[Metaculus] Comparing 538, Economist and PredictIt forecasts in 2020

	A	B	C	D	E	F	G	H
1	State	Biden win	PredictIt	FiveThirtyEight	The Economist	PredictIt	FiveThirtyEight	The Economist

2	AK	FALSE	10.40%	15.14%	4.32%	0.021632	0.04584392	0.00373248
3	AL	FALSE	2.50%	1.64%	0.00%	0.00125	0.00053792	0
4	AR	FALSE	1.50%	0.95%	0.00%	0.00045	0.0001805	0
5	AZ	TRUE	53.43%	71.12%	72.15%	0.43375298	0.16681088	0.1551245
6	CA	TRUE	92.12%	99.80%	100.00%	0.01241888	0.000008	0
7	CO	TRUE	87.75%	96.44%	99.83%	0.0300125	0.00253472	0.00000578
8	CT	TRUE	94.50%	99.93%	100.00%	0.00605	0.00000098	0
9	DC	TRUE	96.48%	100.00%	100.00%	0.00247808	0	0
10	DE	TRUE	93.03%	100.00%	100.00%	0.00971618	0	0
11	FL	FALSE	41.06%	68.17%	73.68%	0.33718472	0.92942978	1.08574848
12	GA	TRUE	41.67%	57.44%	53.40%	0.68047778	0.36227072	0.434312
13	HI	TRUE	94.50%	99.33%	100.00%	0.00605	0.00008978	0
14	IA	FALSE	25.98%	37.53%	36.94%	0.13499208	0.28170018	0.27291272
15	ID	FALSE	2.50%	0.58%	0.00%	0.00125	0.00006728	0
16	IL	TRUE	90.78%	99.85%	100.00%	0.01700168	0.0000045	0
17	IN	FALSE	4.50%	4.51%	0.02%	0.00405	0.00406802	0.00000008
18	KS	FALSE	4.50%	2.91%	0.15%	0.00405	0.00169362	0.0000045
19	KY	FALSE	3.50%	1.53%	0.00%	0.00245	0.00046818	0
20	LA	FALSE	2.48%	2.70%	0.04%	0.00123008	0.001458	0.00000032
21	MA	TRUE	94.03%	99.95%	100.00%	0.00712818	0.0000005	0
22	MD	TRUE	91.71%	99.95%	100.00%	0.01374482	0.0000005	0
23	ME	TRUE	85.92%	90.68%	99.84%	0.03964928	0.01737248	0.00000512
24	MI	TRUE	66.83%	95.06%	97.59%	0.22004978	0.00488072	0.00116162
25	MN	TRUE	74.02%	95.85%	98.24%	0.13499208	0.0034445	0.00061952
26	MO	FALSE	6.47%	7.11%	1.55%	0.00837218	0.01011042	0.0004805
27	MS	FALSE	4.52%	8.58%	0.34%	0.00408608	0.01472328	0.00002312
28	MT	FALSE	9.95%	15.65%	0.94%	0.0198005	0.0489845	0.00017672
29	NC	FALSE	47.83%	64.61%	64.86%	0.45754178	0.83489042	0.84136392
30	ND	FALSE	3.50%	2.26%	0.00%	0.00245	0.00102152	0
31	NE	FALSE	4.43%	0.58%	0.01%	0.00392498	0.00006728	0.00000002
32	NH	TRUE	76.50%	88.86%	97.56%	0.11045	0.02481992	0.00119072
33	NJ	TRUE	91.71%	99.40%	100.00%	0.01374482	0.000072	0
34	NM	TRUE	88.50%	97.66%	99.65%	0.02645	0.00109512	0.0000245
35	NV	TRUE	75.48%	87.30%	93.40%	0.12024608	0.032258	0.008712
36	NY	TRUE	88.83%	99.99%	100.00%	0.02495378	0.00000002	0
37	OH	FALSE	30.05%	49.13%	33.37%	0.1806005	0.48275138	0.22271138
38	OK	FALSE	2.50%	0.56%	0.00%	0.00125	0.00006272	0
39	OR	TRUE	90.29%	97.82%	100.00%	0.01885682	0.00095048	0
40	PA	TRUE	59.13%	87.26%	93.09%	0.33407138	0.03246152	0.00954962
41	RI	TRUE	94.09%	99.93%	100.00%	0.00698562	0.00000098	0
42	SC	FALSE	6.44%	9.16%	1.76%	0.00829472	0.01678112	0.00061952
43	SD	FALSE	3.54%	5.24%	0.00%	0.00250632	0.00549152	0
44	TN	FALSE	3.50%	2.94%	0.00%	0.00245	0.00172872	0
45	TX	FALSE	28.92%	39.45%	26.30%	0.16727328	0.3112605	0.138338
46	UT	FALSE	3.52%	4.21%	0.00%	0.00247808	0.00354482	0
47	VA	TRUE	88.73%	98.99%	99.55%	0.02540258	0.00020402	0.0000405
48	VT	TRUE	95.00%	99.51%	100.00%	0.005	0.00004802	0
49	WA	TRUE	91.71%	99.17%	100.00%	0.01374482	0.00013778	0
50	WI	TRUE	69.42%	93.90%	96.14%	0.18702728	0.007442	0.00297992
51	WV	FALSE	2.50%	0.86%	0.00%	0.00125	0.00014792	0
52	WY	FALSE	2.48%	0.16%	0.00%	0.00123008	0.00000512	0
53						0.07593142706	0.07164562314	0.06234975608