CR Arkansas CD-02 Toplines

	A	C	E
1	Arkansas CD-02 October 29–November 2, 2020

2
3	Sample Size (Weighted)		586
4
5	Margin of error, 95% confidence level*		±4.5%
6	*Note that we believe the traditional margin of error calculation to be of limited value, as it reflects only one type of error in surveys. The margin of error is larger for subgroups.
7
8	Allocated Ballots
9
10	Presidential ballot including leaners & early vote:	Donald Trump, the Republican	49
11		Joe Biden, the Democrat	44
12		Don't recall	3
13		Jo Jorgensen, the Libertarian	2
14		Howie Hawkins, the Green Party	0
15		Not sure	1
16		Would not vote	1
17
18		Net Democrat	-5
19
20	Congressional ballot including leaners & early vote:	Congressman French Hill, the Republican	48
21		Senator Joyce Elliott, the Democrat	48
22		Don't recall	3
23		I did not vote in this race	1
24		Not sure	1
25		Would not vote	0
26
27		Net Democrat	0
28
29	Other Questions
30
31	Do you plan to vote in the November election for President and other state and local offices?	Yes, I already voted	79
32		Yes, definitely	18
33		Yes, probably	2
34		Maybe (50-50)	1
35		No, probably not	0
36		No, definitely not	0
37
38	How would you say things in the United States are going? Are they going in the right direction or off on the wrong track?	Right direction	43
39		Wrong track	57
40
41	How favorable are your feelings about each of the following people? - Joe Biden	Very favorable	29
42		Somewhat favorable	14
43		Neutral	4
44		Somewhat unfavorable	4
45		Very unfavorable	48
46		Never heard of them	1
47
48		Total Favorable	44
49		Total Unfavorable	52
50		Net Favorable	-8
51
52	How favorable are your feelings about each of the following people? - Donald Trump	Very favorable	39
53		Somewhat favorable	9
54		Neutral	3
55		Somewhat unfavorable	2
56		Very unfavorable	47
57		Never heard of them	1
58
59		Total Favorable	48
60		Total Unfavorable	49
61		Net Favorable	-1
62
63	How favorable are your feelings about each of the following people? - Joyce Elliott	Very favorable	34
64		Somewhat favorable	10
65		Neutral	9
66		Somewhat unfavorable	7
67		Very unfavorable	37
68		Never heard of them	3
69
70		Total Favorable	44
71		Total Unfavorable	44
72		Net Favorable	0
73
74	How favorable are your feelings about each of the following people? - French Hill	Very favorable	25
75		Somewhat favorable	18
76		Neutral	11
77		Somewhat unfavorable	11
78		Very unfavorable	33
79		Never heard of them	2
80
81		Total Favorable	43
82		Total Unfavorable	44
83		Net Favorable	-1
84
85	In the election for President, who did you vote for?	Donald Trump, the Republican	46
86		Joe Biden, the Democrat	49
87		Jo Jorgensen, the Libertarian	1
88		Howie Hawkins, the Green Party	0
89		I did not vote in this race	0
90		Don't recall	4
91
92	In the election for U.S. Congress, who did you vote for?	Senator Joyce Elliott, the Democrat	52
93		Congressman French Hill, the Republican	44
94		Don't recall	3
95		I did not vote in this race	1
96
97	If the election for President were held today, who would you vote for?	Donald Trump, the Republican	59
98		Joe Biden, the Democrat	27
99		Jo Jorgensen, the Libertarian	5
100		Howie Hawkins, the Green Party	0