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1 | CARES ACT RESTAURANT FINANCIAL PLANNING TOOL Estimating Restaurant Burn-Rate Given Short-Term Changes in Operations & Support from CARES funding over 8 weeks with payroll & rent support with 8 additional weeks of maintaining full staffing | ||||||||||||||||||||
2 | Designed by: Dr. Peter Boumgarden, Ben Dalton (MBA), and Shaun Vaid (MBA) of Washington University in St. Louis, Olin Business School. Questions or comments can go to Dr. Boumgarden at boumgardenp@wustl.edu. | ||||||||||||||||||||
3 | THIS SPREADSHEET IS MERELY A TEMPLATE. PLEASE COPY TO YOUR OWN GOOGLE DRIVE OR DOWNLOAD AS AN EXCEL FILE TO EDIT ON YOUR OWN | ||||||||||||||||||||
4 | OTHER RESOURCES (will expand as more become available): - DAILYBEAST ON TOOLS FOR RESTAURANTS - https://www.thedailybeast.com/a-financial-plan-of-action-for-out-of-work-bar-staff?via=newsletter&source=DDMorning - FULL TEXT OF CARES ACT - https://www.congress.gov/bill/116th-congress/senate-bill/3548/text#toc-idCCF73EAEF8454D2A8B29B9DF4626458E - | ||||||||||||||||||||
5 | Yellow = Cells to Edit Based on Company Numbers | ||||||||||||||||||||
6 | Green = Cells to Estimate / Project | ||||||||||||||||||||
7 | Blue = Critical Calculations | ||||||||||||||||||||
8 | Estimating restaurant financial impliactions (burnrate, loan size, profitability) for first 8 Weeks of CARES employee/rent/insurance support (April 1 - May 30) assuming reduced operations given COVID-19 (either shut down, or reduced revenue) | ||||||||||||||||||||
9 | Note: "TRADITIONAL" implies pre-COVID week // CARES-FIRST-HALF-Week means April 1 - May 31 // CARES-SECOND-HALF means June 1 - July 30 | ||||||||||||||||||||
10 | |||||||||||||||||||||
11 | CATEGORY | NUMBERS | NOTES FOR MODELER | ||||||||||||||||||
12 | Existing Cash on Hand | $50,000.00 | Add based on existing business model | ||||||||||||||||||
13 | |||||||||||||||||||||
14 | Estimated TRADITIONAL Weekly Revenue (Assuming Primarily Food & Drink) | $55,000.00 | Add based on existing business model | ||||||||||||||||||
15 | Estimated TRADITIONAL Weekly Staffing Expenses (Covered by CARES) | $23,000.00 | Add based on existing business model. Assumes covered in CARE bill if all staff retained on payrole through July 30 | ||||||||||||||||||
16 | Estimated TRADITIONAL Weekly Utilities + Rent/Mortgage + Interest (Covered by CARES) | $10,000.00 | Add based on existing business model. Assumes covered in CARE bill if all staff retained on payrole through July 30 | ||||||||||||||||||
17 | Estimated TRADITIONAL Weekly Non-Staffing, Non-Food Expenses (Not covered by CARES) | $5,000.00 | Add based on existing business model. This includes any remaining things NOT covered by CARES (e.g. FICA, marketing expenses, etc.) | ||||||||||||||||||
18 | Estimated Food Cost as % of Food Revenue | 30% | Estimate based on existing business model. Assumes food cost as percentage stays constant in other operational models (e.g. take-out, etc.) | ||||||||||||||||||
19 | Food Cost - TRADITIONAL Week | $16,500.00 | CALCULATED - Based on percentage of food revenue | ||||||||||||||||||
20 | Total Costs - TRADITIONAL Week | $54,500.00 | CALCULATED - Sum of all costs identified above | ||||||||||||||||||
21 | WEEKLY CONTRIBUTION OR PROFIT - TRADITIONAL WEEK | $500.00 | CALCULATED - Profit as (Revenue - Cost) from a TRADITIONAL WEEK | ||||||||||||||||||
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23 | Percent of Staffing $ Kept On Payroll | 100% | Owner Estimated (3 cells add up to 100%). Covered by CARES Bill in full assuming maintain full payrole through July 30. If this dips below 100%, you lose the covered mortgage/rent/utilites benefit | ||||||||||||||||||
24 | Percent of Staffing $ Moved to Unemployement | 0% | Owner Estimated (3 cells add up to 100%). If staff goes to umemployment, they are covered by state UI ($320/wk in MO at top end) + CARES Bill supplement (proposed at 600 a week) = Equivalent to 48K a year salary | ||||||||||||||||||
25 | 100.00% | CALCULATED - Make sure these add up to 100% | |||||||||||||||||||
26 | Estimated CARES-FIRST-HALF Non-Food, Non-Staff, Non-Rent/Mortgage Expenses of Reduced Operations (Assumes Rent or Mortage Covered in Bill). This applies only to things NOT covered by Cares Bill (See line 13) | 90% | Owner Estimated as a Percentage of What they believe is Feasible Cost Reduction - Note that .8 means you reduced 20% of your non-food, non-staff expenses in this new operations | ||||||||||||||||||
27 | Estimated Food Revenue During CARES-FIRST-HALF Restaurant Operations (e.g. Only Take-out, Catering, etc.) | 15.00% | Owner Estimated as a Percentage - For example, .25 means you are only getting 25% of your traditional revenue in this time. .75 means you are getting 75% of your normal revenue. 0% means you shut down all operations. Best if this assumption is based on what you have learned by trying this model out | ||||||||||||||||||
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29 | UPDATED REVENUE IN REDUCED CARES-FIRST-HALF OPERATIONS | $8,250.00 | CALCULATED | ||||||||||||||||||
30 | UPDATED NON-CARES-COVERED COST w CARES-FIRST-HALF OPERATIONS (eliminates all that would be reimbursed) | $6,975.00 | CALCULATED | ||||||||||||||||||
31 | Actual Cash Burn Rate / Week in CARES-FIRST-HALF - Assuming Reduced Expenses through CARES COVERAGE | N/A | CALCULATED - Only has a number if Expenses > Revenue during this period, NA indicates no burn on cash during 8-week period | ||||||||||||||||||
32 | Actual Cash Runway in CARES-FIRST-HALF - How many weeks will cash last at existing burn rate - Assuming Reduced Expenses from CARES COVERAGE | N/A | CALCULATED - Only has a number if Expenses > Revenue during this period, NA indicates no burn on cash during 8-week period | ||||||||||||||||||
33 | |||||||||||||||||||||
34 | Maximium Loan Size for Business allowed by CARES Act | $254,642.86 | CALCULATED - Determined at 250% of monthly payroll, Capped at $10M | ||||||||||||||||||
35 | Estimated Amount of Loan Used on Rent/Mortage + Interest + Payroll + Insurance - To Be Reimbursed | $264,000.00 | CALCULATED - Assuming loan/grant used on for all 8 weeks. Remainder would fall under terms of the loan (e.g. low interest small business loan) | ||||||||||||||||||
36 | Non-Payroll Benefit of Taking the Loan | $80,000.00 | CALCUALTED - Sum of all non payroll benefit, or 8 * rent/mortgage/utilities per week | ||||||||||||||||||
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39 | Estimating restaurant financial impliactions (burnrate, profitability) for second 8 Weeks following CARES support (June 1 - July 30) assuming increased operations but required maintenance of fully employement | ||||||||||||||||||||
40 | CARES-SECOND-HALF ASSUMES YOU HAVE TO MAINTAIN ALL STAFF BECAUSE YOU WENT FOR THE CARES FUND THAT GIVES RENT/MORTGAGE/INSURANCE BENEFIT | ||||||||||||||||||||
41 | CATEGORY | NUMBERS | NOTES FOR MODELER | ||||||||||||||||||
42 | Existing Cash on Hand | $60,200.00 | CALCULATED - Updated to Reflect 8 Week CARES Coverage and any +/- cash flow across 8 weeks | ||||||||||||||||||
43 | |||||||||||||||||||||
44 | Estimate of June 1 Business as a Percentage of Previous Business | 80% | Owner-estimate based on what they think business will be like on June 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
45 | Updated CARES-SECOND-HALF Weekly Revenue (Assuming Primarily Food & Drink) | $44,000.00 | CALCULATED - Percentage (above) of traditional week revenue | ||||||||||||||||||
46 | Estimated TRADITIONAL WEEKLY Staffing Expenses | $23,000.00 | TAKEN FROM ABOVE | ||||||||||||||||||
47 | Percent I would operate-full staff at capacity... 100% indicates full capacity | 80% | Reduce from 100% if you can maintain full staff but at reduced capacity. For example 80% means you have a full staff but working 32 hours / week v 40 hours. CARES has pull back if this number dips below 75% for any employee (and by definition, all employees). Here is the exact language, "Level of Payroll: Your loan forgiveness will also be reduced if you decrease salaries and wages by more than 25% for any employee that made less than $100,000 annualized in 2019." The critical question is how long this last to be maintained. | ||||||||||||||||||
48 | Updated CARES-SECOND-HALF Weekly Staffing Expenses | $18,400.00 | CALCULATED - Percentage (above) of traditional week expenses | ||||||||||||||||||
49 | Updated CARES-SECOND-HALF Weekly Utilities + Rent/Mortgage + Interest | $10,000.00 | Taken from above | ||||||||||||||||||
50 | Updated CARES-SECOND-HALF Weekly Non-Staffing, Non-Food Expenses | $5,000.00 | Taken from above | ||||||||||||||||||
51 | Estimated Food Cost as % of Food Revenue | 30.00% | Taken from above | ||||||||||||||||||
52 | Food Cost - CARES-SECOND-HALF Week | $13,200.00 | CALCULATED - Percentage of Food Revenue (above) | ||||||||||||||||||
53 | Total Costs - CARES-SECOND-HALF Week | $46,600.00 | CALCULATED - Sum of all costs above | ||||||||||||||||||
54 | WEEKLY CONTRIBUTION OR PROFIT - CARES-SECOND-HALF WEEK | -$2,600.00 | CALCULATED - Profit as (Revenue - Cost) from a POST-CARES SUPPORT WEEK | ||||||||||||||||||
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56 | Actual Cash Burn Rate / Week - Assuming Reduced Expenses through CARES-SECOND-HALF | $2,600.00 | CALCULATED - Only shows a number if Expenses > Cost during this period, NA indicates no burn on cash | ||||||||||||||||||
57 | Actual Cash Runway - How many weeks will cash last at existing burn rate in CARES-SECOND-HALF - Assuming Reduced Expenses from CARES COVERAGE | 23.15384615 | CALCULATED - Only shows a number if Expenses > Cost during this period, NA indicates no burn on cash | ||||||||||||||||||
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59 | Ending Cash After Final 8 Weeks of CARES-FIRST-HALF + CARES-SECOND-HALF (4 months in total) | $39,400.00 | CALCULATED - Based on cash flow for first 8 weeks and second 8 weeks | ||||||||||||||||||
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