ABCDEFGHIJ
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The predictions are trained on the data from the MusicMetrics tab, utilizing a LSTM trained on the current day and the past three days of itunes/spotify
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audience/current day data, among others, to inform its prediction on the maximum days and audience that the song will have. Predictions from: lstmPredUnseen.py
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The saved model/scaling and training is from: lstmKW.py. We can compare these results with those for the random forest (RandForest_MusicPreds tab).
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The predictions are made for rising songs on 6/22/20. The predictions are arranged by predicted Peak Audience, in descending order.
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We can see if being informed by previous day metrics (more data) leads to a more accurate result. It appears more conservative than the random forest.
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Notes to Do SQL Text Data Storage.docx for python/sql notes needed for this project; https://colah.github.io/posts/2015-08-Understanding-LSTMs/
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ArtistTitle
currDays
currAudience
currItunes
currSpotify
currAppleM
currShazam
predMaxDays
predPeakAud
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1The Weeknd - Blinding Lights157152.3933228151161
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2Justin Bieber - Intentions (feat. Quavo)130124.3113165118129133.28
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3Harry Styles - Adore You196121.631305739182128.69
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4Megan Thee Stallion - Savage Remix (feat. Beyoncé)72107.3714109997123.36
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5Lady Gaga & Ariana Grande - Rain On Me2457.23513342695115.4
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6DaBaby - ROCKSTAR (feat. Roddy Ricch)3463.984132128113.14
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7SAINt JHN - Roses (Imanbek Remix)5669.861212321142108.31
15
8Harry Styles - Watermelon Sugar2744.7185233512098.42
16
9Maren Morris - The Bones26994.792920015004823396.73
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10Dua Lipa - Break My Heart8176.2439331112310986.2
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11Trevor Daniel - Falling12975.9789351671213584.93
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12Luke Bryan - One Margarita4748.1221582807311683.22
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13Ariana Grande & Justin Bieber - Stuck with U4446.773234711011873.61
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14Surfaces - Sunday Best7251.03914421113071.17
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15Roddy Ricch - High Fashion (feat. Mustard)8767.211944920259570.97
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16Chris Brown & Young Thug - Go Crazy2943.79697711411769.13
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17Lil Mosey - Blueberry Faygo5765.9113413178269.1
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18Lewis Capaldi - Before You Go9961.362061631511968.25
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19Chris Janson - Done5633.1586200150010214363.84
27
20
Powfu - death bed (feat. beabadoobee) [coffee for your head]
5947.6646200115311463.67
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21Miranda Lambert - Bluebird5740.641720015008411562.95
29
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Thomas Rhett - Be a Light (feat. Reba McEntire, Hillary Scott, Chris Tomlin & Keith Urban)
5030.42420011367113761.87
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23Scotty McCreery - In Between11954.38123200137814512760.63
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24Keith Urban - God Whispered Your Name8132.9753200123211415158.23
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25Ashley McBryde - One Night Standards2421.74164200137216014457.72
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26Maddie & Tae - Die From A Broken Heart4931.28912006737612457.1
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27Tim McGraw - I Called Mama1920.33283200150021914657.07
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28LOCASH - One Big Country Song8436.4913820086514613556.72
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29Florida Georgia Line - I Love My Country6533.4137200108415913553.86
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30Sam Hunt - Hard to Forget7544.4462001462410753.22
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31Marshmello & Halsey - Be Kind4338.463550147329752.07
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32Katy Perry - Daisies1122.6212620046911710851.46
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33Kenny Chesney - Here and Now10752.55206200150038510948.54
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34Jack Harlow - WHATS POPPIN4139.52117111478948.43
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35Kane Brown - Cool Again1221.9630520059322610648.39
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36Carrie Underwood - Drinking Alone8427.33160200136223915647.26
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JP Saxe & Julia Michaels - If the World Was Ending (feat. Julia Michaels)
3636.1245105171208445.94
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38Chase Rice - Lonely If You Are717.6548420088427110243.99
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39Justin Moore - Why We Drink7632.584820097424213642.64
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40Jhene Aiko - P***y Fairy (OTW)4934.341500200150010008142.05
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41BENEE - Supalonely (feat. Gus Dapperton)6137.6513031138147841.62
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42Young T & Bugsey - Don't Rush (feat. Headie One)4235.4911620087168040.01
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43PARTYNEXTDOOR & Rihanna - BELIEVE IT6332.9716200782110936.7
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44Skip Marley & H.E.R. - Slow Down9519.2327120015005817635.15
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45Jonas Brothers - X (feat. KAROL G)2829.0177200477417035.04
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46THE SCOTTS, Travis Scott & Kid Cudi - THE SCOTTS3426.51186626346433.04
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47Pop Smoke - Dior6928.5444612759497629.7
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48Doja Cat - Like That (feat. Gucci Mane)925.22447194182436929.6
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49Moneybagg Yo - 123 f/Blac Youngsta4024.451500200150010007128.59
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50
JACKBOYS & Travis Scott - OUT WEST (feat. Young Thug)
6321.874498758556625.28
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51Rotimi - In My Bed (feat. Wale)2419.225792001326299622.08
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52J.i The Prince Of Ny - Need Me617.441500200150010002915.6