Section 4.1: Fermi-estimate about non-human animal or extraterrestrial space colonization
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space colonization by non-human animalsspace-colonization by extraterrestrials
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probability, conditional on human extinction10%20%
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EV-multiplier compared to (post-)human space colonization, from future-pessimistic perspective. ("Non-human/extraterrestrial space colonisation is X times as bad as human space colonization")22.5
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EV-multiplier compared to (post-)human space colonization, from future-optimistic perspective. ("Non-human/extraterrestrial space colonisation is X times as good as human space colonization")0.50.33
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Update for pessimistic perspective: "X% of the harm done by human space colonization will be done by other species if humanity goes extinct"70%
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Update for optimistic perspective: "X% of the good done by human space colonization will be done by other species if humanity goes extinct"12%
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The numbers should be taken with a lot of salt, I basically just guessed them.
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