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Conditional cash transfers to increase infant vaccination in Bauchi, Nigeria - New Incentives [June 2023]
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Bauchi
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Grant size (arbitrary)$100,000
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Child mortality benefits
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Cost per infant vaccinated in areas served by New Incentives$24.85
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Number of infants vaccinated in areas served by New Incentives4236
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Percentage of infants in areas served by New Incentives who would be vaccinated without the program39%
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Increase in vaccination rates from New Incentives' program (percentage points)22%
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Percentage of vaccinated children who would have been unvaccinated without New Incentives' program36%
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Probability that unvaccinated children die from vaccine-preventable diseases before their 5th birthday3.7%
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Adjusted effect of vaccines on vaccine-preventable diseases76%
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Deaths averted in children under 5 as a result of the program43
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Cost per under 5 death averted $2,333
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Moral weight for each under 5 death averted116
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Cost-effectiveness from under-5 mortality reduction only (x cash)15
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Primary benefit streams (as % of overall effect)
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Under-5 mortality effects70%
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Over-5 mortality effects20%
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Development benefits7%
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Consumption benefits2%
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Additional upside and downside adjustments 105%
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Charity-level adjustments93%
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Intervention-level adjustments133%
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Downstream costs incurred as a result of GiveWell funding (leveraging)93%
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Chance that the government would fund this or a similar program in our absence (funging)
91%
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Final cost-effectiveness after all adjustments (x cash)22
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