's per thousand dollars
Final DALY's per thousand dollars (RP weights)
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0.3326014.3280821996.756923
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431
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Chicken DALY's to Human DALY's conversion (neuron count)DALY's per thousand dollars
Final DALY's per thousand dollars (RP weights)
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0.0029069767446014.32808217.48351187
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Final DALY's per thousand dollars (RP weights)AMF DALY's per thousand dollarscost effectivness ratioRP weights
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1996.7569232099.83784616AW is 100 times more effective than GHD
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Final DALY's per thousand dollars (neuron count weights)AMF DALY's per thousand dollarscost effectiveness ratioNeuron weights
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17.48351187200.8741755933AW is very slightly less effective than GHD
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4.47
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0.15
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0.015
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